The EU’s Digital Euro Is Just a Whisker Away from Becoming a Legal Reality

Brief note to readers: apologies for posting a second article on the subject of central bank digital currencies in less than 24 hours, which is the result of lack of coordination between Curro and myself. That said, as NC reader Tom Dority notes in the comments thread to Curro’s excellent summary, this is one of the most consequential developments of this still young century — not that you would know that if you depended on legacy media for your daily diet of news and opinion. Any readers who are still unfamiliar with this topic should read Curro’s piece first.   

The European Parliament wants a central bank digital currency. And it wants it as soon as possible, and in all its possible forms.

This was the big takeaway from the parliament’s plenary session on Wednesday in which it approved the inclusion of two amendments to the annual report on the activities of the European Central Bank (ECB). Those amendments, while not legally binding, represent a huge fillip for the architects of the Euro Area’s proposed central bank digital currency (CBDC).

MEPs consider the proposed digital euro “essential” in the current context of heightened geopolitical uncertainty and over-reliance on payment infrastructure from the United States, which is a much less reliable partner today. Per the first of the two amendments, the digital euro is considered key to bolstering the EU’s monetary sovereignty, reducing the fragmentation of retail payments and supporting the integrity and resilience of the single market.

The most surprising thing to come out of Wednesday’s session was the scale of support for the digital euro project. The text of the first amendment was approved by a massive margin of 438 votes in favour compared to 158 against and 44 abstentions.

The second amendment was arguably even more important for the future prospects of the proposed CBDC. The text emphasised that the “digital euro, both online and offline, must contribute to safeguarding universal access to payments and achieving broad acceptance by merchants throughout the Union”. In other words, it must be as universally accepted as cash.

MEPs even added a paragraph of their own to bolster the future use case for the digital euro:

“If the increasing digitalisation of payments is left exclusively in the hands of private agents and third countries, there is a risk of creating new forms of exclusion for both users and merchants.”

This clause, as I will explain later, is darkly ironic given the unparalleled exclusionary potential of programmable CBDCs. Needless to say, the second amendment was adopted with 420 votes in favour, 158 against and 64 abstentions.

While both amendments have no legislative impact, they send a clear message: when the European Central Bank and the European Commission present their final legislative framework for the digital euro, it will have no trouble getting approved.

The Final Hurdle

The reason this is important is that the European Parliament is the last regulatory hurdle facing the digital euro. The 20 finance ministers of the Eurozone member states have all backed the ECB’s digital euro plans, and like the overwhelming majority of MEPs, they want it as soon as possible, and in both of its possible forms (online and offline).

This did not seem like such a foregone conclusion just a few months ago. The European Parliament’s own rapporteur on the digital euro, Fernando Navarrete, a conservative politician from Spain appointed by the European Parliament to lead the parliament’s legislative push for a digital euro, had argued for a significantly scaled-down version of the project.

In his draft opinion, Navarrete had argued that the ECB and Commission should initially focus on launching a digital euro for money transactions between banks and large institutions (known in the trade as a wholesale CBDC) while the Euro Area’s commercial banks continue working on developing a bloc-wide instant payments system.

The ECB, he said, could also launch an offline digital euro for the general public. This would come in the form of a credit stored on a special device, presumably in card form or on a smartphone, that would allow members of the public to pay at the point of sale without an internet connection.

Navarrete argued that such a system should not depend on a central processing authority, therefore allowing for digital anonymous payments. Another potential advantage of an offline digital euro is that it would strengthen the resilience of the payment system in the event of power outages and payment system failures. Just like cash, the offline digital euro could continue to be used in such situations.

The draft opinion also suggested watering down the proposed obligation to accept digital euros in all retail settings. Meanwhile, as the FT reported in November, the digital euro CBDC was also facing pushback from the Euro Area’s banks, which claimed that the “current design of the retail digital euro largely addresses the same use cases as private solutions, without offering any clear added value for consumers.”

