Links 1/9/2025

How Multitasking Drains Your Brain MIT Press

Calfornia Burning

Space satellites track astonishing expansion of deadly California wildfires FOX. The video:

In maps: Thousands of acres on fire in LA BBC

* * *

How a tiny spark in an LA back garden turned into the city’s worst ever fire in HOURS, incinerating 20 square miles and leaving an alien landscape of charred mansions… and it’s still out of control Daily Mail

Hollywood Boulevard is evacuated as wildfires erupt in celebrity epicentre: Another 100,000 told to escape NOW as horror images show LA neighborhoods reduced to ashes and death toll rises Daily Mail

Monstrous wildfires blanket Southern California with smoky air, threatening the health of millions AP. Commentary:

* * *

It’s not really the right time for nasty California fires. What are the factors that changed that? AP

On the Water Supply controversy:

“Lead your life” :

Climate

Catastrophes cost the world $320bn in 2024, reinsurer reports FT

How Big Oil Hindered The Fight Against L.A.’s Wildfires Lever News

Water

How datacenters use water – and why kicking the habit is nearly impossible The Register

Syraqistan

Japanese crime boss admits to conspiring to sell nuclear material to Iran Al Jazeera

Dealing with Trump, Israel, and Hamas: The path to peace in the Middle East European Council on Foreign Relations

No Israeli Hostage Deal Will Be Signed Until All Sides Agree on How to Control Gaza Haaretz

New York Times rejects Quaker ad for calling Israel’s actions “genocide” American Friends Service Committee

The Koreas

S.Korean police track impeached President Yoon’s location with new warrant Anadolu Agency

North Korea says it tested hypersonic intermediate range missile aimed at remote Pacific targets AP

China?

China’s CPI up 0.2 pct in 2024 Xinhua. Commentary:

New discoveries raise China’s lithium reserves to second largest in the world South China Morning Post

China Discovers Vast Copper Deposit on Tibetan Plateau WION

As Trump talks up trade war with China, fears rise for rare earths supply Al Jazeera

Huge cement-dust cloud blankets streets in China after silo rupture South China Morning Post

China, hMPV, and the `Fog of Flu’ Avian Flu Diary

European Disunion

Slovakia’s PM says he visited Putin because of Ukraine’s refusal to continue gas transit Ukrainska Pravda

Hungary threatens to block Ukraine’s EU accession over suspension of Russian energy transit Ukrainska Pravda

Dear Old Blighty

Musk examines how to oust Starmer as UK prime minister before next election FT

New Not-So-Cold War

Trump Is Facing a Catastrophic Defeat in Ukraine Robert Kagan, The Atlantic

A User’s Guide to ‘Who Lost Ukraine?’ Foreign Policy

Trump says he sympathizes with Russia’s opposition to NATO membership for Ukraine Reuters

How Suicide Drones Transformed the Front Lines in Ukraine NYT

Putin’s Booming War Economy Poised for Soft, Bumpy Landing Bloomberg

South of the Border

Venezuelan president says FBI official among ‘mercenaries’ arrested for plotting attacks Anadolu Agency

Three Ukrainians are among seven alleged mercenaries arrested in Venezuela, leader Maduro says Ukrainska Pravda

Biden Administration

US Justice Department accuses six major landlords of scheming to keep rents high AP

Trump Transition

Trump, the ‘America First’ candidate, has a new preoccupation: Imperialism AP

Foreign Leaders Lambast Trump Over His Expansionist Policies Foreign Policy. As opposed to genocide and a proxy war with a nuclear power?

Blinken says Trump’s push for US to take control of Greenland is ‘not going to happen‘ AP

Antitrust

FTC Chair Khan hopes Amazon, Facebook won’t get ‘sweetheart deal’ from Trump in antitrust cases CNBC. Commentary:

Digital Watch

Apple Intelligence summaries might get warning labels. That’s not enough. Six Colors. And–

Jason Snell: ‘Apple Intelligence Summaries Might Get Warning Labels. That’s Not Enough.’ Daring Fireball

Groves of Academe

As a Berkeley professor, I see the impact H-1B visas and AI have on students’ job opportunities FOX

The Final Frontier

Why the space community should care about Arctic geopolitics Space News

Our Famously Free Press

Wikileaks has just put all its files online. It’s all there! Defend Democracy Press

Washington Post ‘rudderless’ as Bezos’ paper engulfed by layoffs, talent exodus ahead of Trump’s second term FOX

Healthcare

People living near airports face increased heart attack risk: Study Anadolu Agency

Industry groups sue over Biden ban on medical debt in credit reports Al Jazeera

Gunz

Study: More Americans Buying Firearms To Defend Selves From Toddlers Who Found Their Gun (video) The Onion

Democrats en déshabillé

Dems’ 2024 losses fuel new openness to GOP bills Axios

Class Warfare

Two powerful labor groups combining ahead of the Trump administration Axios

Sanders doubles down on attacks on Musk over H-1B visas: ‘Dead wrong’ The Hill

US east coast strike averted Splash 247

Forced Labor in Global Supply Chains RAND

The fight over robots threatening American jobs FT

Free Cash, Mergers, and Capital Spillage Monthly Review

Antidote du jour (Yathin S Krishnappa):

See yesterday’s Links and Antidote du Jour here.

Print Friendly, PDF & Email

This entry was posted in Links on by .

About Lambert Strether

Readers, I have had a correspondent characterize my views as realistic cynical. Let me briefly explain them. I believe in universal programs that provide concrete material benefits, especially to the working class. Medicare for All is the prime example, but tuition-free college and a Post Office Bank also fall under this heading. So do a Jobs Guarantee and a Debt Jubilee. Clearly, neither liberal Democrats nor conservative Republicans can deliver on such programs, because the two are different flavors of neoliberalism (“Because markets”). I don’t much care about the “ism” that delivers the benefits, although whichever one does have to put common humanity first, as opposed to markets. Could be a second FDR saving capitalism, democratic socialism leashing and collaring it, or communism razing it. I don’t much care, as long as the benefits are delivered. To me, the key issue — and this is why Medicare for All is always first with me — is the tens of thousands of excess “deaths from despair,” as described by the Case-Deaton study, and other recent studies. That enormous body count makes Medicare for All, at the very least, a moral and strategic imperative. And that level of suffering and organic damage makes the concerns of identity politics — even the worthy fight to help the refugees Bush, Obama, and Clinton’s wars created — bright shiny objects by comparison. Hence my frustration with the news flow — currently in my view the swirling intersection of two, separate Shock Doctrine campaigns, one by the Administration, and the other by out-of-power liberals and their allies in the State and in the press — a news flow that constantly forces me to focus on matters that I regard as of secondary importance to the excess deaths. What kind of political economy is it that halts or even reverses the increases in life expectancy that civilized societies have achieved? I am also very hopeful that the continuing destruction of both party establishments will open the space for voices supporting programs similar to those I have listed; let’s call such voices “the left.” Volatility creates opportunity, especially if the Democrat establishment, which puts markets first and opposes all such programs, isn’t allowed to get back into the saddle. Eyes on the prize! I love the tactical level, and secretly love even the horse race, since I’ve been blogging about it daily for fourteen years, but everything I write has this perspective at the back of it.

242 comments

  1. jefemt

    Antidote… I try not to anthropomorphize, but I love the hint of contented smile.
    What’s so ironic, asked the yoga practitioners?

    Reply
      1. juno mas

        There is another reason for why cats, tigers, lions and leopards stretch their muscles, especially their limbs, hips and shoulders. These animals all have an abundance of fast-twitch (Type IIa, IIb) muscle fibers. This is what allows them to explode forward and upward, as well as exhibit a powerful, bounding stride (run fast). That sort of activity requires flexible limbs and torso.

        These animals have reaction/response times commensurate with this fast twitch muscle fiber.

        Reply
    1. Matthew

      OTOH. . . animals do experience pleasure, and there’s no lack of evidence for the fact. Peter Wohlleben’s ‘The Inner LIfe of Animals’ shows clearly that animals also experience love, grief, and compassion, though those are–of course–our ways of characterizing feeling. Recommended.

      Reply
  2. The Rev Kev

    “It’s not really the right time for nasty California fires. What are the factors that changed that?”

    I’ll say. The penny just dropped with me earlier that America is in the middle of winter right now and fires like this are supposed to be in the middle of summer, not now. A few minutes ago I saw an image of a house with it’s roof ablaze but it still had it’s Christmas lights up and a Christmas wreath on the front door. What the hell? In previous years when it was winter here in Oz, we would send volunteer firefighters to North America to help out with the summer fires there. But fires this time of year? Not possible now. I wonder what summer will be like this year in North America as far as fires are concerned. I would be wary.

    Reply
    1. Ignacio

      I am crossing fingers to see the worst of the fire is over in LA.- But indeed, fire season in winter? I don’t think so but there has been a bad combination of factors that allowed this to happen. Whether a worse combination might occur in any summer is something to worry about. One thing i have noted is that the fires are now being given names “Sunset”, “Eaton” etc like hurricanes and storms. Giving it a name might facilitate information sharing among fire fighters and i guess it might be useful in future legal paperwork. Insurers will probably insert clauses like “not insured against special conditions that are given names”.

      Reply
    2. Wukchumni

      I saw the light a decade ago around this time of year when I noticed smoke in the far distance in the higher climes of the Golden Trout Wilderness at 7,000 feet where there should have been many feet of snow, but instead there was the Soda Fire which consumed around 1,400 acres in friggin’ January!

      The new normal isn’t that new if you were paying attention.

      Reply
    3. GM

      The fires in places like California don’t quite happen in the middle of summer, that is when vegetation is still relatively fresh.

      Fire season in such regions really starts at the end of the summer and then continues until the first rains.

      But yes, by early January it should have been the peak of the rainy season, i.e. absolutely no conditions for firestorms.

      All of this misses the bigger issue though, which is suburbia.

      If you insist on building single-family homes out of wood, and surrounded by trees and shrubs, well, then you are extremely vulnerable to precisely this kind of event.

