Despite the hue and cry among the officialdom in favor of the bailout bill, the reading we have gotten from professional investors, some of them with very high level connections, and economists among our readership and personal network is strongly negative. Nevertheless, by making the bill a de facto ultimatum (“do this or we do […]
Read more...This message comes from a savvy reader/investor/economist, and is refreshingly succinct: At this stage, I think the bailout complicates matters enormously, because the immediate problem is 1) Preventing further runs on banks and money market funds by extending deposit insurance & mmmf insurance 2) Reviving the interbank market by placing the Fed as counterparty and […]
Read more...Markets continue to be roiled by the upset of the effort to pass the touted Paulson bailout bill. As of this writing, the FTSE and Dj Stoxx 50 are up slightly, but money markets took a beating, the reaction worsened by end-of-quarter factors. From Bloomberg: The cost of borrowing in dollars overnight surged the most […]
Read more...Bloomberg gives a recap of the some of the credit market reaction in Asia, which is that borrowing has become, not surprisingly, more costly. Rates moved up even in Japan, whose banks are virtually unaffected by the financial crisis (out of a total $1 trillion plus in subprime debt, only an estimated $8 billion went […]
Read more...Our reader and sometimes contributor Lune worked on the Hill and was so kind as to send us his take on the choices facing the Senate and House leadership on the bailout bill, His position on it is rather clear: While many of you may be popping champagne bottles tonight in honor of the bailout […]
Read more...Boy, there have been bigger bad investments (TPG putting $7 billion into WaMu comes to mind) but seldom has one come cropper as quickly as Mitsubishi UFJ’s $9 billion interest in Morgan Stanley. The bank took a cool $500 million one-day loss. From Bloomberg: Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc. took a $506 million paper loss […]
Read more...This report from Bloomberg: Rates in the $7 trillion-a-day market for borrowing and lending securities show that the logjam in credit markets is approaching the level seen after the March collapse of Bears Stearns Cos. Securities that can be borrowed at interest rates close to the Federal Reserve’s target rate for overnight loans between banks […]
Read more...This is on top of the $330 billion increase in dollar swap lines we mentioned this morning. From Bloomberg: The Federal Reserve will pump an additional $630 billion into the global financial system, flooding banks with cash to alleviate the worst banking crisis since the Great Depression. The Fed increased its existing currency swaps with […]
Read more...I’m actually quite surprised. The stock market in a panic. I wonder whether Paulson and Bernanke have a Plan B. Jamie Galbraith outlined a good interim idea (needs tweaking but has merit) in the Washington Post last week. Hope someone paid attention. From Bloomberg: U.S. stocks plunged and the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index tumbled […]
Read more...Note that unlike the FDIC’s resolution of WaMu, senior and secured debtors are preserved, but the FDIC may wind up absorbing some losses on a pool of Wachovia loans. But the agency also will take upside stake in Citi. From the Financial Times: Citigroup on Monday said it would acquire the banking operations of Wachovia, […]
Read more...An excellent comment in the Financial Times by Wolfgang Munchau discusses how the gold standard for handling banking crises, the Swedish model, would take even more discipline to implement in the US and how we are dong the reverse of what is needed.It is a levelheaded analysis which stands in stunning contrast with a bit […]
Read more...Reader a pointed us to an article in the Financial Times which we missed over the weekend, and a quick survey of blogs suggests we weren’t alone in overlooking it. The article addresses an issue that has not gotten much airing, namely that Libor, which is currently at elevated levels thanks to the credit crisis, […]
Read more...Did we say really? Even by the normal standards of Roubini’s tendency to hyperventilate state his case forcefully, the good professor rises to levels of choler heretofore unseen. Roubini focuses on many of the issues we have discussed in our earlier posts (most notably this one) but he teases out some of the issues in […]
Read more...For a quick, one-stop synopsis of the Mother of All Bailouts (as of this month), see this readable version at Clusterstock (we’ve become a recent convert to this site). Reader and sometimes contributor Lune, who was once a Congressional staffer and still subscribes to the the inside-the-Beltway press, provided a wrap of their coverage of […]
Read more...Various readers wrote us, and it was confirmed by a detailed report on the call at DealBreaker, that the Treasury Department held a conference call this evening for analysts on the bailout bill. A memo was evidently sent to SIFMA members; others may have been contacted by other means. But the report I got from […]
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