It’s also worth keeping in mind that Navarrete’s predecessor as rapporteur on the digital euro, the German MEP Stefan Berger, ended up becoming one of the digital euro’s fiercest critics, eventually stepping down from the role. Among other things, Berger voiced concerns about the existential threat the CBDC could pose to small German savings banks, which are the financial backbone of Germany’s already struggling Mittelstand (small and medium sized businesses).

From Politico:

According to Berger, what banks fear most is that the digital euro could prompt customers to withdraw deposits very suddenly, sparking a destabilizing bank run on smaller lenders. “It’s no longer the money of the bank [after it is transferred],” Berger said, adding that the average deposit for a small German bank is about €3,000.

Coincidentally, €3,000 is the proposed holding limit for the digital euro.

Berger, like Navarrete, became convinced that central bank control over digital infrastructure should be limited, arguing instead for the introduction of a so-called wholesale model governing transactions between the central bank and the banking industry. He thought that could be a way to calm everyone’s fears.

“This was my idea, just reverse it, but the ECB … they don’t want [to], and the Commission said: ‘No, just make progress with this file,’” he said.

Berger began facing accusations from MEPs in the S&D (socialists), Renew Europe (liberals) and Greens blocs, most of whom support the introduction of the digital euro, that he was undermining the “democratic process.” Eventually, he handed in his notice.

Grand Deceptions

In sum, just a few months ago it looked like the digital euro was facing a wall of resistance, not only from private sector banks but also from the two MEPs that had been appointed to promote the project. But that wall, it seems, has now crumbled. An overwhelming majority of the EU’s rubber-stamping legislative chamber not only support the launch of a digital euro in all its forms, they want it to happen as soon as possible.

“Parliament has sent a very clear message: we want to move quickly towards a full digital euro,” said Socialist MEP Jonás Fernández. “There is no room for further manoeuvres that delay the process. We urge the rapporteur to take note of the position of the chamber and abandon a strategy that divides the project.”

One of the grand deceptions about the proposed digital euro is the oft-touted claim that it will help to bolster the EU’s monetary sovereignty while reducing its dependence on US providers.

What is often not mentioned is that US payment card companies, banks and many Silicon Valley companies have been closely involved in the development of many central bank digital currencies, including the digital euro. More specifically, as the German financial journalist Norbert Häring reported in late 2023, the European Central Bank has sought to outsource its data to US cloud providers (machine translated):

As Handelsblatt reported on June 6, there was clear criticism of the ECB’s intention to move some of its IT applications to the cloud and also to rely on services from large American service providers such as Amazon Web Services (AWS), Microsoft and Google at the Handelsblatt conference “Future IT”.

Claudia Plattner, then ECB Director General for Information Technology, said at the conference that American companies could not be dispensed with because the most powerful cloud providers came from the USA.

Cloud services is a euphemism for a business model in which data and programs are not stored on their own servers, but on the servers of other companies.

As Handelsblatt writes, European data protection authorities and many politicians are critical of the use of American cloud service providers. Due to the CLOUD Act, US authorities have access to data stored on servers of US companies, including those abroad.

In other words, all the financial data that will soon be amassed on Euro Area citizens and residents by the European Central Bank through its control of the upcoming digital euro may be accessible not only to Silicon Valley companies like Amazon but also US government agencies. To try to quell those fears, Amazon recently launched the AWS European Sovereign Cloud.

It also means that if the services provided by companies like AWS go down, the digital euro, at least in its online format, will also go down, as happened just a few days ago to Brazil’s Pix instant payments system during an AWS outage (h/t DGE).

The president of the German Savings Banks and Giro Association (DSGV), Ulrich Reuter, has also warned that the digital euro, as currently conceived, will offer non-European providers easy access to European customers, their data, and payment infrastructure. From Heise (machine translated):

For payment processing, for example via apps, wallets, and point-of-sale solutions, the involvement of intermediaries is necessary. By creating a new, standardized digital currency infrastructure, it could become easier for large, technologically agile big tech or US payment corporations to link their services directly to this system.

If these large global players offer more user-friendly and innovative wallets or apps than European banks, they are likely to quickly occupy the interface to the customer. While they would not issue the money themselves, they would gain control over the customer experience and transaction data.

