Category Archives: Derivatives

Janet Tavakoli: On the Edge with Max Keiser

Submitted by Edward Harrison of Credit Writedowns. Janet Tavakoli was a recent guest on “On the Edge with Max Keiser” and had some troubling things to say about the state of the present U.S. financial system. She believes the liquidity pumped into the system will not be sufficient to reflate the economy because of over-leveraged […]

Guest Post: Credit Default Swaps – Love ‘Em, Ban ‘Em, or Tax ‘Em?

(Yves should be back – and so the site should return to normal – tomorrow. If all goes according to plan, you’ll be hearing a lot less from me for a week or so. Yves’ book – Econned – will be quite valuable, and so well worth the wait. ) By George Washington of Washington’s […]

Paul Volcker, Lord Turner & the EU’s new take on the intoxicating effects of global finance

The following is a submission from Naked Capitalism contributor Swedish Lex. While some observers of U.S. politics lament the lack of progress in reforming the country’s financial system, the European financial industry has abruptly awoken to the EU’s new resolve re-shape the continent’s financial system. How far and how fast the EU intends to go […]

Guest post: Blame the Regulators

Below is a guest contribution by reader Michael Dokupil. Michael points out that ratings agencies and banks are incented to support a market in so-called toxic assets rated triple-A because of a strange regulatory arbitrage. Basel II rules allow a bank to keep much less capital on hand to support AAA assets than is necessary […]

Guest Post: Satyajit Das on Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde Finance

By Satyajit Das, a risk consultant and author of Traders, Guns & Money: Knowns and Unknowns in the Dazzling World of Derivatives: One year ago, AIG was brought to the brink of bankruptcy as a result its exposure under credit default swaps (“CDS”) (a form of credit insurance). Asset backed securities and Collateralised Debt Obligations […]

Wells’ Commercial Real Estate “Ticking Time Bomb” And Coming CRE Woes

Reader Scott pointed out this BankImplode story, “Exclusive – Wells Fargo’s Commercial Portfolio is a ticking time bomb.” I can’t verify it, but it sounded plausible and contained some juicy details: Wachovia, which Wells purchased last fall as it teetered on the brink of collapse, was so desperate to increase revenue in the last few […]

Further Confirmation That Real Bank Reform is Dead on Arrival

The Financial Times tonight reports that Goldman CEO Lloyd Blankfein made “startling” remarks in Germany, for instance, that a lot of banking activity is rather thin on redeeming social value. Oh, and he admitted bankers might be paid too much, too. Gee, with revelations like that, what might he to ‘fess up to next? That […]

More Bogus Bailout Reporting: “As Big Banks Repay Bailout Money, U.S. Sees a Profit”

Clearly, the spin is in. As a post earlier today discusses, the Financial Times is running a story that claims that the Fed made money on its rescue programs, then slips in all the tidbits in the body of the article to let discerning readers know that the reporter understands that the analysis is utter […]

Is Finance Inefficient or Too Efficient?

I have a good deal of respect for Gillian Tett, but I disagree with her analysis in a Financial Times piece today: A decade ago, it was fashionable for Western consultants, bankers and business people to decry Japan’s domestic service industry. For Japanese business sectors, ranging from milk production to financial broking, have long been […]

VIX Signaling Equity Downdraft in September

It was mathematician Benoit Mandelbrot who first discovered in 1962, by crunching 100 years of cotton trading data, that markets have “fat tails” or more extreme risks than the standard models predict. A less oft cited finding of Mandelbrot’s was that markets have memory, in colloquial terms. Calm days tend to be followed by calm […]

Guest Post: The Fed’s Currency Swaps

Served by Jesse of Le Café AméricainSome controversy was triggered over a line of questioning this morning during Ben Bernanke’s testimony before Congress, as reported on some of the top financial blog sites Zerohedge and Naked Capitalism. We read them both daily and are often envious of the depth and breadth of their expertise. Congressman […]

Satyajit Das Weighs in on OTC Derivatives Proposals and Finds Them Wanting

For those who have not come across him, Satyajit Das is a hard core derivatives expert, having worked with them in enough markets and enough vantage points to very well versed, which in his case means thoroughly jaded. His book for laypeople, Traders, Guns, and Money. manages to be very informative, somewhat geeky, yet engrossing […]

Wells sells $600 million in distressed assets at 35 cents on dollar

Submitted by Edward Harrison of Credit Writedowns. I got a tip from a friend Andrew about a sale of assets by Wells Fargo (WFC) which raises a number of interesting questions. He sent me the following 14 July article from the Milwaukee Business Journal. Wells Fargo sold $600 million in mostly non-performing subprime loans to […]

Did Markit’s Owners Trade CDS on Advance Access to Information?

We have a juicy tidbit on the wires tonight. The Department of Justice is conducting an investigation into whether Markit’s clients traded on its research prior to its being made public, As much as I would love to see the credit default swaps market reined in, or better yet, shut down, this move is puzzling. […]