Links 5/8/2025

Physicists uncover how geometric frustration shapes the rose’s iconic blossom Phys.org

Fed holds rates steady, warns of higher inflation and unemployment Reuters

Black smoke: Cardinals fail to elect new pope on first try Business Times

Climate/Environment

There’s a $1 Trillion Time Bomb Ticking in Muni Finances Bloomberg

Could climate change trigger the next subprime mortgage crisis? Fast Company

Pandemics

Partnership formed to confront rise in illness, premature death in young Americans Insurance Newsnet. Some tidbits:

Scientists estimate higher rate of new-onset diabetes after COVID than in general population CIDRAP

India-Pakistan War

Pakistan warns it will ‘avenge’ deaths from Indian strikes Straits Times

Did Pakistan just use most advanced Chinese missile to shoot down Indian jets? TRT Global

Did Western Intelligence Play a Role in the Latest Terrorist Attack in Kashmir? Larry Johnson

Trump offers to mediate Pakistan-India crisis The Express Tribune

Islamabad left with 35 days of water as Khanpur Dam levels plunge; irrigation, drinking water may be curtailed Free Press Kashmir

The Koreas

N. Korea fires unidentified ballistic missile toward East Sea: JCS Yonhap

China?

China Signals India Levy Is a Warning on Cutting Deals With US Bloomberg

China’s new growth playbook could go out the window with Trump’s tariffs Business Times

Syraqistan

U.S. and Israel discuss possible U.S.-led administration for Gaza, sources say Reuters

Israel Launches PR Initiative to Boost Global ‘Legitimization’ of West Bank Settlements Haaretz

***

Iranian terror suspects ‘targeted Israeli embassy in London’ The Times

Revealed: Britain’s Labour Government Sent 8,000 “Munitions of War” to Israel After Saying It Had Stopped Drop Site

***

Yemen – U.S. Concedes Maritime Defeat Moon of Alabama

Trump to rename Persian Gulf ‘Arabian Gulf’ during Saudi visit The Cradle

***

Syria’s interim leader Ahmad al-Sharaa visits Paris in first official trip to Europe Euronews. Commentary:

Türkiye, Israel to hold direct talks in Baku on May 8: Israeli media Turkiye Today

European Disunion

New Merz government orders the pushback of all illegal migrants at the German borders, effectively abolishes asylum as a path into Germany eugyppius: a plague chronicle

German leftist EU lawmakers to travel to Moscow for Victory Day DPA

New Not-So-Cold War

SITREP 5/7/25: Ukraine Launches New Kursk Attempt to Spoil May 9th ‘Victory Day’ Simplicius

Ukraine considers shift from dollar to euro amid geopolitical realignments Reuters

Vance says Russia ‘asking for too much’ to end war with Ukraine Politico

Russia’s unilateral ceasefire comes into effect Anadolu Agency

Baltics close airspace to world leaders traveling to Russia for May 9 ERR

Trump Team Urged Ukraine to Take U.S. Deportees Amid War, Documents Show WaPo

Ukrainian women wounded in war take part in Playboy photoshoot – photos Ukrainska Pravda

South of the Border

US intel agencies say Venezuelan regime doesn’t direct Tren de Aragua gang, undercutting Trump admin: report Fox News

“Liberation Day”

Tariffs begin to batter Long Beach Port; expect ripple effects across the U.S. soon, officials say Long Beach Post

U.S. pushes nations facing tariffs to approve Musk’s Starlink, cables show WaPo

Trump now wants everyone to stop asking when the trade deals are coming NBC News

Trump 2.0

‘The Fix Is In’: GOP Wants Poor People to Pay More for Medicaid to Fund Tax Cuts for Wealthy Common Dreams

ELON MUSK SET TO WIN BIG WITH TRUMP’S TRILLION-DOLLAR PENTAGON BUDGET Nick Turse, The Intercept

As Trump Pushes Privatization of USPS, Amazon May Be Preparing to Take Over Truthout

Trump to Rescind Global Chip Curbs, Prep New AI Restrictions Bloomberg

Top Trump Crypto Buyers Vying for Dinner Seats Are Likely Foreign, Data Shows Bloomberg

Democrats en Déshabillé

Democrats Cave, Prepare to Rubber-Stamp Trump Crypto Corruption The American Prospect. Amid all the global turmoil, some things remain the same.