Another grand deception being peddled about a digital euro is that it will help to reduce financial exclusion in the Euro Area, as the MEPs asserted in the paragraph added to the second of the two amendments. As we argued in our March 25, 2025 post, “Five Reasons Why Euro Area Citizens Should Be Terrified By the ECB’s (Apparently) Fast Approaching Digital Euro“, programmable CBDCs could become a perfect weapon for financial exclusion, especially if cash use is gradually phased out following the digital euro’s introduction:

It is not just the prospect of the ECB and the Commission being able to track, trace and monitor all of our financial activity — what we earn, how we spend, what we save — that should terrify us; it is also the prospect of them being able to “program” money so as to achieve certain monetary, fiscal or social policy objectives.

In a fully cashless digital-euro system, the central bank and Commission would have a complete record of every transaction made by everyone, allowing it to essentially eradicate tax evasion. The potential applications go far beyond that, notes NS Lyons, a Washington DC-based consultant and analyst in his 2022 article CBDC Caution: A Central-Bank-Issued Digital Dollar Could Enable a Dark Future:

Fines, such as for speeding or jaywalking, could be levied in real time, if CBDC accounts were connected to a network of “smart city” surveillance. Nor would there be any need to mail out stimulus checks, tax refunds, or other benefits, such as universal basic income payments. Such money could just be deposited directly into accounts. But a CBDC would allow government to operate at much higher resolution than that if it wished. Targeted microfinance grants, added straight to the accounts of those people and businesses considered especially deserving, would be a relatively simple proposition.

Other potential forms of programming applications include setting expiry dates for stimulus funds or welfare payments to encourage users to spend it quickly in order to boost economic activity. It would be a central banker’s wet dream. Programmable money could also be used to encourage the right sorts of consumption and discourage or even prevent the wrong sorts. Taken to the extreme, governments could use CBDCs to exclude the deplorables and undesirables from the economy altogether.

As independent media outlets like this one have shone an ever brighter spotlight on the potential dangers of programmable money, the ECB has shifted its stance, claiming now that it will not use programmable money. But at the same time it has relabelled programmable money as “conditional payments” and appears to have given the job of programming these payments to the payment service providers who will be managing all customer-facing activities.

As Lyons warns, CBDCs, “if not deliberately and carefully constrained in advance by law,… have the potential to become even more than a technocratic central planner’s dream. They could represent the single greatest expansion of totalitarian power in history.”

“A Political Sledgehammer”

Now, imagine that power in the hands of senior eurocrats like Ursula von der Leyen, Kaja Kallas and Christine Lagarde. Even without a programmable CBDC, the EU is already ratcheting its sanctions against the bloc’s citizens and residents. As Pascal Lottaz explains in a recent substack, it is their extra-legal nature that give these sanctions such force:

It [came] as a shock to many of us in the alternative media sphere when, on December 15, the EU put the esteemed analyst, political commentator, and former Swiss Army colonel Jacques Baud, on its Russia-Sanctions list. He was one of several newly sanctioned individuals (alongside, for instance, the popular French journalist, Xavier Moreau). Baud is already the second Swiss to be sanctioned. In June 2025, the EU announced that Nathalie Yamb, a Swiss-Cameroonian activist against neocolonialism, would be sanctioned.

Being on the EU sanctions list is a devastating event for the people concerned, especially if they reside in an EU country or a closely associated state like Switzerland, Norway, or the UK. It means banks will freeze their accounts, credit companies will cancel their cards, they are not allowed to enter into contracts with EU-affiliated companies or private persons, and no business in the EU is allowed to have dealings with them, which, in theory, even precludes them from buying bread and other necessities of life. Furthermore, many international businesses will cancel all their services to them, including mail providers, social media platforms, etc. Even Swiss banks freeze or cancel accounts, out of fear they might get in trouble if they don’t comply with EU regulations. I recently interviewed two sanctioned people, Nathalie Yamb and Hüsseyin Dogru, and their testimonies are heartbreaking…

As of early January 2026, there were 59 private individuals on the EU’s Russia sanctions list. Originally, this tool was levied only against Russian businessmen and people living in Russia (which was already problematic in my view), but since 2024, the EU has begun using sanctions as a political sledgehammer to crack down on various forms of dissent. Yamb, for instance, was sanctioned mostly for her activism against France’s neocolonial behavior in Africa, and Dogru for being a vocal German journalist for the Palestinian cause. The little text snippets that serve as justifications for the decision to include them in the sanctions list even mention those non-Russia-related activities for their listing.