      Have you ever seen a city in former Eastern Bloc burn like this? OK, they don’t have such droughts and heat in most of that region, fair enough. But in some places (e.g. Central Asia) they do. So do Greece and Turkey, and Greece and Turkey do have regular forest fires too. But the cities never burn. Why? Because the cities are all commie blocks in the former Eastern Bloc, and something quite similar in Greece/Turkey — multistory buildings of pre-fab concrete, and there is just nothing to burn or even catch fire there. So the moment the fire gets to a city, it immediately encounters a massive fire break.

      While in the US it just finds more fuel to burn through.

      It looks like this time the worst in LA will be avoided, “the worst” being everything burning down all the way to the city center, but if/when that happens, you will see how the city center will be the fire break. Because it has those characteristics (tall buildings, concrete and glass, nothing to burn).

      But leafy suburbia built out of wood adjacent to mountains covered in chaparral in one of the most fire prone regions of the word? That is just total insanity…

      Reply
      1. juno mas

        Yes, wood houses downwind of canyons full of chaparral is a recipe for disaster. The key element is the windspeed (90MPH): it blows embers far an wide. Many of those homes in Altadena are far from the chaparral! Once the fire is out of the canyon and into the subdivision homes, it is the houses and landscape plants (palm trees) that provide the flaming embers that perpetuate the destruction.

        The video of the man attempting to extinguish the fire in the palm tree is frustrating to see. Palms have an apical meristem and a fire in the crown kills the tree. Better to chop it down and then extinguish the flames; removing the tree as a fire source to the house below it.

        Reply
    4. JP

      Block after block of wooden houses close together. An overhead view shows the trees still leafed and green but houses all gone. Cold dry air like a blow torch. No one was prepared because it never happened before except in Lahaina.

      One thing for sure, it will upscale the complexion of the homeless encampments around town.

      Reply
    5. JP

      Saw the first loss estimate of around 20 some billion. I doubt that covers the clean up.

      It burned here a few years ago and neither myself or the 100’s of fire fighters on site were worried about the toxicity of the smoke. But that was a forest fire. Houses burning have got to have some really toxic components. The clean up is going to be nasty and what landfill is big enough to hold it all.

      Reply
  3. Reader Keith

    File under (dystopian) AI:

    “…it looks like humans still have the thermal advantage of thinking and doing for a few thousand calories a day – but we may not be able to think and act quick enough to keep up with the billions of humanoid robots that Nvidia and its partners are dreaming up in our future. Or rather, their version of our future. And no one who has children and raises them through college would argue that they are inexpensive. It takes a lot of time – call it 18 years at a minimum but it is really more like 23 years to even 25 years these days – and a lot of money – maybe between $300,000 and $500,000 – to end up with an adult human being that can be productive and self-sufficient.

    And while no one will come out and say it directly, this is the economics that AI and its robotics packaging is going to disrupt in the coming years.”

    https://www.nextplatform.com/2025/01/07/the-future-is-the-one-we-generate/

    Reply
    1. marcel

      I have three kids that I love and care about and not three “adult human being that can be productive and self-sufficient”.
      They are also independent of a power supply.

      Reply
      1. Reader Keith

        Agreed. Aurelien has a nice long form blog that ties in nicely to this -> https://aurelien2022.substack.com/p/the-long-run

        “After all, it was not so long ago that popular culture in the West actually emphasised the longer term. The middle class preached the virtues of “saving for the future” and fustigated both the aristocracy and the working class for their allegedly frivolous behaviour with money. The family firm across generations, the long-term savings scheme, 99-year leases on property, the trees planted for grandchildren, even the construction of buildings intended to last more than a generation or two, all indicated a belief in an essentially stable society where investment today would bring benefits later. In my youth, children were told to get “qualifications” which might lead them to a ”good job,” an argument which would seem incomprehensible today. Whilst this could produce stultifying conformity (the man who spent his entire working life in the same office) it also demonstrated a confidence that made planning and investment for the future seem natural. The years spent qualifying as a doctor could lead to a long and valuable career as a family physician and pillar of the local community, when there were still local communities. The kind of progression lived by CP Snow’s hero Lewis Eliot in the Strangers and Brothers sequence of novels (1940-70), from bright grammar school boy through the Law, Academia and Government, reflected what was actually possible at the time (and indeed reproduced elements of Snow’s own life). Even today, many parents begin savings plans for their children to mature when they are adults, in the hope that there will be something to spend the money on, or indeed that there will still be money.”

        Reply
      2. t

        “Multitaskers are terrible at ignoring irrelevant information; they’re terrible at keeping information in their head nicely and neatly organized; and they’re terrible at switching from one task to another.”

        …and yet most people – especially women – throughout the ages do successfully get through their kids early life despite kids getting into everything all the time. This article on multi-tasking did mention babies and toddlers, but again not a word about how a child is a second full-time job. (I’ve been annoyed and grumpy about the gendered take on “multi-tasking” for years. Checking your phone every two minutes is bad, and I suppose it’s more of a chore if you wall the earth blithely assuming your import self should not be interrupted.)

        Reply
      3. GM

        They are also independent of a power supply.

        The end game here is robots taking control of the grid and the mining infrastructure, then being able to regenerate and power themselves independtly of humans.

        The question is whether humans will be able to switch it all off before that happens

        Reply
      4. Ben Joseph

        Me too, Marcel! But the “american dream” is that they supercede our performance, whilst those of us with kids under 30 prepare to continue to support.

        Reply
  4. BusyBody

    Naked Capitalism is a news source that I have found very useful for many years. Twitter/x is a sewer. Is there any chance that Naked Capitalism could avoid use of Twitter/x?

    Reply
    1. Ben Panga

      Unfortunately, a lot of stuff only appears on Twitter. Thus the choice is to ignore that large portion, or continue using Twitter.

      I would be interested to learn of a non-twitter website on which one can view tweets. I know there used to be services like Nitter, but they seem to be no more.

      Reply
      1. Revenant

        Nitter.poast.org is the remaining working Nitter instance that I am aware of. If you want to read http://www.x.com/yadayada then instead use nitter.poast.org/yadayada

        Twitter is no more a sewer than the newsprint or television. Real people publish real points of view (or make real bots to amplify potential points of view). C’est la vie, in every sense.

        I skim three “traditional” media sites regularly (BBC, Guardian, Telegraph) plus the anarchic FTAlphaville blog microsite at the FT. Most of my time is spent reading NC and its links and the twitter sites I have discovered through it. Without twitter, I would lose half my daily reading. And I say that as somebody who has never had a twitter account and thought it insufferable in its “heyday”. I increasingly read a lot of reddit subs, which are still filled with humans rather than bots as far as I can tell.

        Reply
    2. Stephen V

      It’s a filthy job. I can’t speak for Lambert but that sewer has many turds that float to the top and our worthy of our attention. Imagine curating that on a daily basis! It’s why I’m here.

      Reply
    3. Milton

      I appreciate NC’s xitter curation. Our family has been monitoring the fires as our daughter and grandkids have been evacuated from two different locations. You’re right, Twitter is a cesspool where nuggets can be found but only after wading through all the nut jobs, misinformed well-wishers, and crass opportunists.

      Reply
    4. BillK

      The Privacy Badger browser extension blocks Twitter/X links automatically.
      There is the option to click through to Twitter/X if you really, really want to.

      Reply
        1. The Rev Kev

          I think that there is a section of the US Constitution where it says that if a sitting President is resigning, that he has to do so through an announcement on Twitter.

          Reply
    5. jm

      The sewer analogy can be applied to our esteemed legacy media as well. And I would argue that the difference in the respective depths of the cesspools isn’t as great as many might think. Just look regularly at the opinion pages and comment sections of the NYT, WP, WSJ, etc. Then there’s the stink emanating from the regular acts of journalistic omission. See today’s link to the NYT rejecting an ad citing the Israel’s ongoing genocide on the Palestinians, for example.

      This is the reality we live in. Best to face it squarely using your critical thinking skills.

      Reply
      1. mary jensen

        That’s why Al Jazeera English is a great source for reportage. AJE also offers terrific documentaries on a plethora of subjects.

        Reply
        1. Emma

          No. Al Jazeera is extremely complicit in selling the Syrian dirty war and stirring up hostility against Iran. It allows for more reporting on Palestine to buttress its credibility but it’s absolutely not a credible or independent source for the region. Qatar is a family despot hosting the biggest US military base in West Asia, after all.

          Reply
    6. lyman alpha blob

      Depending on your viewpoint, the NYT comments section is also a cesspool – https://www.racket.news/p/the-new-york-times-comments-section

      But I still want to know what’s being said on the NYT despite the authoritarian anti-free speech tendencies of some of its staff and readers, and despite it being largely a propaganda outlet at this point, and am glad NC highlights NYT articles on a regular basis.

      I don’t have a twitter/x account or any social media account. Maybe if you do, the atmosphere is different, but to me the quality of the tweets NC chooses to highlight hasn’t changed.

      Also, someone at NC pointed out that you can type the word “cancel” after the “x” on twitter/x links and it will take you to another mirror website so you don’t have to give twitter/x itself the clicks if you’d prefer not to.

      Reply
    7. Buzz Meeks

      It’s always to your advantage to see what the other side is thinking or doing. And, if we are ever try to build a coalition against the 1%, we need to be able to talk to the other side.

      Reply
    8. B Flat

      Since It’s been unthrottled I’ve come to love X. It’s the only platform I can curate my own TL, a mix of history, art, architecture, news, and target right center and left viewpoints.

      Reply
    9. The Infamous Oregon Lawhobbit

      Twtr posts are clearly marked as such.* Maybe … just … don’t … look?

      Not to mention that a boatload of great antidotes are pulled off Twtr….

      *though now I’m going to worry that any Lambert replacement will decide to start rickrolling us with Twtr links…. ;-)

      Reply
    10. ilpalazzo

      I’ve been here for years as well and learned lots of things, one among them is that our hosts very much know what they are doing, so have faith!