DOGE

DOGE Aide Who Helped Gut CFPB Was Warned About Potential Conflicts of Interest ProPublica. Was it sternly worded?

Data reveals Musk has delivered 0.25% of promised federal spending cuts Musk Watch

MAHA

OpenAI and the FDA Are Holding Talks About Using AI In Drug Evaluation Wired. What could go wrong?

RFK Jr. Unveils Autism Patient Database Project MedPage Today

Trump nominates Dr. Casey Means, wellness influencer close to RFK Jr., for surgeon general AP

With boost from RFK Jr. and Tucker Carlson, two chronic disease entrepreneurs vault into Trump’s orbit STAT. From October. A lot of good background on Casey and her brother Calley.

Trump Policies at Odds With ‘Make America Healthy Again’ Push MedPage Today

Police State Watch

Private Prison Company GEO Group “Excited” About Mass Deportation The Appeal

Immigration

“THEY ACTUALLY HAD A LIST”: ICE ARRESTS WORKERS INVOLVED IN LANDMARK LABOR RIGHTS CASE The Intercept

Federal judge temporarily blocks deportations to Libya Axios

AI

Family uses AI to create video for deadly Chandler road rage victim’s own impact statement ABC15 Arizona

OpenAI Claims Nonprofit Will Retain Nominal Control Zvi Mowshowitz

Healthcare?

Medicare Scramble: Wall Street Wants Insurers to Dump Costly Seniors HEALTH CARE un-covered

Groves of Academe

Shipman authorizes NYPD sweep of pro-Palestinian protest in Butler Library, police in riot gear arrest dozens Columbia Spectator

Columbia to lay off nearly 180 researchers funded by federal grants Columbia Spectator

***

Everyone Is Cheating Their Way Through College New York Magazine. Commentary:

Imperial Collapse Watch

Report: Pentagon will likely fail audits through 2028 Responsible Statecraft

American tourist climbs over fence at Colosseum, impales himself on spike Los Angeles Times

Sports Desk

Sources: President Trump planning to create commission on college sports to address issues ailing industry Yahoo! Sports. “…the group is expected to feature college sports stakeholders, prominent businesspeople with deep connections to college football and, perhaps, even a former coach and administrator.” Unclear if athletes are considered “stakeholders.”

The Bezzle

New Hampshire Becomes First State to Pass Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Bill Into Law Bitcoin Magazine

Antitrust

Instagram’s Algorithm Recommended Minors to Putative Pedophiles Big Tech on Trial

Wall Street Tells Google to Break Itself Up Big by Matt Stoller

FTC loses appeal to stop Microsoft’s Activision Blizzard deal that already happened The Verge

Class Warfare

US companies plot $500bn share buyback spree FT

Student loan payments are back. It’s a problem for the mortgage market Housing Wire

Tax Evasion or Student Debt? The US Chose the Wrong Crackdown Bloomberg

Any “Halfway Decent Person” Can Join And Own Ireland’s Oldest Gym Defector

Antidote du jour (via):

See yesterday’s Links and Antidote du Jours here and here.

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38 comments

  1. Antifa

    Bondi Girl
    (melody borrowed from Modern Girl written by Frank John Musker and Dominic Roy King in 1981, and recorded by Sheena Easton)

    That Mar-a-Lago glow looks trashy cheap you know
    These kamikaze dames keep Trump in power
    Pam does what Daddy said, worships his balding head
    She’ll do whatever works to keep Trump in his tower
    She shreds Epstein’s file and we wonder what for
    She’s that Bondi Girl who’s working that revolving door

    How she twists and twirls ’bout that Epstein man!
    Tells the public lies though we make demands
    Why not on TeeVee for us all to see?
    But she cops a plea—she’s that Bondi Girl
    Na na na na na, na na na na na, na na na na na—Donald’s zombie girl