Naturally, one would assume that in a free and liberal society, based on the rule of law, sanctions against citizens and residents must be illegal. Right? In fact, the EU parliamentarian Michael von der Schulenburg has commissioned a report that is very clear in its verdict. Sanctions, it holds, break existing EU law on individual freedoms.

However, the problem we have is that while sanctions are doubtlessly a breach of some EU law, there is other EU law that allows the Council to take these measures. Procedurally, the EU is not in breach of its competences because sanctions are not a domestic policing matter but a foreign policy decision.

Modern forms of dystopia often bring to mind the prescient warnings of Orwell’s 1984, Huxley’s A Brave New World and Dick’s Minority Report. But what the EU (and the US) are doing in their financial sanctions against individual citizens and residents is strongly reminiscent of Kafka’s The Trial and other works. Once you get caught in the bureaucratic vice, it just keeps tightening:

Germany’s federal government has gone a step further by turning what were previously considered administrative offences into criminal offences, reports Berliner Zeitung (machine translation):

However, there are no constitutional elements such as a hearing, defence, judgment and appeal. There is no separation between the prosecution and the court, and access to files and discovery cannot be requested. As a result, the trial amounts to a reversal of the presumption of innocence: the punished person must prove that he has not violated political guidelines or laws.

The reform implements an EU directive that obliges all member states to enforce sanctions uniformly. The basis of the decision is the Bundestag printed matter of mid-January, which contains the report and recommendation of the responsible committee. Astonishingly, with the exception of the AfD, none of the parties represented in the Bundestag has a problem with the new policy.

This is what the EU and its constituent members are doing before the digital euro becomes a legal (and financial) reality — imagine what it will be like afterwards, when many of these processes are automated. That could be in just a year or two’s time — the ECB has set a launch date for 2029, but given the mad rush they are in to get it up and ready, it could come sooner.

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20 comments

  1. TomDority

    A new dimension in available frauds, data breaches, identity theft would become available — just think of all the new digital games the three letter security services and black ops have at their disposal.
    Need that court filing and service to get delivered in time, need to pay for transportation, need some medication…. with all the face recognition, remote identification techniques and all digital footprints merged…why it would be magical….you could step out your door and just go where you want and do what you want and purchasing anything would become invisible, what you want without any hassle or inconvenience… your auto front door, automated transport vehicle, the easy pass into stores and government buildings without searches, a paradise and, on and on…..who would even need to think anymore until one day, or one second everything changes…………….

  2. t

    SWIFT etc. are onboard and ready for virtual coin – whether fear of being left behind or leading the way is beyond me.

    What does the exchange rate look like during and directly after an outage?

  3. The Rev Kev

    Re Swiss Army colonel Jacques Baud. Those sanctions are more severe than you think. He actually has to have friends drop off food – food!! – to him as he cannot buy any as his funds are frozen. One friend in Belgium tried to order some food for him but discovered that his address is blocked as a delivery point. If he ever ran out of food, he would have to run out and get himself arrested so that they could feed him in jail. More of those European values that we keep on hearing about.

    I would imagine that they are rushing the digital Euro as the EU countries are determined that they will fight Russia on the battlefield in the next coupla years. They are really trying to talk themselves into it.This being the case a digital Euro would be the ideal weapon to attack those who do not want to fight a war with Russia as they can be denied all money so could not buy food, pay bills, put fuel in their cars, etc. It would be a weapon of State Terrorism and the present EU is just the government to use it.

    1. flora

      Old saying in the US: Friends will get you through times of no money better than money will get you through times of no friends.

      Stay on good terms with your friends, family, and neighbors.