      Reply
    11. .Tom

      Dear NC, please don’t avoid using X. I never managed to learn how to use it to find useful info so I am very glad to have experts choosing the things for me.

      Reply
  5. Zagonostra

    >New York Times rejects Quaker ad for calling Israel’s actions “genocide” American Friends Service Committee

    “The refusal of The New York Times to run paid digital ads that call for an end to Israel’s genocide in Gaza is an outrageous attempt to sidestep the truth,” said Joyce Ajlouny, General Secretary for AFSC.

    Side stepping the truth, or rather curating it on behalf of the status quo power structure is what NYT has been doing for as long as I can remember. In times past, when I was a much younger lad, purchasing the Sunday edition of the paper, with it’s splendid book review section, and paging through the paper while having breakfast was a delight. Now? Buying a copy or reading digital version has lost all appeal for me, it would make me feel “tainted” if I were to support the paper in anyway.

    Reply
  6. Wukchumni

    Maple Leaf, why can’t you be through?
    Oh, Maple Leaf, why can’t you be through?
    Trudeau’s done doing the things he used to do

    As Trump was motivatin’ towards Capital Hill
    He saw the Maple Leaf in a coup d’heel
    A Prime Minister a rollin’ with an empty load
    Nothin’ will replace him, we’re told
    The great white north being -25
    Province to province, standing side to side

    Maple Leaf, why can’t you be through?
    Oh Maple Leaf, why can’t you be through?
    We have a 51st star on old glory just waiting for you

    Justin time delivery over after half a score
    Chrystia got hot and bothered wouldn’t do no more
    It done got cloudy, that he’d remain
    Justin tooted his horn in Mar-a-Lago refrain
    Blowback blowing all over Ottawa hood
    I know it wasn’t doing him any good

    Maple Leaf, why can’t you be through?
    Oh, Maple Leaf, why can’t you be through?
    You’d enjoy our health care specially designed for the likes of you

    The rhetoric cooled down, the PM went down
    And thats when I heard Donald’s expansionist sound
    Canada sittin’ like a toady to take
    Gonna rectify our War of 1812 mistake
    Canada lookin’ like our up over thrill
    Once Donald gets inaugurated on Capital Hill

    Maple Leaf, why can’t you be through?
    Oh, Maple Leaf, why can’t you be through?
    You’d love being part of us, not you

    Reply
    1. ChrisFromGA

      I’m pulling for our neighbors to the North to find their fighting spirit. Blow the bridges over the Niagara, St. Lawrence, and Detroit rivers. Start putting in Dragon’s teeth along the borderlands of Alberta, Manitoba, and Saskatchewan.

      Maybe even win a Stanley Cup?

      Reply
  7. The Rev Kev

    “Japanese crime boss admits to conspiring to sell nuclear material to Iran”

    Yeah, nah! Not buying this steaming pile of dung. Did Japanese spooks offer this guy a deal that he could not refuse for this confession? Did Sullivan think of this idea originally? Maybe Blinken? I’m sure that Netanyahu will pick up this story to say that Iran is about to get nukes. But he has been making the same claim since the 90s so he can go grab himself a nice hot mug of STFU.

    Reply
      1. fact

        Yep.
        A powdery yellow substance that Ebisawa’s co-conspirators showed to undercover agents was later determined in a laboratory analysis to contain detectable quantities of uranium, thorium and plutonium, the Justice Department said.

        Reply
      2. mrsyk

        Which, IIRC, was served well past its pull date. Stale, dry, mold around the edges, it tasted “off”. I’m sure this time is different….

        Reply
    1. OnceWere

      “In response to Ebisawa’s repeated inquiries, the undercover agent agreed to help Ebisawa broker the sale of the nuclear materials to an associate who was posing as an Iranian general, prosecutors said.”

      So in other words Iran was entirely uninvolved, the deal being merely with someone posing as an Iranian. Not the conclusion that the average idiot is likely to draw if they only read the headline and the first couple of paragraphs. Obvious and deliberate journalistic malfeasance on the part of al-jazeera.

      Reply
    2. Vicky Cookies

      The al-Jazeera piece tells us this guy was advertising that he had thorium and uranium five years ago, which is alarming, and what ‘alarmists’ have warned about for a long time, namely that the combination of the sheer amount of dangerous material around and the unstable nature of some of the nuclear armed states made it inevitable that non-state actors would get their hands on it.

      The Guardian’s coverage of this yesterday studiously avoided mentioning to whom the Yakuza leader thought he was selling the material. It emerges that he thought he was selling to an Iranian general and an associate, both of whom were played by DEA agents. In no conceivable way could this be interpreted, or spun to show that the Iranian state did anything here.

      Reply
  8. Zagonostra

    >Trump Is Facing a Catastrophic Defeat in Ukraine Robert Kagan, The Atlantic

    Trump must now choose between accepting a humiliating strategic defeat on the global stage and immediately redoubling American support for Ukraine while there’s still time….

    Shortly after the invasion was launched, as Russian forces were still driving on Ukraine, Putin could have agreed to a Ukrainian offer to cede territory to Russia…

    Yes, the Russian economy is suffering. Yes, Russian losses at the front remain staggeringly high…

    If the war were going to drag on for another two years or more, these problems might eventually force Putin to seek some kind of truce, perhaps even the kind of agreement…

    Putin doesn’t care who the president of the United States is. His goal for more than two decades has been to weaken the U.S. and break its global hegemony…

    There is so much to unpack skimming through Victoria Nuland husband’s article. My main take-away is that a Ukraine peace deal with Russia will be interpreted as a Trump failure and that a minumum of 2 more years of bloodshed is what Kagan is advocating. As to the characterization of the conflict it reeks of falsites, at least when compared with the sources of information I’ve been following since February of ’22.

    Reply
    1. Ignacio

      Blaming it on Trump, what can be considered a gigantic mistake of the Neocon in Chief is…, well…, gross.

      Reply
      1. Ben Panga

        Don’t blame it on the Biden
        Don’t blame it on the Kagans
        Don’t blame it on the hubris
        Blame it on the Boogieman

        I just can’t, I just can’t
        I just can’t control my Fleet

        Reply
    2. ilsm

      Kagan: “Vladimir Putin has no interest in a negotiated settlement that leaves Ukraine intact as a sovereign nation.”

      Mr. Nuland knows Putin’s mind: propaganda!

      Mr. Kagan’s definition of “sovereign” Kievan territory boundaries based on Stalin’s conquest is one with the absolute prerogative to host IRBM.’s with large H bomb warheads aimed at Moscow, ~4 minutes away!

      Trump is going to be blamed for US losing its launch sites 300 miles from Moscow and a colony.

      Blame Trump; the empire must prevail!

      PS I did not far past the quote!

      Reply
      1. flora

        The “who lost [country X]” is an old anti-USSR anti-commie charge in the US for political gain going back to the 1950′
        s. The neocons are nothing if not consistent. / ;)

        And yet, in the stock market cutting one’s losses is a well understood and accepted strategy for not going broke. odd.

        Reply
    3. AG

      Kagan has zero clue of US voters. How should he. So it doesn’t matter what he thinks.
      They won’t care if Trump ends this war.
      However I still don’t think he will be able to; if not based on his own misconception then thanks to Kagan’s own guard who won’t accept RUs demands ever.

      If Neocons took away one faulty lesson in Syria, “overextending RU” works. But how do you overextend RU if you allow RU have peace at its borders? When the time is ripe Pentagon and friends will explain this to him – “Mr. President if you wish to MAGA you will need to hold BRICS down” – how is he going to achieve that?

      NATO’s public statements on rearming Europe, conscriptions, new hypersonics, Eurofighter 2.0 plans, anti-missile defense – all of that is planned for a time 8+ years from now.
      NATO’s hijacking of public opinion in Europe was as well a long-term project and worked out impressively well.
      Same goes for the US Ukraine incursion.

      By the time NATO’s plans bear fruit Trump is possibly dead and whoever in the WH. One should keep in mind, US fairy tale strategy a la NSC operates in 30 year cycles and more. NSC-68 which I have mentioned repeatedly is one such example. It was written in 1949 and yet is still valid today, while its´ authors are all dead.

      This Trump show is only for 4 years. 4 years in US geopolitic think is nothing.
      Only problem for him and the US elite – RU is planning in 50 years cycles. And I assume some Americans have understood this now. The ear of underestimating RU are over. Whether they admit it publicly or not.

      Reply
      1. Yves Smith

        Voters are not driving this train. The Blob is.

        I am not completely sure (I did read to the end) but despite the very long denigration of Putin and Russia along with the big concession that Ukraine is losing, I can see this piece as Kagan rallying his neocon buds.

        Reply
        1. Kontrary Kansan

          I recall reading following the latest infusion of billions that the Biden-cons were prolonging the war in Ukraine precisely so that Trump would take the fall for, um, losing it.

          Reply
          1. JP

            Yeah sure, Biden was just about to completely reverse years of fight until the last Ukraine policy and bury the hatchet.

            Reply
        2. Norton

          Kagan rallies don’t seem include that immortal phrase:

          Here’s your rifle.

          Those jobs are for the little people, like paying taxes.

          Reply
      2. flora

        Robert Kagan is the neocon’s and the Lobby’s mouthpiece, imo, and has been for years. Victoria Nuland, of “F*k the EU, Yatt’s is our man” fame, is his wife; a DC power couple. Ukr was largely a neocon project from the start, imo, with a lot of Wall St and City firms in the mix for Ukr plunder.

        I bet Kagan doesn’t think much of Jeffry Sachs. / ;) (My posting this twtr isn’t a brief for T. )

        Netanyahu “is STILL trying to get us to fight Iran to this day”

        “He’s gotten us into endless wars and because of the power of all of this in the U.S. politics, he’s gotten his way”
        https://x.com/KAGdrogo/status/1876785571949113639

        Reply
        1. AG

          Since Nuland left the administration and joined Columbia Univ. Sachs makes sarcastic jokes about them both being colleagues now – must be interesting lunch breaks.

