Category Archives: Credit markets

Volcker Calls for Regulation, Questions Loyalties of GSEs

Former Fed Chair Paul Volcker reiterated some of his concerns about the Fed’s recent moves and the evolution of the financial system in prepared remarks before the Joint Economic Committee of Congress. From the WSJEconomicsBlog: “Whatever claims might be made about the uniqueness of current circumstances, it seems inevitable that the nature of the Fed’s […]

Some Informative Credit, Housing, and Mortgage Charts

Reader AK sent me a bit of Christmas in May: three hot-off-the presses reports, one from Morgan Stanley on the credit standing of US and European broker dealers, a Moody’s report on RMBS, and a UBS report on the subprime crisis. The Morgan Stanley report, although the shortest, was in some ways the most informative, […]

Moody’s: "Elevated" Concern About MBIA, Ambac Aaas

Moody’s issued the weakest warning it could about the two big monolines. Most observers did not expect the bond insurers’ last round of fundraising to carry them very far, and that view appears to be playing out on schedule. We may be moving towards a repeat the January-February drama, with the rating agencies saber rattling […]

Satyajit Das on Nuclear De-Leveraging

It’s one thing when journalists and analysts offer worrisome forecasts about the markets, quite another when someone with good inside knowledge sounds an alarm. Satyajit Das, an expert in derivatives and risk management, best known as the author of Traders, Guns & Money, looks over the financial landscape and does not like what he sees. […]

MBIA Reports $2.4 Billion 1Q Loss, Downstreams Cash to Sub

The news on MBIA reveals a bit of revisionist reporting. The Armonk based bond insurer posted a first quarter loss of $2.4 billion. The Financial Times says that that red ink was twice what analysts expected; the initial story at Bloomberg (hat tip Andrew Clavell) apparently made similar comments. But the stock is up, and […]

Bottom Testing in Mortgage Land

The Financial Times has a long analysis, “Value to Unlock,” on how various financial players are starting to pick and choose among distressed mortgage assets. This may prove to be premature (recall how Wall Street firms eagerly bought subprime brokers through January 2007) and the housing market itself appears unlikely to hit its floor before […]

Downtown LA Package for Sale at 35 Cent on the Dollar

Bloomberg reports that the company that is the biggest property owner in downtown LA, with concentrated holdngs in the Little Tokyo section of Los Angeles is trading at a deep discount to book value minus borrowings. The reason? The company may not be able to refinance debt coming due. Now one may legitimately take book […]

Brady Bonds Redux as Credit Crisis Remedy?

At VoxEU, Luigi Spaventa makes a forceful case that the remedies to the credit crisis are provisional at best and more work needs to be done: The global financial system may be caught in a downward spiral as market and funding illiquidity reinforce each other… Prolonged financial distress, which has now lasted for almost a […]

So Why Did MBIA Raise $1.1 Billion? To Pay Executives, Apparently

MBIA has brazenly advanced its own interests at the expense of investors and policyholders. A partial list: Issuing a disappointing earnings release in the middle of the night in the hopes that it would garner less attention that way Asserting it needed no more capital while the Dinallo-led “save the monolines” effort was still underway. […]

Is "The Credit Crunch is Over" Talk Premature?

Even though there has been a lot of whistling-in-the-dark talk that the credit crisis is past, the evidence is far from conclusive. On the one hand, BlackRock bought $15 billion of subprime debt at a mere 25% discount to face. In March, UBS was rumored to have sold $24 billion of Alt-A for 70 cents […]

Is the Credit Crisis Really Over? Minsky Would Say No

The “end of the credit crisis” apostates looks to be a small and shrinking group (and we don’t mean just the downbeat but nevertheless accurate Nouriel Roubini or Michael Panzner). I’m amazed our number is as small as it is, given the overwhelming counterevidence in the form of the increase in the Term Auction Facility […]

Why Such Timid Financial Reform Proposals? (Alan Blinder Edition)

Here we are, in the midst of the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression, and what do we see? Central banks madly pumping water out of leaky, listing vessels, some discussion of how to patch the most visible holes, but perilous little consideration of how to correct the defects of construction, poor choice of […]

More on What Bank of America Might Do With Countrywide Debt

The BofA/Countrywide follies continue. Earlier in the week, the Charlotte bank, in an SEC filing on the pending Countrywide acquisition, remained silent on the question of the fate of Countrywide bonds. As we had mentioned some time ago, BofA plans to use a deal structure that would leave the debt in a subsidiary so that […]

"The inappropriateness of financial regulation"

Because I have yet to throw my stuff back in my bags to be on a morning plane back to NY, I must be brief. I have not had the chance to think about Avinash Persaud regulatory proposals at VoxEU deeply, but at a first glance, they sound appealing. However, the devil will lie in […]

Bank of America May Not Guarantee Countrywide Debt

Some months ago, we had mentioned that Bank of America was keen to avoid taking on Countrywide’s liabilities (who wouldn’t be?). The possibility that the giant bank might not provide a guarantee for Countrywide’s debt came to the fore again. Without BofA backing, the Countrywide paper is a pretty dodgy proposition. From Bloomberg: Bank of […]