    She’s like a mannequin straight from a loony bin
    She’s Donald’s secret twin her nose is brown
    She swears he’s squeaky clean, calls him her cash machine
    She’s always tryin’ his fevered schemes till they turn around
    She’s wild and incautious but can’t help herself
    The things she does are shady and crooked as hell

    How she twists and twirls ’bout that Epstein man!
    Tells the public lies though we make demands
    Why not on TeeVee for us all to see?
    But she cops a plea—she’s that Bondi Girl
    Na na na na na, na na na na na, na na na na na—Donald’s zombie girl

    (musical interlude)

    Without Donald she’d be woebegone
    She’s Donald’s little gnome—her feelings for him are known
    A liar and spinner, a Trump franchisee
    Nothin’ rages her hormones like him on TeeVee

    How she twists and twirls ’bout that Epstein man!
    Tells the public lies though we make demands
    Why not on TeeVee for us all to see?
    But she cops a plea—she’s that Bondi Girl
    Na na na na na, na na na na na, na na na na na—Donald’s zombie girl
    Na na na na na, na na na na na, na na na na na—Donald’s zombie girl
    Na na na na na, na na na na na, na na na na na—Donald’s zombie girl
    Na na na na na, na na na na na, na na na na na—Donald’s zombie girl

    Reply
  2. The Rev Kev

    “Trump to rename Persian Gulf ‘Arabian Gulf’ during Saudi visit”

    Not just Trump as the US has been doing this for many years to wind up Iran. But the disputes for this name has been ongoing for a long time-

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Persian_Gulf_naming_dispute

    In other news today, the Government of Iran has stated that all correspondence to the United States government will now be changed officially to the government of South Canada.

    Reply
    1. Polar Socialist

      I guess the sad part is that after having had their ass handed to them by Yemen, USA can only exert power on the level of the “Baltic superpowers” to try and annoy states they consider adversaries.

      Reply
  3. VTDigger

    Re: cheating on everything

    Not the ‘end of education’ but a vigorous weeding out of the weak-willed and stupid I think.
    Cheating in this way will simply make you an outgrowth of the statistical engine, indistinguishable from any other. “You” will disappear. Techno Buddhism?
    Better question, what are these entities doing with all the time they have saved?

    Reply
    1. ChrisFromGA

      Correct, I think. Anyone who relies on AI to cheat to their own detriment will become part of the faceless, nameless body of AI slop. You’ll be replaced by a very short shell script.

      Critical thinking skills will become an “edge” for anyone who dares to retain them. Surrendering to fraudulent, greased AI will be the path to oblivion.

      Reply
      1. SufferinSuccotash

        The article provides an excellent argument for paying janitors and nurses more than college graduates.

        Reply
      1. ChrisFromGA

        Thanks! That story is truly horrifying.

        I think these schools, like Columbia, that take money from OpenAI are going to have to realize they’ve gotten in bed with the devil.

        There is probably only one way out – get rid of all digital assignments. No online exams, take home work submitted through the Internet. Go back to pen and paper. Proctored in-person exams, all handwritten. You’re going to have to put the students in a monitored room with a Faraday cage around it. Any glasses will need to be inspected.

        Georgia just banned cellphones for school kids in grades K-8. It’s a small step. This whole AI thing is going to be the biggest disaster, ever.

        Reply
        1. Polar Socialist

          Oral exams, or have the students write papers that other students then evaluate the writer defends in the class room – so even if it was written by an AI, the students have to know the contents and the context anyway.

          Just the way it used to be back before the 90’s in my alma mater…

          Reply
  4. The Rev Kev

    “Trump offers to mediate Pakistan-India crisis”

    Ooohh, no, no, no, no, no. No way. Absolutely not. Instead of trying to establish peace between those two nations, he would try to come up with a deal where the US would get something from both countries as a reward for all his hard work. Maybe he would threaten them with the tariffs from hell unless they did what he told them to do because the whole thing would be all about him. It would be better if they sent Witkoff and Lavrov instead instead with a blank check each. Nobody would win if both countries went for their nukes but Trump is too erratic and too much of a loose cannon to be trusted here.