          I picture their meetings like this 🤣:

          Phillip Noyce´s Tom Clancy adaptation
          “CLEAR AND PRESENT DANGER” (1994)

          ending with the famous “The world is grey!”

          TC 2:00-4:40
          https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7fHUUlcBO0k

          Reply
        2. AG

          p.s. “CLEAR AND PRESENT DANGER” and Phillip Noyce

          Thinking of Australian and Kiwi filmmakers – they appear to have a much more adult view of the world, e.g.

          Mel Gibson
          Peter Jackson
          Justin Kurzel
          George Miller
          Leigh Whannell
          Peter Weir
          Craig Gillespie
          Martin Campbell
          Andrew Niccol
          David Michôd
          John Hillcoat
          Phillip Noyce
          Andrew Dominik
          Lee Tamahori
          Roger Donaldson
          Russell Mulcahy
          Bill Bennett
          Bruce Beresford
          Fred Schepisi
          John Pilger
          James McTeigue

          And that’s just their male directors…quite a slate for 32 mn. people altogether

          Reply
        3. AG

          This is new – I just discovered it:
          Jeffrey Sachs with Matt Kennard 45 min.

          “They don’t care!” Jeffrey Sachs on US approach to Civilian Deaths in Gaza and Ukraine
          https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irpFD-uBfs4

          And he again begins with mentioning her. So it does bother him to see that woman regularly, I must assume.

          First question:
          “Was the Russian invasion illegal?”
          Sachs: “I really don’t know.”

          Reply
      3. lyman alpha blob

        I would not be surprised if the neocons did take Assad’s departure as a lesson that “overextending” works. But on top of sanctions, the US was also illegally occupying Syria’s oil and wheat fields, diverting food and revenue.

        I’d like to see them try that with Russia.

        Reply
      1. JMH

        We may be living in 1984. Kagan is living in a universe of his own devising. It must be comforting to him to be in a position to make s–t up.

        From 20 January 2025 Ukraine will be DJT’s headache. He is not responsible for the clusterf— created by Winken, Blinken and Sullivan.

        Reply
    4. Pearl Rangefinder

      I love the shameless framing. *Trump* is facing defeat? Wut? LOL. Maybe Trump’s fragile ego will make him turf these losers out once and for all if they insist on pinning the blame on him.

      Also, Kagan’s doing the meme, must be getting desperate over there:

      “just one more year bro, i promise bro just one more year and it’ll fix everything bro. bro. just one more year. please bro just one more. one more year and we can fix this whole problem bro. bro cmon please just this one more year i promise bro”

      Reply
      1. lyman alpha blob

        Kagan is mad that Trump negotiated the Afghanistan withdrawal to occur in 2021 and Biden got the blame for the loss, so he’s trying to return the favor.

        Of course it doesn’t occur to these clowns to note that if they hadn’t put their thumbs on the scale against Trump for the 2020 election, Trump may have won, would have had to deal with the Afghan withdrawal himself, and we’d be rid of him by now.

        And of course we could have also had President Bernie for two terms and no Trump at all had it not been for the meddling neocons.

        Reply
        1. chris

          Biden deserves blame for how badly the withdrawal went. He screwed it up and he let the military leaders play him. Trump had better plans and Biden decided to scrap them.

          Even more frustrating, after Trump created the space to withdraw, Biden’s people tried to use that as an argument to stay. The State Borg under Biden is a hopeless cluster.

          Reply
        2. steppenwolf fetchit

          Are we considering the Clinton Democrats to be neocons? Was Obama and his DemParty co-conspirators for getting Biden nominated neocons?

          If we start overusing “neocon” and applying it to people who are no such thing, the word will lose any descriptive or analytical value.

          Reply
    5. Maxwell Johnston

      Mirabile dictu: Kagan admits that Putin might not be interested in negotiating. It’s the first time I see a card-carrying member of The Blob say this out loud. Which tells me that Project UKR is drawing to a close and the finger pointing is about to begin in earnest. The Blob is getting ready to blame not-yet-president Trump for losing UKR. Getting their retaliation in first, so to speak.

      Reply
    6. Glen

      The self denial is unreal. Between a neocon policy that seal clubbing every small nation you don’t like is the proper way to maintain relations, and American CEOs and Wall St de-industrializing and financializing your industries, institutions, and infrastructure to maximize their own profit, they have wrecked an empire they did not create, and do not know how to maintain.

      Maybe the Federal government can send a bill for $8 trillion to cover all the stupid wars that have made America less safe to the Kagens to make them just shut up and go away. Everything they have pushed since the 90’s has failed and backfired on America in spectacular fashion.

      Reply
    7. eg

      This is a bad joke. History will lay this fiasco at the feet of Biden and his neocon advisers like Kagan. The premise that the outcome (which is frankly already obvious) will somehow be Trump’s fault is ludicrous.

      Reply
  9. Ben Panga

    >Japanese crime boss admits to conspiring to sell nuclear material to Iran

    How/why is there weapons grade plutonium in Myanmar?

    Reply
    1. The Rev Kev

      Myanmar borders China so it opens the way later on to accuse China of supplying nuclear materials to Iran. No wonder Putin calls us the Empire of Lies.

      Reply
      1. Sam Adams

        Or it is just one more product, like any other part of the belt initiative. Don’t be too quick to dismiss. A Mideast nuclear Iranian war is distracting enough to cross the South China Sea into Taiwan, which may last a few weeks.

        Reply
        1. Procopius

          The story said they found “detectable traces” of several elements. I read that as meaning they were detectable, but too diffuse to be worth mining. This is just another FUD story to keep us frightened. Is the yakuza guy pleading guilty?

          Reply
    2. PlutoniumKun

      The reports are ambiguous, but it seems that the Yakuza ‘boss’ claimed that it was weapons grade plutonium, but the actual materials seized were yellowcake, which is an intermediate stage of processed uranium (around 1% pure uranium and so useless for fuel or weapons).

      The indictment does say: ‘With the assistance of Thai authorities, the Nuclear Samples were seized and subsequently transferred to the custody of U.S. law enforcement. A nuclear forensic laboratory in the U.S. examined the Nuclear Samples and determined that both samples contain detectable quantities of uranium, thorium, and plutonium. In particular, the laboratory determined that the isotope composition of the plutonium found in the Nuclear Samples is weapons-grade, meaning that the plutonium, if produced in sufficient quantities, would be suitable for use in a nuclear weapon.’

      This seems pretty ambiguous. Very tiny amounts of plutonium can be detected in uranium ore, so its possible that they are just hyping this up into ‘weapons grade’, which is theoretically true, but it would be in such tiny quantities as to be useless.

      There were strong rumours going back 10-15 years ago that the Myanmar regime was starting a nuclear weapons program, but it was never confirmed. There do seem to have been some attempts at uranium mining and low level processing, possibly as part of rare earth processing. So its possible some of that material was floating around since that time. Its a long, long way though from anything useable as a weapon, even a dirty bomb.

      I’m very sceptical that the guy is a real Yakuza ‘boss’. They stay well away from any direct involvement in deals like these. Most likely a mid level flunky who went way above his station and got taken in by a sting operation, or just some low level shady businessman who got out of his depth.

      Reply
      1. ciroc

        He is a foolish and pathetic man who dreamed of becoming a millionaire and was framed by the DEA.

        When the U.S. authorities announced the arrest of the defendant in April of this year, the spectacular nature of the case led to a flurry of information in Japan that the defendant might be a member of a widespread crime syndicate. However, according to police authorities, there is no confirmation that the defendant was a gang member.

        According to acquaintances, the arrested defendant is Ebisawa Tsuyoshi, a native of Tochigi Prefecture. After dropping out of a local high school, he worked for a time in his family’s business, but in recent years he had moved back and forth between Japan and Thailand. A female relative revealed in the interview that she had heard he was working as a farmer overseas.

        According to a male acquaintance, the defendant claimed to be a “yakuza boss” in Thailand. This is believed to have led to the announcement by U.S. authorities. He told the man that he was looking for weapons at the request of the “Shan State Army,” which is consistent with the charges against him.

        Shortly before his arrest, he told those around him that he had a big job in the U.S. that would earn him hundreds of millions of dollars. If successful, he would retire and spend the rest of his life in Thailand. A male acquaintance of the defendant said, “He must have been elated because he thought the deal would be a success.

        https://www.yomiuri.co.jp/national/20220722-OYT1T50150/2/ (machine translation)

        Reply
    3. Emma

      Like the rest of Qatari funded media, Al Jeezra has fully unmasked itself on Syria/Iran as the CNN of Arabic media.

      Reply
      1. rasta

        I am fascinated that people thought otherwise, but then again people thought that CNN was telling some truth back in the day.

        Reply
  10. Zagonostra

    Antidote du jour

    I wish it were symbolic of the strength of American people waking up from its long slumber to devour evil oppressors…one can dream.

    Reply
  11. Es s Ce Tera

    re: How Multitasking Drains Your Brain MIT Press

    It’s odd, early on in my career the whole loss of productivity and time due to context switching while multitasking was a Big Deal (TM) but then I guess everyone just forgot about it.

    Reply
    1. EMC

      It wasn’t about multi tasking, it was about being distracted by a screen. Multitasking is what mothers do, cooking breakfast, lunch and dinner simultaneously while keeping an eye on the toddler in the next room and watching the clock because the entire family has to get out of the house at different times. Or what nurses do monitoring iv’s while administering medications and noting multiple condition changes. The article was out of touch with reality.

      Reply
      1. Vandemonian

        My own take is that there’s a difference between multitasking and being committed to/absorbed in a task with a number of components. A mother managing and running a household is really doing one thing, with a lot of components. Same with a nurse coping with IVs, meds and hourly TPRs. But add in a couple of off-topic interruptions and the polished routine starts to fall apart.

        Reply
        1. cfraenkel

          I think the key is how much focus is required for each task. Making breakfast is a skill, but it’s a well practiced skill, so can be performed with only a bit of focus while also paying attention elsewhere. Perfect example is driving to work ever day – how many times do you get home and can’t remember each turn you made. If you’re doing something unfamiliar, on the other hand, an email or a simple ‘hello’ is enough to lose your place….

