Submitted by Edward Harrison of the site Credit Writedowns I have just finished looking at the latest employment situation report and there is absolutely no good news there. This report is miles apart from the jobless claims data I reviewed yesterday and does not suggest we are anywhere close to a bottom. The headline number […]
Read more...Submitted by Edward Harrison of the site Credit Writedowns Tomorrow, we all await the unemployment number with anticipation. In all likelihood, it is going to be a nasty number edging us ever closer to the 9.0% I once saw as a sort of upper range number for 2009. Meanwhile, jobless claims for the week ended […]
Read more...The George Santayana saying, “Those who cannot learn from history are doomed to repeat it,” is so oft repeated as to verge on cliche. Yet the US variant of this syndrome is to be aware of history, then rationalize how it does not apply to us. Japanese policy makers from the early days of the […]
Read more...Is Obama’s leaked view that a “quick and surgical bankruptcy” was a “likely option” for GM and Chrysler form of bizarre brinksmanship? If not, Obama has just painted himself in a corner based on what looks to be some very bad advice. As we will explain below, the notion of a “quick and surgical” bankruptcy […]
Read more...Oh, so there was even more to the GM Wagoner resignation than met the eye. So how come no bank turnaround plans? Oh, if they were no good, the government might have to get tough with them. Can’t have that, now can we? From CNBC (hat tip reader Dwight): The announcement by the White House […]
Read more...Even though I pride myself on being a constitutional cynic, truth be told even I harbor a wee bit of optimism. For instance, even thought I regularly write about how Things Are Going to Hell, Fast, I privately assume I am a pessimist and maybe a bit of a crank too, so things might not […]
Read more...We’ve warned for some time that this downturn is likely to see more companies entering bankruptcy wind up being liquidated rather than continuing to operate thanks to Chapter 11, which allows companies to hold creditors at bay, renegotiate debt and restructure operations, with the idea that an ongoing concern will be able to provide better […]
Read more...Note the dramatic fall in Japanese exports in February was relative to the year-ago level, but that does not make the outcome any less ugly. From Bloomberg: Overseas shipments fell 49.4 percent from a year earlier, the sharpest decline since at least 1980, when the government started to keep comparable data, the Finance Ministry said […]
Read more...When some deemed the Fed’s move today to expand its balance sheet by as much as a trillion dollars plus as “shock and awe”, I recalled that when that term was first used, at the beginning of the US invasion of Iraq. The notion was a display of superior force would lead to quick capitulation. […]
Read more...Too much corn pone personal story, not enough real interview. But I must say, Bernanke is either an astoundingly self contained man or is on the best meds modern science has to offer. Paul Kedrosky thinks this appearance is either wildly bullish or wildly bearish, and is somewhat inclined to the former view. I see […]
Read more...So much for Ken Lewis’ cheery prediction that Bank of America would be profitable in 2009, although Bank of America could always be the exception. McKinsey is generally considered to have the best financial services practice among the major consulting firms, and being overly gloomy does not endear one to clients. The profit forecast is […]
Read more...Readers may have noticed that Team Obama has put on a pre-G-20 session push to have participants spend more to pull the global economy out of its nosedive. The New York Times gave a short summary: In recent days, the White House has begun signaling that when leaders of the Group of 20 nations meet […]
Read more...Submitted by Rolfe Winkler, CFA, publisher of OptionARMageddon.com Policy-makers not only misunderstand the economic crisis, they continue to underestimate it. Consequently, solutions to date have not only failed to “fix” anything, they have made the problem worse. The problem isn’t falling asset prices, it’s not rising foreclosures, it’s too much debt. With an assist from […]
Read more...While Wolfgang Munchau’s latest comment for the Financial Times, “An L of a recession – reform is the way out,” fell short of being apocalyptic, it was the gloomiest piece I can recall coming from him. Munchau argues that the world is going into what is politely referred to as an L shaped recession, but […]
Read more...Reader Nivethan pointed to a Bloomberg story, “China Says 8% Growth Within Reach Using $585 Billion Stimulus.” This may be a tad more significant than it appears (I also looked at Xinhua, but got the singular, and probably completely unfair impression that Wen’s speech to the party Congress was of the “give everyone at least […]
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