    Reply
    1. mahna

      He would rename Kashmir to Kushnemir (or maybe Cashmir), and build a resort there, with blackjack and hookers.

      Reply
  5. ChrisFromGA

    MoA has an article up indicating that the Ukranian legislative body forced an amendment into the “minerals deal” that effectively kills the limited partnership agreement:

    https://www.moonofalabama.org/2025/05/ukraine-rada-blocks-detail-agreements-of-mineral-deal.html

    The Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine declares that any additional agreements necessary for the implementation of the agreement … cannot go beyond the provisions of this agreement and establish international legal obligations for Ukraine that are not provided for by it and are not agreed upon in accordance with the established procedure.

    This restricts the agreement to the “four corners” of the main document signed by Zelensky making any attempts to sneak in secondary documents null and void.

    Looks like Trump got snookered.

    Reply
  6. Bugs

    “Ukrainian women wounded in war take part in Playboy photoshoot – photos”

    Appalling. It’s something out of JG Ballard. I suppose the Nazi tattoos will be photoshopped out of the spread.

    Reply
  7. upstater

    Chips Act project, Central NYS edition. Massive scale, massive subsidies of $20B:

    Exclusive: Micron report details lasting impacts to Central NY: jobs, traffic, population, pollution syracuse.com archive

    Micron plans to spend up to $100 billion on the complex and would receive about $20 billion in taxpayer subsidies. The complex would be the largest chipmaking plant in the country and the largest private development ever in New York state.

    The environmental review assumes Micron will build four fabrication plants, or fabs, over the next 16 years. Each fab is 150 feet high and sprawls across 28 acres. The entire complex, including utility buildings and offices, would cover nearly 1,000 acres…

    Micron says the direct and indirect effects of the chipmaking complex would annually emit nearly 5 million tons of carbon dioxide, a major greenhouse gas. That’s equal to the emissions of about 500,000 cars…

    Micron’s power needs would be responsible for nearly twice as much carbon dioxide emissions as all vehicles generate in Central New York now. Micron’s added emissions would increase by nearly 30% the amount of greenhouse gases that all New York’s industries combined emit now.

    At full production, Micron’s four fabs would store onsite up to 56 million gallons of chemicals, mostly corrosives. That’s equivalent to 1 million 55-gallon drums.

    Some of those are known as “forever chemicals” and have few regulations on their use. Micron says it’s working on finding alternatives to those chemicals, but in the meantime will keep using them.

    The company will build a pretreatment plant on site, and then pipe most of its waste to an industrial wastewater plant nearby to be built by Onondaga County. Micron says it will take precautions to ensure those chemicals are used, stored, transported and disposed of safely.

    The Micron complex in Clay would generate 50,000 tons of hazardous waste each year with all four fabs running. That waste could be shipped to facilities from Massachusetts to Texas, the report says.
    Micron would use 48 million gallons of water a day, more than all 350,000 customers of the Onondaga County Water Authority use now. OCWA would have to build a second, 26-mile line from Lake Ontario to Clay to provide Micron with enough water. Early work on that project is already underway.

    An economic collapse might be good for some things.

    Reply
  8. Revenant

    Gaza: a Tory MP, Mark Pritchard, stood up a couple of days ago and said in the Commons that:
    – they had always supported Israel, come what may
    – they had got it wrong
    – they condemn Israel!

    Watch it here. Powerful stuff!
    https://nitter.poast.org/joebrolly1993

    And there has been total silence in the mainstream media. Nothing on the BBC, Guardian, Telegraph, Times etc. There is one mention in the Independent (which valiantly bothers to publish but does anybody read it?!) and one on politics.co.uk. Shameful!

    [Yves, perhaps this is worth a link, despite being a couple of days old?]

    Reply
    1. Colonel Smithers

      Thank you.

      A group of senior Tories, led by Kent MP Kit Malthouse, has written to No 10, urging immediate recognition of Palestine and emergency aid. Soon after, Zionist attack dogs mobilised.