          Reply
      2. Skippy

        The term ***multi-tasking*** is a business marketing[tm] phrase deployed in a – survival of the fittest – meme, during the period of getting one person to do, what two people used too, some decades ago IMO. Around the period of the Day Timer Book drive to make people more “Efficient” at work and life.

        The actual neurological term is “Task Switching” – the brain has to stop from doing one thing and then reformat to do the next thing, it never does two things at the same time e.g. there is a lag time between the two.

        But hay … so much of our social lexicon these days is gifted Bernays speak, by which to format our minds – too the perspective our betters/elites desire. You can almost track the diminished of social good with its increasing introduction.

        Reply
    2. Es s Ce Tera

      Let me clarify. Early in my TECH career, there was a big fuss about loss of productivity and time due to context switching and multitasking especially for software developers and coders.

      We had measured the time on task for those focused on one task for an extended duration, compared to someone focused on the same task but also being interrupted by emails. Quite a few studies conducted in the late 90’s and early 2000’s, if I recall, said it takes 2-10 minutes for someone to re-orient to an interrupted task or to re-orient after distraction. Re-orientation was lost time, therefore costly to an organization.

      This was in the early days when emails were new(ish) to many companies. Emails were considered distracting.

      Nowadays emails are considered work, iphones are distracting.

      Reply
    3. Jacktish

      I seem to remember that Harry Truman had little respect for Gerald Ford, and said that Ford couldn’t walk and chew gum at the same time,

      Reply
        1. Big River Bandido

          This comment (in response to one containing a falsehood) is bereft of any historical context or awareness. It was LBJ who made the caustic (and basically true) comment about Ford in the 1960s, when Harry Truman was in his dotage. The comment in response seems to posit the typical fallacy that “the decision” to use the atomic bomb was made by one man. This is simply false; the decision to use the bomb was baked in by the war machine well before Truman took office, and no president following in FDRs footsteps would have dared try to stop that train even if they’d wanted to.

          I expect to hear next that the Marshall Plan and the desegregation of the US military were terrible ideas. And that the rapes of Nanking, Manila and the despicable actions of Unit 731 never happened.

          Reply
  12. The Rev Kev

    “Musk examines how to oust Starmer as UK prime minister before next election’

    It’s all fun and games for the UK government going around the world and trying to regime change governments that do not hew to the Collective West’s demands but it is no fun when a billionaire and his President buddy tries to do the same to the UK government itself.

    Reply
    1. ambrit

      Musk is just saying the ‘quiet’ part out loud.
      “Hey! I’m a billionaire oligarch and I pull the strings. Dance puppets, dance!”
      Time to start calling Saint Elon, “The Yellow Jester.”

      Reply
        1. Michaelmas

          Dept. of Modest Proposals —

          When they got sick of Crassus, the richest man in imperial Rome, they poured molten gold down his throat. In that spirit, I suggest it’s time for Vauxhall Cross (SIS/MI6) to earn its money and do a hit on Musk — at least, it would be if Starmer had the testicular fortitude to order it.

          It’d be a lesson for all the oligarchs and Starmer could claim it was for defense of the realm, and King and Country, and all that.

          Reply
          1. Kouros

            When the Persian, who were holding Crassus captive after the battle of Carrhae, got bored of him… you mean.

            Context helps, otherwise people might think that Romans, getting bored of their uber rich plutocrat, committed the deed…

            Reply
          2. hk

            Speaking of triumvirs….

            When the Egyptians murdered Pompey, Caesar went to war with them and installed his own candidate (Cleopatra, incidentally) as the new pharaoh. Vassals don’t get to dis their overlords, even if they are on the outs at home–and Musk is no Pompey.

            Reply
    2. fjallstrom

      Looking at the polls, it looks like Reform UK is picking up the discontent voters. Guess Musk wants them in.

      For those that doesn’t remember, that is basically UKIP. Despit not having any MPs, it was boosted by BBC inviting them to party debates in the last election. In contrast Galloway’s Worker’s Party, that did hold a seat, was not.

      An aside. I tried following the link and got a rather funny paywall message:

      Subscribe to unlock this article
      Join FT Edit
      Only undefined per month

      (my bold)

      Does this mean I get to define the monthly price?

      (I block what I can of javascripts etc, so I guess they set the price according to some algorithm that was blocked.)

      Reply
      1. Late Introvert

        I block everything. Most pages don’t load until I start selectively unblocking. Even US Gov sites have scroogle trackers.

        Reply
  13. DD

    Trump Is Facing a Catastrophic Defeat in Ukraine, by Mr. Vicky Nuland himself, is absolutely hilarious and shameless. The earnest insincerity of these people really is incredible, and I’m a political consultant!

    Reply
      1. Samuel Conner

        Perhaps it’s an illustration or application of the principle that one should “never let a crisis go to waste”.

        Reply
        1. ChrisFromGA

          Just thinking about Trump and his options, one good one would be to announce about 20 mins after the inauguration that an audit of the Pentagon is starting. Then, a few weeks later, have a press conference and come out with a shocked face saying that the bezzling and stealing was much, much worse than even he suspected. Followed by a 90-day freeze on any further equipment or weapons sent to Zelensky while the forensic accountants do their thing.

          This would properly blame-shift back to Biden.

          Reply
    1. Wukchumni

      It was pretty obvious to yours truly that shit was gonna go down, but to miss the inauguration of a 2 bit leader in Africa could have had repercussions for the City of Angels.

      Reply
      1. Pearl Rangefinder

        What an opportunity for reconstruction though, eh? The LA mayor could use some nicer digs, so I humbly suggest she start planning for a new mayoral residence in the rubble, something palatial with a fitting name, IDK, something like “Golden House” would work. Commission a giant 100′ statue of herself while she’s at it. In bronze, put it right next door.

        A good make-work scheme for all those artists around LA, no?

        Reply
  14. MicaT

    Fires.
    The best site I’ve found for covering any fire. This guy is a professional and great. Staggering amount of info and knowledge. He might have newer video up by now.

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=OjE9xVU4eUA

    In brief, it’s impossible to stop a fire fueled by such strong winds and more frequent weather events.
    For example take the Berkeley/oakland fire from 20 yrs ago, definitely not in the dry south.
    Or take the fire from a few yrs ago in British Columbia town that the day after it hit 120+ burned to the ground.
    This year it’s been super wet in far north California and southern Oregon. And a few years ago Brookings Oregon almost burned to the ground, it’s literally on the ocean.

    Once the fire starts, the houses become the fuel, not the wildlands. Because it’s been inexpensive to build with wood etc and not plan for extreme fires. those times are over.

    It’s extremely sad for all.

    Not the new normal, it’s now just normal.

    Reply
    1. Wukchumni

      I’m not sure in this instance that were the fire hydraunts working, it would have made any difference, but for around a grandido you could have 30,000 gallons of water at your beck and call if you have a swimming pool.

      A 50 foot 2 inch intake hose combined with a gas powered pump and a 100 foot 1 & 1/2 inch hose with nozzle, will give you an effective range of several hundred feet of firefighting potential at 195 gallons per minute, or about 2 and a half hours of water at your disposal.

      Reply
      1. MicaT

        Zeke from the lookout covers that.

        Could you stand and fight a fire even if you had the water and the generator and the skills and the safety equipment in the face of all of the houses around you on fire with 60 mph winds blowing the heat and flames directly at you from literally right next to you?

        In short no unless your house was built to withstand fire and the water was just added protection, not the primary protection.
        IE concrete or some other non flammable material, coupled with metal shutters over the windows, no eves, metal or tile roof, and no landscaping and then water suppression might save your house.

        In the Santa Rosa fires of some years ago, many stucco commercial buildings that were isolated burned because of roofs having debris that caught on fire from the flying embers.
        Fire design is a pretty well understood concept at this point, but it adds cost and complexity and limits design and requires maintenance. Who knew?

        Reply
        1. Wukchumni

          Most fires don’t come equipped with 60 mph winds, and if you trained a bit beforehand you’d be quite competent to defend your home in an ‘ordinary fire’.

          A few years ago during a fire in Santa Barbara, I watched a video of a homeowner trying to defend his property by using a bucket to get water out of his pool. Yeah, like thats gonna do anything.

          Reply
          1. mrsyk

            I imagine the mental duress under the circumstances might contribute to less than rational decision making. One reason to have a written plan in place that can be referred to if disaster calls.

            Reply
            1. Wukchumni

              I’m the token non-San Diegan in the Dartful Codgers, and sadly their baptism by fire is coming today and tomorrow with 60 to 80 mph winds in Tijuana-adjacent.

              We ski half a day today and everybody drives back to SD tonight, the timing not being all that great.

              Reply
            2. Bsn

              Yes, planing is of course good. An interesting fact was discovered after study of the large “Paradise” fire about 2 or so years ago. Many houses burned due to embers being sucked into a house’s attic via convection. The roof is the hottest and highest point, the burning embers get sucked into the attic via soffit vents, the insulation and other exposed beams catch fire ……
              So, in planning, perhaps somehow close the soffit vents on your house. No embers can be sucked in.

              Reply
              1. juno mas

                My city, Santa Barbara, has presciently prescribed that ALL new housing shall be designed and built to extreme fire standards–no matter where the building is located. What is happening in Palisades/Altadena happened here in 2017 with Painted Cave fire. Over 400+ homes destroyed.

                The fire department recognized that wind driven fire is unstoppable by the local fire agencies.

                Reply
                1. juno mas

                  Correction: Painted Cave fire was 1990. 2017 was the Tubbs fire in Santa Rosa and destroyed 5000+ structures.

                  Reply
      2. Laura in So Cal

        We have this which includes a gasoline powered pump that we test every year, goggles, gloves, and a respirator. and yes it was about $1k a few years ago. This is for “ember cast” to put out spot fires occurring way ahead of a fire driven by wind. Here at least, you’ll see 1 house burn in a neighborhood because something caught fire even though the rest of the homes are fine. We also have a stucco house, concrete tile roof, Gravel and concrete backyard with only some small citrus trees in a few flower beds. We also have annual fire dept inspections and $8000+ fire insurance bill.

