We wrote a couple of days ago that one of the reasons for rescuing AIG was that its failure would have had a devastating impact on EU banks. The insurer had entered into credit default swaps that enabled European banks to evade minimum capital requirements. Thus, an AIG failure would have put a considerable number […]
Read more...Yet another subject of worry is whether the global financial crisis will fracture the EU fatally. While the ECB coordinated rescue of Fortis was a positive sign, Ireland’s move to guarantee all bank deposits was a blow, since it is drawing funds from EU institutions to Irish ones. French president Sarkozy had proposed a 300 […]
Read more...Even though the deeply flawed bailout bill appears to be moving relentlessly towards passage by the House, it hasn’t deterred pundits and experts from coming up with better alternatives. Since the smart money expects this so-called “Mother of All Bailouts” to be another chapter in a series, it’s worth keeping tabs on these ideas, since […]
Read more...Most observers have taken as a given that the increased disinclination of banks to lend to each other is counterparty risk, that is, the fear the money they lend out won’t come back, or at least on the initially promised timetable (bankruptcy proceedings take time and usually lead to losses by unsecured creditors). Some wags […]
Read more...Oh boy, this is badly timed. The run on money market funds appears to have abated, thanks to the insurance plan implemented by Treasury, but the commercial paper market, important for day-to-day business funding is still under big-time stress because the amount of money committed to short-term, non-government holdings has contracted. The new bit of […]
Read more...We have been asserting for many moons that despite having lower incidence of US style, “another quarter, another writedown” behavior, European banks are actually in weaker condition than their US counterparts. That’s based on the view of a buddy who has top level regulatory connections here and in Europe, and it seems plausible given the […]
Read more...Columbia professor and Nobel prize winner Edmund Phelps writes in a Wall Street Journal op-ed, “We Need to Recapitalize the Banks,” an article appears not to have garnered the attention it warrants in the blogosphere. Phelps comments approvingly on Sweden’s approach to handling its financial crisis, which had as its cornerstone reducing the size of […]
Read more...Reader FairEconomist left a short comment on an earlier post which we hoisted along with some other material, on why the bailout bill could make the illiquidity in money markets worse. He left a longer comment j that sets forth the issues, as he sees them, in more detail. I hope readers do not mind […]
Read more...Imitation is the sincerest form of flattery. The bailout bill discussions in the US have apparently emboldened politicians on the other side of the pond to suggest massive rescue efforts. As we have said, one of our colleagues who has high level regulatory contacts in the US and Europe has been telling us for quite […]
Read more...Boy, I wish I had thought of this, and why no one else save some smart readers have focused on the mechanics of the Paulson plan operations is beyond me. This bill is moving ahead like the Titanic…..with high odds of similar outcomes. Hoisted from comments, we turn the mike over to reader Don: The […]
Read more...More detail on all the lovely goodies larded in via Karim Bardeesy at The Big Money (both someone at TBM and reader Jennifer pointed out the piece). Note that this is a partial list: DIVISION C-TAX EXTENDERS AND ALTERNATIVE MINIMUM TAX RELIEF SEC. 308. INCREASE IN LIMIT ON COVER OVER OF RUM EXCISE TAX TO […]
Read more...Here’s a clip: Boy, do I need to get better at looking at the lens. FWIW, this is all done with a computer camera (unlike videotaping or TV) so you only have a teeny light to look at, and you clearly need to keep your eyes locked on it not to look peculiar. Better luck […]
Read more...This comes from an e-mail titled, “It’s worse than I thought,” from a reader with a good deal of inside-the-Beltway experience: It’s Christmas…This has NOTHING TO DO WITH THE ORIGINAL CONCEPT. In fact very little has really been changed with respect to the original Paulson plan…The new PIG has everything to do with Senate Finance. […]
Read more...Bloomberg did not report this story in enough detail to be certain, but as it reads, the EU will be imposing rules on member banks that will require them to hold more capital now. That’s a good thing, right? Banks need more capital, after all. Not exactly, When banks are imperiled, the first priority is […]
Read more...One of my hugely plugged in buddies has been warning that European banks are even more wobbly than US ones, and the ECB will wind up, like the Fed, cutting rates to as close to zero as it dares. Some of his grim view is based on the fact that EU banks on average are […]
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