      Reply
      1. Revenant

        It says something when the only place to get news of what should be an epochal statement by a Tory MP is from the twitter feed of … the barrister acting for “Tory MP killers” Kneecap. :-) :-(

        Reply
  9. DJG, Reality Czar

    Two sources, plain spoken, insightful.

    And they are correct in their analyses. I’ll take common sense from anywhere I can find common sense.

    First,
    The Lone Masker: “You know how they say the 3rd generation to inherit wealth squanders it? That is what we are doing with public health right now. People living with all the benefits of it are dismantling it because they think it’s just natural to not have constant disease and death… about to FIND OUT aren’t we?”

    In my not-so-humble opinion, this is what underlies the use-and-throw-away mentality of many USonions. Public health? Heck, little Tiffany won’t get diphtheria. We don’t seem to know why. So let’s get rid of treatment of drinking water. Measles? A mystical, mythical rite of passage in Donna Reed movies.

    What? The train system in the U S of A doesn’t work. Who needs it when there is Federal Express. (The late, excellent Tony Judt noted that train systems are a signal of a country’s commitment to making material progress, or not.)

    Education? Heck, who needs to go to college? We already destroyed the trade schools, and we’re better off importing plumbers from Mexico.

    Second,
    the More Perfect Union video is worth your while. I have checked out who is behind More Perfect Union, and much of the staff is too-true-blue. But the on-air talent is talented. Their reports do synthesis well.

    In short, though, the message of the video is that the U.S. of A. has to have an industrial policy, wage & hours policy (including control over executive compensation and corporate stock buybacks), and support for unions and unionization. The industrial policy would include selective tariffs. And the wage policy means repealing Taft-Hartley and so-called right-to-work laws.

    I’ll wait…

    Reply
  10. Jason Boxman

    From Democrats Cave, Prepare to Rubber-Stamp Trump Crypto Corruption

    There’s no doubt that the Trump stablecoin developments are alarming. At a Democratic-led hearing on Wednesday in the House, Revolving Door Project executive director Jeff Hauser testified that “the Founders would be alarmed by the advent of cryptocurrency” and that digital coins issued by politicians are primed for bribery, because “they afford a degree of deniability that undermines any hope for criminal accountability.”

    I’m not so sure. The Founders are a deified, morally pure bunch. But it just ain’t so. Washington, for example, was a prolific land speculator. The populist The Democracy would have surely objected to this, however, and both the early federalists and the state sovereignists fought equality among classes in the early Founding days, with ultimate success.

    Reply
    1. flora

      After Hunter and 10% for the Big Guy it’s hard for me to see why the Dems wouldn’t cave on a new grift. / ;)

      Reply
    2. Wukchumni

      Numisaddicts is the study of funny money and/or people.

      What was not so long ago an ongoing joke you watched from afar, is now official policy.

      Reply
  11. Bugs

    Correct link for “With boost from RFK Jr. and Tucker Carlson, two chronic disease entrepreneurs vault into Trump’s orbit”

    https://www.statnews.com/2024/10/07/calley-means-casey-means-conservative-voices-of-chronic-disease-crisis/#selection-1111.0-1111.102

    Nepobaby grifters, their pop was a founder of PWC. This part is fantastic:

    “This is where Calley’s company, TrueMed, comes in. People with health savings accounts (HSAs) and flexible spending accounts (FSAs) can report their medical conditions and get a letter of medical necessity within two business days — and then use their plans to buy wellness products and gym memberships. TrueMed makes money by hooking up patients with the likes of Barry’s (of bootcamp fame) and CrossFit, as well as makers of cold plunges, saunas, and supplements”

    You gotta hand it to ’em, it’s a good one.

    Reply
  12. The Rev Kev

    “Instagram’s Algorithm Recommended Minors to Putative Pedophiles”

    I’m sure that it was all completely innocent on the part of Instagram. Accidents do happen. I mean, some kids really do like the actor Marlon Brando’s work for example and so seek to get in contact with the North American Marlon Brando Look-Alikes organization. It’s not Instagram’s fault they they put them in contact with that other group instead-

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=64NK1ftMCg8 (43 secs)

    Reply
  13. The Rev Kev

    “American tourist climbs over fence at Colosseum, impales himself on spike”

    From his hospital bed in Rome, he vows that one day he will have that Darwin Award and will not be denied it again.