        We were ready for this wind storm with cars full of gas, items loaded on a trailer, car full of photo albums, cat carrier and accessories staged, etc. If all goes well, we get to put it all back this weekend.

        People need to take fire (and earthquakes!) seriously if they want to live here.

        You do what you can do.

        Reply
        1. Wukchumni

          You’ve done well…

          The most important thing you can have in a place where all of the drinking water is imported, is to have 20-40 gallons of stored water for an earthquake.

          Reply
  15. Wukchumni

    Baby’s first Beretta

    Does it matter if your bundle of joy can’t really support it’s head?

    Never too early to get them armed and dangerous, and go ahead and load a clip and leave it in the bassinet, there’s no danger really as they don’t have enough index finger pressure to do any harm, in theory.

    Reply
    1. The Rev Kev

      A Vietnam era quote from a questioned door-gunner-

      Reporter: ‘How can you shoot women and children?’

      Door-gunner: ‘Easy. You just don’t lead them so much.’

      Reply
      1. mrsyk

        Some color, search query; life expectancy of a vietnam door gunner
        Search return:
        two weeks
        Over 10% of Vietnam casualties were helicopter crew members, and most of those were the door gunners that protected the helicopter, its crew, and its transports, from their exposed position. The average lifespan of a door gunner on a Huey in Vietnam was just two weeks.

        Reply
        1. Ben Panga

          It’s still wild to me that within view of my window is Da Nang Airport, which during the war was the main USAF base. If you didn’t know the history you wouldn’t guess it, unlike in neighbouring Cambodia where the conflicts are more recent and the wounds closer to the surface.

          These days Da Nang is a (relatively) prosperous and happy city. Currently the city is getting prettied up for the Tet holiday. Flags, lights, flowers everywhere.

          That story of rebirth, or recovery is inspiring.

          Reply
        2. tet vet

          There’s a couple of things one must consider re the door gunner issue. First I’ve seen estimates as low as 5 minutes for the life expectancy of a door gunner in VietNam. No one has shown the calculations that gave rise to these allegations and I take them all with a grain of salt. Also, casualties and KIA are not the same thing. In VietNam less than 20 percent of casualties were KIA. That means roughly 1,200 total. Was it a dangerous job? No doubt it was but this is a situation where, like Adlai Stevenson once said: These are the conclusions on which I base my facts. In ’68 when I was there, they would come around to us infantrymen and ask for volunteers for door gunners and many would raise their hands. In order to qualify one had to agree to extend there tour in VN for one month. The reason the idea was appealing is that we, in the field, had to sleep on the ground in groups of three where each slept 2 hours at a time with 1 hour on guard. The Huey guys (we called them Slicks) got a hot meal, a bed and a full nights sleep every night. I had a number of buddies including family who were crew chiefs (and thus one of the door gunners) and none were even injured. I do not intend to denigrate the service of door gunners but the truth is we all believed that death came to us randomly and no one was really safe there.

          Reply
          1. ambrit

            Someone we knew back in the day was a Cobra pilot in Nam and slept in his ‘hootch’ with a quarter inch thick plate of steel under his mattress. He said that occasionally, the Little Brown Brothers would stroll through the base at night and roll a few grenades into the hootches and under the beds of the GIs. He had several buddies wounded that way.
            He’s the one who occasionally flew air cover for the Air America DC-3s flying on up to the Golden Triangle on CIA “Supply Runs.”

            Reply
          2. rowlf

            When I started working at a major US airline in the mid 1980s a large majority of the aircraft mechanics I worked with had been crew chiefs in the US Army or Marines. The rest were Air Force or Navy.

            Reply
          3. mrsyk

            Thank you. Yes, I remembered the “stat” from my youth, door gunners were revered for their courage in my circle. I’m having a chuckle over AI turning urban legend to fact.

            Reply
        3. Offtrail

          That sounds like a wild overstatement. I was a teenager paying close attention to Vietnam war news at the time. I recall zero mention over years of coverage of the war of devastating mortality among door gunners.

          Reply
  16. Emma

    The Japanese mobster purportedly selling nuclear material to Iran story is more evidence that Al Jeezra is just another Western controlled propaganda outlet. No Iranian were involved but you’d never know that from the headline.

    In the story itself “In response to Ebisawa’s repeated inquiries, the undercover agent agreed to help Ebisawa broker the sale of the nuclear materials to an associate who was posing as an Iranian general, prosecutors said.”

    I clicked through because I knew the Iranians already had very advanced nuclear capabilities and had zero reason to source anything from Japan. And they still don’t but you’d never know that from surface level perusing of Qatari funded media.

    Reply
    1. Yves Smith

      I would go even further.

      Japanese prosecutions are inherently suspect. 99% conviction rate, the result of beating while incarcerated leading to the signing of confessions.

      Reply
      1. Joe Renter

        Good observation. When heard of these great results in convictions a few years back, I knew then the police were heavy handed, to say the least. Japanese are interesting people. I spent a summer there before the economic downturn in the late 80’s.

        Reply
  17. The Rev Kev

    “How datacenters use water – and why kicking the habit is nearly impossible”

    I think that it is only a matter of time until some municipalities restrict the amount of water going to private homes in order to divert it to some of those datacentres. Or maybe they will start charging higher rates for water for private homes while at the same time lower rates to datacentres to encourage more of them to set up there.

    Reply
      1. Norton

        LA is reportedly missing a few hundred hydrants due to metal recyclers. That is the updated scheme after the shorter manhole cover recycling episode in the news a few decades back. Those covers were heavy and did not fetch much so the perps moved on. Street capitalism, ever changing.

        Reply
    1. Samuel Conner

      I have the impression that in industrial processes, “waste” heat is actually economically valuable. Processes are designed in ways that use heat generated in exothermic parts of the process to provide thermal energy that is needed in endothermic parts of the process. I’ve read that in some commodity chemical processes, the economic value of this recycled heat is comparable to the net profit generated by the entire process.

      Am I dreaming, or is this datacenter waste heat potentially economically valuable? Could it be piped to neighboring communities for home heating or greenhouse heating in winter, for example?

      Reply
      1. albrt

        We do not seem to be at that stage. The couple of recently sited data centers I know about are located far from anything else that could use the heat.

        Reply
    2. Laughingsong

      At least in the (admittedly small) data centers I’ve worked in during my career, including the one I work in now, we recirculate a set amount of water through a cooling tower. I am positive about this because one of the pumps went out recently and before we adjusted the other two pumps, Facilities told me that we temporarily had to use city water which of course would cost us money we don’t normally have to pay because of recirculation.

      Reply
    3. hk

      They are already doing it, sort of: agriculture gets water at far lower rate than municipalities in Western US, so it’s not a big jump to apply the same principle–I’m sure they’ll come up with some legal theory somehow. Thd term data “farms” gets a new meaning.

      Reply
  18. The Rev Kev

    “Venezuelan president says FBI official among ‘mercenaries’ arrested for plotting attacks”

    So the Biden White House, after noting the humiliating & embarrassing mercenary invasion of Venezuela back in 2020 when Trump was President, decides that they can do better before their time in the White House runs out-

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Gideon_(2020)

    And if it too turns out to be a cluster****, well, that will be for Trump to deal with when he is sworn in.

    Reply
    1. Emma

      The West may have given up playing checkers on the global geostrategic chessboard and is now playing Hungry Hungry Hippos.

      Reply
  19. timbers

    I’ve been before but here goes – Prediction: Trump will offer giving all of Ukraine to Russia in return for support USA getting Greenland and Panama canal.

    Trump says he sympathizes with Russia’s opposition to NATO membership for Ukraine Reuters /// and Trump says he sympathisizes with Putin not wanting Ukraine in NATO. ****** Can you feel the love from Europe over this?

    Reply
  20. The Rev Kev

    “A User’s Guide to ‘Who Lost Ukraine?’ ”

    My eyes started to glaze over when this Harvard professor said-

    ‘Argument #1: It was a mistake for Ukraine to give up its nuclear weapons’

    The Ukraine never had nukes. Those were Soviet nukes of the military that were stationed on Ukrainian territory. When the USSR collapsed, those nukes went back to Russia where they belonged. The Ukrainians did not have the personnel or the codes to ever fire those nukes. Period. If this Harvard professor does not know this, either they are ignorant or they are being disingenuous. Not a good look either way.

    Reply
      1. Emma

        “They” can be used as a gender neutral third person singular, which makes sense in cases where the gender of the person are unknown.

        Reply
          1. The Infamous Oregon Lawhobbit

            English doth evolve, wouldst thou not agree?

            And much as it pains me, “they” is working its way into replacing “he” as the preferred pronoun when the sex of the person is unknown.

            Reply
            1. NotTimothyGeithner

              It’s what was done before 18th century English dilettantes tried to put Latin grammar on a Germanic language.

              Reply
              1. hk

                Ironic thing: late 20th century SK feminists forced female pronouns into a langiahe that lacked gendered pronouns at all. I wonder what they’ll come up with when the new trend hits their sjores. (The formerly genderless third person singular is now the male pronoun.)

                Reply
            2. Lee

              Northerners in the U.K. typically use “us” to refer to oneself. Why might that be?

              Walt Whitman’s phrase, “I contain multitudes” comes to mind but I doubt that has anything to do with the usage cited.

              Reply
            3. no one

              Yea, it evolves by inbreeding, like some royal family would (or a deformed dog breed). The whole gender-pronoun madness is Habsburg level stuff, that can not be translated to other languages.

              Reply
      2. Es s Ce Tera

        One can prefer “they” for a pronoun whether one is trans or not, the one has nothing to do with the other.

        And one can prefer “they” even if the sex is known.

        Ones gender can be a preference, as can whether anyone knows your preference.

        Reply
        1. Grateful Dude

          it’s the conflation of singular and plural that causes problems by introducing ambiguity into a sentence, for example: “Jo wanted to meet there with some friends, but they couldn’t come.”

          who stayed home?

