Category Archives: Dubious statistics

Stagflation Watch for the US Economy as a Whole

Upgrading a US recession watch for the US to a stagflation watch due to inflation even as ISM indexes signal current contraction

As Tariffs Bite and Jobs Stall, New Interactive Tool Tracks How Much Trump and GOP Are Raising the Cost of Living

As Trump’s new tariffs are about to squeeze American wallets even harder, a new tool helps keep track of the damage.

Chronically Ill? In RFK Jr.’s View, It Might Be Your Own Fault

RFK, Jr.’s policy views confirm that he hates the poors.

The Post-Pandemic Disinflation: Low Sacrifice, High Prices

Central banks in advanced nations really do believe they did a masterful job of managing the post-Covid inflation. This article explains why

Fed’s Rates Not Restrictive for Markets. Financial Conditions Ultra-Loose. Manias Form, Margin Debt Blows Out, Junk Bonds Party in La-La-Land

Despite the Fed depicting its current rate policy as restrictive, manic pricing in many financial markets says otherwise.

“How Much Longer Can We Trust Our Economic Statistics?”

Trump budget whackage will further degrade the quality of official statistics. And that really does matter.

Uneven Vulnerabilities: A Global Index of Climate Risk for Countries

A new paper rates 170 countries for climate risk exposure. This ambitious and imporant exercise neverthless seems to have key gaps.

Why Inflation Sticks Around: The Role of Class Warfare in Price Persistence

A new twist on inflation: how workers and corporates trying to preserve their financial position has the effect of perpetuating inflation

“The Corporate Takeover of Housing”

Debunking some widely held misperceptoins about why US housing is so pricey.

Chinese Government Tries to Combat Destructive Deflation. Will It Succeed?

The economic hazard of deflation is already stalking China, to the degree that even Xi is trying to take it on.

“Europe Won’t Need Russian Gas in the Future”

Europe celebrates its economic suicide by continuing down the path of achieving independence from cheap Russian gas.

Trump’s Self-Destructive Fight with the Fed for Low Interest Rates: His “Fiscal Dominance” Game of Chicken

Trump is fighting another war he can’t win: trying to use interest rates to counter the inflation created by his yawning fiscal deficits.

Why UK [and US] Governments Are Never Dependent on Financial Markets

As Mr. Market idelivers a big raspberry in response to Trump’s big beautiful bill, remember it won’t affect the ability to keep spending

CalPERS Retiree Group Launches GoFundMe for Investigation on Private Equity Fees

CalPERS retirees are raising funds to have a big go at private equity fee secrecy. Please chip in if you are a California taxpayer!

Tallying the Costs to Israel of Its Failed Iran Regime Change Operation

An early estimate of the economic costs to Israel of the Iran war show that recovery will be difficult if not impossible.