    2. NN Cassandra

      Doesn’t Jacques Baud’s case (and the others) kind of disproves the fear that digital euro will be instrumental in squashing dissent? Apparently the system we have already supports the most draconian measures imaginable with no oversight or ability to appeal whatsoever.

      1. Nick Corbishley Post author

        The difference is that with a programmable digital euro, the system will be largely automated, making it a lot easier and more efficient to implement these kinds of sanctions. As Pascal Lottaz notes in the cited article, there are still “only” a few dozen people that have been on the receiving end of the EU’s individual sanctions. That number could go up exponentially under a CBDC regime. Plus, the sanctions could be far more targeted in their application. That doesn’t mean there won’t be mistakes made along the way — this is AI after all; when doesn’t it make mistakes?

        1. NN Cassandra

          But if they try to scale it up, they will need to defend this insanity publicly, which IMO they can’t. As far as I can see any logic in these sanctions, it is to pick on some random and unknown people (of all the named people, I knew only Baud) in the hopes that more prominent critics take the hint, but it all stays confined to obscure margins (at least from mainstream POV) of public discourse.

          Also centralization would presumably force them to develop some kind of process to deal with such cases. Surely even the EU parliament would have hard time passing law giving Kaja Kallas unchecked power to effectively confiscate assets of any EU citizen on a whim and let him die on the street, and then watch how she does just that to tens or hundredths of thousands of her internet critics. So far she seems to rely on distributed nature of this system, where the affected people have to sue individual banks and companies, and the resultant cumulative effect of not being able to move any money at all is ignored.

          1. ambrit

            I think that you have underestimated the level of depravity that our present day elites have sunk to.
            Trump here is the “small voice in the wilderness,” crying out, “prepare ye the way of your Lords.” He is in the process of normalizing lawlessness in public actions.
            As for the Eurocrats caring anything for the lives of the plebs, read your De Sade. He was an old style Aristo. These new style Aristos are cut from the same cloth.
            Stay safe.

  4. TimH

    The USA, UK, and the EU seem to be competing to see who can set up the legal citizen frameworks the quickest to effectively prevent any dissent.

    At least in USA there are places to move too that will avoid most of this, but only for those who have a budget of bare minimum $500k to set up in one of the cheaper parts of the country and get an acre lot size with the house. Not the western third of the country with endemic water/fire issues, not the southern-/eastern-ish areas with hurricane issues. Still need a vehicle though.

  5. flora

    Thanks for this. Great post. “Delusions” indeed. Some of the worst govt ideas supposedly for the welfare and safety of general public always come with lofty sounding (and misleading) language about helping others, about being a benefit to all.

    Reminds me of the old Twilight Zone tv show episode titled
    To Serve Man .

  6. Yaiyen

    From young age i always did look up Europeans thought they could have change the world for better. I guess living in Scandinavia it blind where we was heading and even Euro i thought it was a good idea but look like all these was policy’s to win the cold war against soviets and destroy countries independentse slowly. Now we at final phase and they will use anything to win against Russia and i think they will win by getting their people in power in Russia, that war have continue too long so its easy to see where it will end up

  7. tegnost

    I’ve always consider the EU technocracy as the incipient framework for global technocratic control. This is why the eu poodles, most WEF alum , all look at RU as something for managers to manage and make lots and lots of money. It may not seem to be going well, but it’s not stopping either and “force of will” (I can do whatever you can’t stop me from doing) seems to be a managing principle in these dark times.

  8. amfortas

    i remember the first time i read 1984, and got to the part where they go outside the walls and visit the savages.
    and i remember thinking, at…12?…yep, thats where i’ll be…

  9. Kouros

    If the proverbial manure hits the fan and people feel that their money are somehow take n from them, will EU countries experience moments like Iran at the beginning of this year?

  10. WillD

    It’s a return to the Dark Ages, where everyone was under suspicion for heresy, or other ‘crimes’ against the Church or State. Fear was the primay tool of suppression and control, and there was no justice. You had no rights, civil or human.

    In the near future, centralised digitial currencies will be one of the key weapons of fear, combined with perpetual surveillance, onging suppression of freedoms of speech, movement and protest, and reduction of human and civil rights. Justice will be very limited, as evidenced by the UK removing the right to trial by jury for many cases.

    As someone who has lived in two old European fascist countries, I am familiar with the principles and practice of fully authoritarian states and totalitarianism.

    I never thought I’d see it all again in my lifetime.

  11. DFWCom

    I’m missing it, could someone provide the Curro link. Many thanks.

    It seems to me that the right to use state money is a universal human right that must be guaranteed.

    The reality in an e-money world is that someone is handling transactions and benefitting from analyzing the data as well as having the ability to block transactions as U.S. credit card companies have already done. I am in favour, in principle, of reducing the scope of U.S. financial intermediaries. As noted, a CBDC might include anonymous ‘cash’ cards as well as credit options that compete with credit cards.

    The bigger issue is that CBDCs eliminate private sector banks – ever more dependent on extractive fees and use of U.S. back-end systems. But they still create most of our money by making loans for interest. As systems dynamics has shown, credit (bank) money creation is boom-and-bust unstable and requires government (fiat) money creation to stabilize the economy. The issue of bank regulation is therefore essential and, imho receives far too little attention. Double ditto for crypto.

    CBDCs also eliminate bank reserves and the ‘need’ to convert them to savings. Again, imho, government deficits need to be left in the economy (to the inflation limit, of course) and not converted to savings, which is the mechanism for the terrible inequality we see today.

    The bottom line is that we are in an e-money version of fiat money and the two are not the same. We need a far better conversation about how our money (and tax) system should work and by scholarship that does not have massive conflicts of interest.

  12. DFWCom

    Thank you for adding it. I went back to the original without seeing your reply and thought, sheepishly, “how did I miss it”. All is well and I have read it.

    So on reflection, here are my views restated. Probably the most serious modern thinker about money is Randy Wray, and the most coherent mathematical description of macro today is Steve Keen’s reformulation of the economy as a dynamic monetary system driven by credit flows. Any discussion of CBDCs, stablecoins, or “programmable money” that ignores system dynamics is incomplete from the outset.

    Money must be a universal public right. Access to state money is not a consumer product; it is a condition of citizenship. In an e-money world someone always runs the rails. Today that someone is Visa, Mastercard, PayPal and US-dominated clearing infrastructure. Replacing private toll-taking with a public digital option is not inherently dystopian. It depends on design and governance.

    What destabilizes the economy is not fiat money but bank-created credit money. Keen’s accounting makes clear that when private banks expand lending, aggregate demand rises above income until leverage collapses. That is the boom-bust cycle. Government deficits are not the source of instability; they are the stabilizer that offsets private deleveraging. Retail CBDCs do not eliminate private banks, but they do threaten their cheap deposit base and therefore their capacity to generate speculative credit. It is no surprise banks resist them.

    Crypto, meanwhile, is not a new monetary paradigm. Bitcoin does not generate endogenous credit; it functions more like a speculative digital commodity. Stablecoins are private IOUs backed by state money – essentially shadow deposits wrapped in regulatory arbitrage. That is not monetary revolution; it is layered finance.

    The real structural shift is occurring at the wholesale layer. China’s mBridge – developed by the People’s Bank of China with Hong Kong, Thailand, the UAE and the BIS – enables real-time cross-border settlement directly between central banks using wholesale CBDCs. That is geopolitically significant because it reduces reliance on the dollar-centric correspondent banking system and weakens SWIFT dependence. While Western debates fixate on programmable retail dystopias, the deeper change is the emergence of alternative interbank liquidity networks outside the US perimeter.

    We already live within a monetary hierarchy with reserves, deposits and shadow liabilities so talk of “two kinds of money” misses the point. What changes is not hierarchy but who controls the clearing node and how tightly retail access is constrained. Digital form does not determine outcome; political structure does.

    What is changing is the plumbing of payments and cross-border settlement. What is not changing is the credit cycle driven by private leverage, the stabilizing role of fiat deficits, and the centrality of state power in monetary systems.

    The real deficiency in most commentary is the refusal to treat the economy as a dynamic balance-sheet system. Until that is addressed, debates about CBDCs will focus on the interface while ignoring the engine.

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