          Names always work. With schizophrenia, however, one can easily be plural.

          Reply
          1. Es s Ce Tera

            “Jo wanted to meet there with some friends, but Jo couldn’t come.”
            “Jo wanted to meet there with some friends, but the friends couldn’t come.”

            There, solved it for you. The grammar is not as much of a problem as it’s sometimes made out to be.

            Reply
            1. Big River Bandido

              This is not a solution. It is a clumsy workaround. The entire point of the singular person pronoun is to substitute for the specific reference.

              Reply
    1. CA

      “A User’s Guide to ‘Who Lost Ukraine?’ ”

      As Princeton and NYU Russian scholar Stephen Cohen long sought to explain, Ukraine and Georgia were lost as the United States pushed NATO expansion and NATO weapons to the borders of Russia, even while simply cancelling arms control treaties with Russia. Georgia was even pushed to launch a sneak attack on Russian border peacekeepers on the opening night of the Olympics in 2008:

      https://www.nytimes.com/2014/03/11/opinion/a-russia-scholars-views.html

      A Russia Scholar’s Views

      Reply
    2. flora

      Well, except the Ukr only did that because they were “guaranteed” dual sovereignty protection by both the US and the new RU. Without that guarantee, worth the paper it was written on by the US, the Ukr would not have relinquished control of the nukes.

      See the the Budapest Memorandum.

      “The memoranda, signed in Patria Hall at the Budapest Convention Center with U.S. Ambassador Donald M. Blinken amongst others in attendance,[3] prohibited Russia, the United States and the United Kingdom from threatening or using military force or economic coercion against Ukraine, Belarus, and Kazakhstan, “except in self-defence or otherwise in accordance with the Charter of the United Nations.” As a result of other agreements and the memorandum, between 1993 and 1996, Belarus, Kazakhstan and Ukraine gave up their nuclear weapons.”

      Another Blinken? Anyway….

      Reply
      1. flora

        Keeping in mind the Budapest Memorandum came before the Minsk agreements. The Minsk agreements, which Germany’s Merkel and France’s Hollande later admitted were never what the West claimed, were only meant to give Ukr time to rearm. That was the plan all along. Budapest and Minsk were smoke screens to cover NATO’s other plans.

        Reply
      2. CA

        The Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances was signed on December 5, 1994. By July 1997, President Clinton was asking the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland to join NATO…

        Reply
      3. The Rev Kev

        The Budapest Memorandum also talked about no external countries interfering in the affairs of countries like the Ukraine. We know what happened there. When the west tried to regime change Belarus a few years ago and the US Embassy was questioned there about this attempt and the Budapest Memorandum, was informed by the US that the Budapest Memorandum did not have any legal standing so could be ignored.

        Reply
        1. AG

          >”US Embassy was questioned there about this attempt and the Budapest Memorandum, was informed by the US that the Budapest Memorandum did not have any legal standing so could be ignored.”

          That “questioning and responding”-part is important, since it would prove accountability even if not legally binding – do you possibly remember the source…

          Reply
    3. Aurelien

      Ukraine could never use these weapons. They were ICBMs pointed at the West, and would have required orders from Moscow to be launched. The Ukrainians could not retarget them, so of course there was no purpose in even threatening to launch them. All this was well understood at the time. The issue was not whether Ukraine could ever use them, but what price it could extract for being reasonable and cooperative about their removal. In the end they got what they essentially wanted–a security guarantee from the new Russia, and that was probably the maximum that was on offer. I’ve heard this argument from time to time since 2022, but usually on podcasts by people who manifestly have no idea what they are talking about. I would have expected better from a Harvard professor. I suppose it’s just about conceivable that Kiev could have held out for better terms, but it’s hard to imagine what they might have been.They’d already made themselves unpopular enough with all sides.

      Reply
      1. Ignacio

        Let’s us suppose that the US breaks into its 50 states now becoming “nations”. If all those storing nukes would be able to keep them (and use them), wouldn’t it be some kind of extreme nuclear proliferation? So, apart from these guys not being rigorous they seem to be favourable to nuke proliferation. At least proliferation by the “correct” regimes, which in turn cannot be guaranteed to stay in the “correct” side in any given future time.

        Reply
      2. hk

        Think of it this way: if Ukraine still “had” them, theh cluld threaten to nuke Washington themselves if they don’t get the money instead of the complicated scam theh are running now. (/s)

        Reply
      3. AG

        Interview with Mariana Budjeryn on the Budapest Memo from April 2022:

        When Ukraine Traded Nuclear Weapons for Security Assurances
        https://www.armscontrol.org/act/2022-04/interviews/when-ukraine-traded-nuclear-weapons-security-assurances-interview-mariana

        I still did not find the time to entirely read her book about the Budapest Memo apart from excerpts (anyone else here familiar???)
        Inheriting the Bomb: The Collapse of the USSR and the Nuclear Disarmament of Ukraine
        https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/inheriting-bomb-collapse-ussr-and-nuclear-disarmament-ukraine

        Obviously russophobe, she does try to not neglect what is obviously in the records and available as testimony – as far as I could assess. However all of this scholarship as of late (e.g. “Not One Inch” and countless new books on RU and Eastern European history) has awful consequences in its bias for the shaping of an upcoming new scholarly “elite” outside RU on RU and Eastern Europe. This might be one of my personal shocks since 2022. (People whose job is to read records and write studies turning on the RUs literally, denying facts…)

        In the above interview she does hint at things Aurelien and The Rev Kev refer to:

        “(…) It turns out from talking to people who were part of drafting the declaration that the other part of the thinking behind this unilateral renunciation was that Ukraine was deeply integrated with the Soviet military machine. The command-and-control lines ran directly from the military units deployed in Ukraine to central command in Moscow, bypassing the republican authorities. At that time, the leaders of the republics didn’t even know fully what was deployed in their territory. The understanding was that unless we sever these military ties, there will be no way we can attain our independence.
        (…)
        Ukrainian leaders formulated a claim that, as a successor state of the Soviet Union, Ukraine was just as entitled to Soviet nuclear inheritance as the Russian Federation and wanted to be compensated for giving it up. These claims were often misunderstood in the West and aided by Russian voices to mean that Ukraine was intending to go nuclear, wanted operational control over these armaments, and wanted to do all these nefarious things. But a major driver for these claims was Ukraine’s attempt to reconstitute a relationship with this new Russia on more equal terms.

        What I found in my research was that, within Ukrainian political discourse, those who advocated for actual retention of these armaments as a deterrent were very few and very marginal. To begin with, Ukraine had set out this grand vision of disarmament. Another factor was the economic resources and time it would take to build up the missing links of a fully fledged nuclear weapons program, which Ukraine did not have at the time. Ukraine was an aspiring democracy, emerging out of this totalitarian empire. It wanted to join the international community on good terms. So, much of it was about the kind of country Ukraine wanted to become rather than just the things it wanted to get out of it. Ukraine was accused of bargaining and haggling. No, Ukraine wanted a fair deal. It negotiated with Russia and the United States, and at the end of that process, it got a deal. I would consider it a fair deal.
        (…)
        I think the fear was, not unjustified in retrospect, that if you grant Russia these statuses, maybe the geopolitical ambition would follow.

        I think still, amazingly, in Western imagery, we conflate the Soviet Union and Russia all the time. It seems like a minor thing, but we are seeing these chickens come to roost right now. We think somehow the Earth just opened up and out came the Ukrainians and the Kazakhs and the Belarusians and Russia is just kind of this slightly truncated Soviet Union. No, the process of succession had to be negotiated, and it involved policy and the implementation of policy. It’s not a given that the outcome should have been what it is now, even in the nuclear realm. Ukraine tried to challenge this nuclear monopoly, without challenging the entire nonproliferation regime.

        The Ukrainian argument was, “You cannot claim that these are Russian weapons on our territory. We were part of a nuclear superpower. We contributed our resources, human, natural, and so forth, to the creation of this. We are entitled to something, at least a recognition that this is our stuff to give up.”

        ACT: Was the Budapest Memorandum a good deal for Ukraine?
        (…)”

        p.s. when it comes to scholarly expertise and arguments the language barrier re: RU comes to weigh heavily. We do not know what “the other side” has to say to any of this!

        Reply
  21. CA

    Whatever happened to [Jeremy Corbyn]?

    Almost immediately after Jeremy Corbyn was broadly elected to be the leader of British Labour, the past leadership of Labour led by Tony Blair began to savagely attack Corbyn. Every economic adviser to Labour resigned. The British press began to attack Corbyn as a Russian Communist, to the extent of the state news media BBC faking a reddened photograph of Corbyn in Russian dress standing outside the Kremlin.

    British press attacks on Corbyn spread to Australia, Canada, the United States and Israel. Former President Bill Clinton launched an attack on Corbyn.

    Then, attacks on Corbyn turned from radical economics to anti-Semitism. Suddenly, led by the media of Rupert Murdoch, media from Britain to Israel to the United States began concerted attacks on Corbyn as anti-Semitic. The attacks were so fierce as to demean Corbyn for dining with Jews on Passover. The Jews were not considered religious enough by the media.

    Eventually, Corbyn was expelled from British Labour, though remaining admired enough to be easily re-elected to Parliament as an Independent.

    Reply
    1. cfraenkel

      The Jews were not considered religious enough by the media.
      Because it had nothing to do with Jews, as people. It was weaponising the liberal antipathy against historical pogroms and the Holocaust contained in the term “antisemitism”, and redefining it to mean any criticism of the state of Israel. Of course proponents insisted on having their cake and eating it. Any criticism of Israel is an attack on all Jews everywhere, but you can’t blame the Jews of NY, Toronto or London for the ongoing genocide, oh no that’s offsides. Jewish protesters can march through campus fully armed, that’s just free speech, but pro-Palestinian protesters get expelled for shouting slogans, that’s antisemitic.

      Not that any of this is surprising, what’s noteworthy is that the obvious two-faced nature of the situation passes by completely unnoticed by the population.