    Reply
  14. JMH

    “AI”, as machine learning is dubbed, is not the answer to actually doing police work or passing courses in university or being you best friend. I suppose it has its uses but it is not a substitute for human intelligence or effort. It looks to me that much of what is being touted as the virtues of “AI” is that it allows people to hand off jobs they do not want to do, jobs that require thought and sweat and effort, to machines. I am writing this comment using a computer that, among other things, makes it easier for me to correct the errors inherent in my less than stellar typing skills. It is a great boon. The computer can beat me at chess, but I can, at least theoretically, improve my game. The computer’s is fixed by its program. But, I do not delude myself that the computer is thinking any more than “AI” is intelligent. The ability to follow a program and juggle information at great speed exist because human intelligence set it up that way and it is limited by what it was designed to do. So, “AI” is just another human designed machine, a machine that is barely out of its infancy, and you want to trust it decide who may commit a crime? drive an auto? write your exam? be your best friend? I have been reading science fiction all my life and it is replete with cautionary tales about the machine, the mechanical brain, the robot that goes haywire. How is this different? Yeah, the money to be made. I see the wide eyes and smell the greed and just as in the stories there will be those who say, “Damn the torpedoes. Full speed ahead.” They will also be the first to bail out when or if their grand schemes create a disaster. Maybe I am wrong. Maybe I am just an old man who can’t see the glorious future. I hope that is true, but I doubt it.

    Reply
  15. Wukchumni

    Gooooooood Moooooorning Fiatnam!

    The platoon had taken R & R during Sede Vacante, and was now rested in anticipation of perhaps an orange plume of smoke emanating from a papal chimney…

    Reply
  16. The Rev Kev

    “Did Western Intelligence Play a Role in the Latest Terrorist Attack in Kashmir?”

    ‘While the initial conflict allegedly was rooted in Chechen nationalism and separatism, I have no doubts that Western intelligence agencies were involved in providing covert aid to the Chechens.’

    Larry Johnson should know the answer to that. The CIA had their own ratlines into Chechnya feeding them all sorts of arms. The Russians complained about this but the US denied it so the Russians sent in a team to get proof which they did. They even gave the hot-shot officer in charge a gong for his efforts. And when the Russians went to Washington and showed them the proof of the US supplying military gear to the Chechnyans, the US officials simply shrugged.

    Reply
    1. ambrit

      So now, American “contractors” working inside the Ukraine are regularly re-Kalibr-ated, out of existence.
      Can those Western “contractors” really say to the heirs and assigns of their prospective hires; “They knew the job was dangerous when they took it?”
      “Squaaaawk! for super chicken-hawk!”

      Reply
  17. ambrit

    That “Women Wounded…” Playboy ‘spread’ is a sign of the times. It is the commodification of both sex and death; the perfect advertisers wet dream. Bernays has become the Evil Genius lurking behind our societal zeitgeist.
    When will we see Playboy do “Women of Gaza?” (How many photographers will Playboy lose to Israeli snipers? They do qualify as “press,” thus, fair game to the IDF.)

    Reply
    1. The Rev Kev

      You wonder how many of them have the hots for Bandera. That sort would not be so much wounded women as broken women.

      Reply
  18. .human

    Muni Finances

    Some 15 years ago I was doing repair / replacement electronics work for Fortune 500 companies.

    One day I entered the office of an investment banker to work as he left grumbling, “what a mess they had made.” He had left on his desk the muni’s pension fund tax schedule. A file abiout an inch thick.

    Reply
  19. Clwydshire

    “American tourist climbs over fence at Colosseum, impales himself on spike… the man … was left dangling and screaming in pain, while other visitors looked on in horror…” But then there arose from the stones surrounding, a ghostly cheer, as if old Roman spectacle had been renewed, and the barbarian might be left to die, his blood slaking the thirst of the dust in the hot sunshine.

    Reply

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