Category Archives: Dubious statistics

New Analysis from Economists for Ukraine: The Cost of US Aid to Ukraine Is Less Than Half the Official Figures

A granular analysis of US military and direct aid to Ukraine finds the official tallies are greatly overstated.

“Might the US Be About to Fall Off an Economic Cliff?”

The respected Atlanta Fed NowCast is scary bad, as in economic shoes about to drop in a big way bad.

“SOTU” Reactions: Business Press Turning on Trump as Tariffs Whack Markets, Look Set to Increase Inflation, Approval Falls and Even Republicans Getting Restive

Despite the Republican applause during Trump’s State of the Union speech, the business press is sounding alarms.

New York Fed’s Measure of “Inflation Persistence” Nixes Friday’s Idea that YoY PCE Inflation Cooled, Using Same Data

Inflation Whack-A-Mole: price pressures shifted from housing to non-housing services and core goods.

Trump and Wealth-Price Inflation: Still Running in the Background All the Time

Demand by America’s most affluent is driving consumer spending. That spending, in turn, is the main force keeping inflation so high

With RFK Jr. in Charge, Supplement Makers See Chance To Cash In

Why dietary supplement fans should be worried about RFK, Jr.’s plan to weaken their already lax regulation.

America First Deepens World Stagnation

Quelle surprise! America First is another leg down in the developing-country-unfriendly policies the Collective West has pursued.

Hubert Horan: Can Uber Ever Deliver? Part Thirty-Five: What Drove Uber’s Recent $8 Billion P&L Improvement?

How did Uber achieved a $8 billion P&L improvement after losing $33 billion in its first 13 years? Misleading accounting plays a big role.

Can Europe Resist Concessions to Russia in Trump’s Ukraine Agreement?

An uber neocon contends that Europe has found substitutes for Russian energy and so can and will increase sanctions on Russia.

The Recent Weakness in the German Manufacturing Sector

A look at the fallen state of German manufacturing seems to understate the implications of the conditions it describes.

After We Amplified Warnings of Wildly Overvalued Unicorns, They Crash and Burn

‘Going Against Trump Policies Is Not Fraud’: White House Panned Over Absurd Defense of DOGE

Administration efforts to defend DOGE confirm that spending cuts are ideological, and not value-neutral ‘efficiency’ or cost reduction

Trump’s Shock Doctrine: Uncertainty and the Repudiation of Contracts

How Trump’s economic revolution and the uncertainty it is creating are already wreaking havoc.

Mr. Treasury Market Tells Fed It Is Even More Worried About Inflation

The Fed vigorously backpedaled on further cuts, pivoting to wait-and-see, due to long-term rates signaling inflation concerns.

KLG: “If the Overhead Cuts to NIH and NSF Grants Go Through Without Changes, Academic Biomedical and Other Research in the US Will Crumble into Dust”

Why the Musk attack on NIH and NSF funding formulas will eviscerate US medical research.