      Reply
  22. Carolinian

    Hard not to chortle over the Wapo/Bezos story and the panicky cries of those getting a dose of their own medicine. Will NC in fact outlast the onetime promoter of “PropOrNot”? And do we care? (We do not.)

    But it’s always useful to take a tour of the vast sense of entitlement and victimhood among the PMC, fourth estate division. So welcome to the precariat former masters of the news universe. You may even develop a bit more empathy.

    Reply
  23. Jason Boxman

    From How Suicide Drones Transformed the Front Lines in Ukraine

    Some fighters, of course, fight. These Russians squared up. They fired Kalashnikovs or shotguns at incoming quadcopters, threw their own helmets or rifles into the path of their descending tormentors or swung long sticks, trying to knock 21st-century drones to dirt with weapons from eons ago. When all other defenses failed, the instant before incoming warheads impacted torsos and limbs, a few swatted or kicked at the quadcopters with bare hands or booted feet, lashing out reflexively at the candid cameras sent to kill them. Then they absorbed shrapnel and blast. The explosions claimed many victims instantly. Others were thrown down and expired slowly, gasping or twisting or rolling in pain, sometimes with uniforms aflame, while observation drones collected footage of their agonies. Occasionally, wounded Russian survivors ended their own lives with hand grenades or by shooting themselves with rifles. Some played dead and ended up that way.

    The NY Times couldn’t resist including some death porn as well, with 4 photos ostensibly of Russian soldiers in the instants before killed by drones.

    Reply
    1. flora

      What does “suicide drone” even mean, considering drones are unmanned machines? Is that like a “suicide cannonball”? Did an AI program write this and confuse WWII Japanese Kamikaze pilots with unmanned drones because both airplanes and drones fly? / ;)

      Reply
      1. cfraenkel

        They mean the drone itself is the weapon, as opposed to the original class of drones that carried other weapons, like missiles, dropping grenades, or just firing a gun. The drone itself returns to base to be rearmed to fly another mission. These ‘suicide drones’ are basically remotely piloted missiles, if you want to be pedantic, but they look and work just like the other drones, only just one time.

        Reply
        1. flora

          Suicide implies a self-determination which a machine does not and cannot have. Yes, I will be pedantic on this point. / ;)

          Reply
          1. rasta

            How about euthanasia drone, or putting-your-pet-to-sleep drone? What if drone has AI incorporated, and leaves a sucide note?

            Reply
            1. flora

              Imagine Germany’s WWII buzz bombs over England being reclassified as “suicide bombs.”
              Yeah, I know. Thus my pedantic criticism of the term.

              Reply
              1. rasta

                Well, my pedantic criticism is triggered by “buzz bomb”, because it’s not a bomb but a full fledged jet aircraft (of unmanned variety). ;)

                P.S. It is indeed reclasified, but as a cruise missile (since it predates the term). Some might reclasify it as kamikaze drone too (I’ve read somewhere that Zelensky gang is trying to make pulse jet powered kamikaze drone, in their search for wunderwaffe).

                Reply
                1. flora

                  Indeed. I’ll add that the UK war office in WWII thought to publish the ‘buss bomb’ fatalities as being in other parishes than were true in order to, as the UK war dept hoped, misguide the German war machine’s targeting maths. (Some time later the UK war office realized this was not a good idea for reasons I won’t go into here.)

                  Reply
      2. timo maas

        “Kamikaze drone” is more common term (and more appropriate, and better sounding, IMHO), though “suicide drone” is also widely used. It means that they are going on one way trip, though they could theoretically come back and live another day (unlike the cannonball). The name is recent, though the concept is anything but new. What we nowdays call land kamikaze drone, ze Germans used to call “light charge carrier”.
        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goliath_tracked_mine

        Reply
    2. eg

      This feature so typical of Ukraine reportage in the Western corporate media organs — much breathless coverage of uniquely brave soldiers wielding wunderwaffen; zero analysis of the prevailing operational reality, let alone strategic outcomes

      Reply
  24. Tom Stone

    When my Ex had her homeowners insurance cancelled last year the only quote she was able to get was $40,000 per year for a mid century modern home on 3.5 acres in rural Sebastopol.
    By installing a new metal roof and clearing out trees and shrubs she was able to reduce that to $21,000 per year.
    The fires in SoCal were entirely predictable, and it is going to get a lot worse.
    Marin County hasn’t had a major fire since 1928 and it was the epicenter for sudden Oak death syndrome, it’s only a matter of time…

    Reply
  25. ambrit

    I have an idea for a Trump CoIntelPro meme that will drive the Neocons crazy.
    Have Trump, once in office, broadcast a “Fireside Chat” from behind the desk in the Oval Office. Proclaim the winding down of the Ukraine Adventure. Point to a sign on the desk, cribbing from Truman.
    “The Bucks Stop Here.”
    Trump: “That’s right folks. The bucks stop here, right in our country, where they belong.”
    Ask the viewers to phone, cable, and email their Representatives demanding that the Pentagon and Intelligence services budgets be slashed. Then establish a White House team to foster primary challenges to Congresspeople who do not cooperate.
    It’s time to play hardball.

    Reply
    1. Ben Panga

      This seems unlikely, given that two of Trump’s main billionaire buddies, Musk and Thiel, control Space-X and Palantir, two of the biggest defence contractors.

      The spigot may be redirected, but it will not be turned off.

      Reply
      1. Ben Panga

        SpaceX and Palantir now have bigger valuations than top aerospace-defense stocks as the military eyes transformation (Fortune)

        Shares of Palantir, which offers AI-powered platforms to military, civilian and corporate customers, have soared 345% this year, giving the company a valuation of $174 billion at Friday’s market close [BP: 6th December]…

        …Musk’s role as co-chair of the Department of Government Efficiency in the Trump administration could give defense-tech challengers a boost against traditional Pentagon giants.

        Reply
  26. gamesjon

    Wikileaks has just put all its files online. It’s all there!

    Just so you know, I’m not sure what this article is talking about, I was excited for a moment & went to look to grab a copy of everything that supposedly just got released. I am in the process of grabbing all of it now to run a duplicates check file-by-file, but while waiting I’m looking through it & I don’t see anything that hadn’t been available for years at this point.

    It will take me the rest of the day at least, & probably all of tomorrow, until the duplicates analysis is completed & if previously unreleased files are actually there I will come back & correct this comment… or at least write another one as a reply saying there are new files. But, if there isn’t a comment by at least January 12, 2024 then there are definitely no new files.

    Reply
  27. YPG

    Just read: A User’s Guide to ‘Who Lost Ukraine?’

    The author offers a a break down of nine arguments that might be put forward to explain the outcome. None were surprising to me because I read this website everyday.

    What I thought was interesting, though, was that the author doesn’t offer any opinion on the the arguments, except on “#8 It’s Realpolitik, baby.” About which he writes:

    “It’s a truly Machiavellian view, which implies that Western elites (and especially Americans) understood that expanding NATO and eventually incorporating Ukraine would drive Moscow crazy and eventually provoke a military response…I have serious doubts about this explanation myself, but I am curious about what the archives will reveal in the fullness of time.”

    To me this a tell that he’s a bit worried about this one and want’s to hedge now. Hmmmm.

    Reply
    1. AG

      Mind me, but Weidel says a lot of nonsense…and Musk is a, er, big, rich child. (Or rather pretends to be…)

      However, if you hadn´t put it up here I wouldn´t have cared to seek it out and listen to it.
      On that note, thanks.

      p.s. I do not see much difference in the soft tone a Musk speaks with and a Blinken does.

      Reply
      1. caucus99percenter

        > Weidel says a lot of nonsense…and Musk is a, er, big, rich child

        So what does that make the E.U. for getting so het up re Weidel and Musk that they give 150 minions the Stasi-like assignment of going over the conversation with a fine-toothed comb, looking for wrongthink?

        Reply
        1. AG

          Frankly I have no clue what our media do with the interview. I don’t care since those media minions are idiots as you say. And I do not read them. I am merely commenting on Weidel what to me seemed in part an incompetent attempt to counter the Nazi-comparison made with AfD. So she painted Hitler of all people a Communist. And ergo since AfD is not Communist they cannot be Hitler.
          If I were her advisor I would suggest a different strategy. But I guess she tries to appeal to a certain group of voters too who might believe this historic nonsense of hers or believe nothing at all and are happy if she pisses of the minions (which of course works, I assume she too learned that from Trump…?). Another task is to distinguish herself from Merz and CDU, which is difficult to pull off since both are products of CDU and both have had jobs in finance industries and are everything but your typical common-day citizen.
          p.s. if “Mr. Hilter” was anything then a product of “big capital”, and anyway, its’ complicated – we had discussions about this and the Strasser brothers in the commentariat during 2024.

          Reply
  28. AG

    Whenever I dare take a look into CSIS I only encounter incompetent insanity.
    Another example (but you may choose any item there)

    How to Exorcise Russia’s Ghost Fleet
    https://www.csis.org/analysis/how-exorcise-russias-ghost-fleet

    “Exorcise”? – are these idiots aware of what they are doing? How much hatred, lack of knowledge, and zero interest in acquiring any must be manifest with these people.
    I find such details of vocabulary horrifying and extremely revealing. Since “Exorcise” is not a term that lands there by accident.

    1st paragraph:

    “Recent revelations that Moscow’s “ghost fleet” of oil tankers is loaded with spy gear and prone to undersea cable cutting indicate a pressing need to counter the Kremlin’s sabotage campaign in a manner that further undermines Russia’s wartime economy. For too long, the United States and Europe have turned a blind eye, relying on often late and feckless sanctions to counter Moscow’s illicit economic lifeline. The new Trump administration must target this ghost fleet with more than sanctions as part of its larger plan to bring Moscow to the negotiating table.”

    What can you say?

    And CSIS is a leading opinion-maker for D.C. and beyond.
    No wonder, RUs have called back their Ambassador.
    You cannot talk to these people.
    And that´s what German peaceniks do not get.

    Reply

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *