China’s Stock Market Collapse
Those who are looking only at Greece and the crazy behaviour of the European Union may well be looking in the wrong direction to identify the next big crisis as it comes.
Read more...Category Archives: Investment outlook
China’s Stock Market Falling Off a Cliff: Why, and Why Care?
What explains the turmoil in Chinese stock markets, and what does it mean for the rest of the world?
Read more...Chovanec: China Destroyed Its Stock Market
China apparently did not get the memo about not letting stock market leverage get out of hand.
Read more...Chinese Stock Market Rout Continues; Trading Halted in Over Half of Listed Stocks
The Chinese stock market meltdown is accelerating despite government intervention and is blowing back to commodities markets, including copper and oil, which are trading down based on concern that the stock market plunge is a harbinger of even more economic weakness. And the decline may represent the beginning of the end of the faith in China’s command and control economy.
Read more...Ilargi: QE Breeds Instability
Why both Keynes and Minsky regarded low interest rates as poor policy.
Read more...Wolf Richter: Get Used to Selloffs, Central Bankers Say as They Fret about the Terrifying Moment When Liquidity Evaporates
Investors act as if they have a right to liquidity. The authorities are trying to get them used to the new normal of higher spreads and risks.
Read more...Satyajit Das: My Big Fat Greek Crisis
Yves here. Das published this post in February and I thought it would be useful to reprise it for three reasons. First, it has held up well to the passage of time. Second, for latecomers to the Greek saga, it summarizes the background, the stances of the parties, and key economic and financial considerations. Third, the section starting “Controlled Warfare” (about 2/3 of the way through the post) summarizes the consequences to the lenders of a Grexit. Those risks are why almost no one thought we’d wind up where we are now, with two sides issuing ultimatums a mere two days before a possible Greek default, and why most of the financial media still believes a deal will get done.
Read more...Wolf Richter: Last Two Times This Happened, Stocks Crashed
Stock prices are driven ever more by M&A and buybacks….and it won’t be pretty when the fat lady finally sings.
Read more...Wolf Richter: Atlanta Fed ‘Sticky CPI’ Soars, Hottest Inflation Since July 2008
A jump in “sticky CPI” suggests the Fed may be close to getting the data excuses it needs to raise interest rates.
Read more...Wolf Richter: Why the Heck Is the Trucking Business Slowing Down?
Trucking activity is a long-standing leading indicator of economic activity. It’s been flashing red in recent months.
Read more...How Much Did Your Economy Suffer in the First Quarter?
We poll members of the commentariat for readings on the state of their local economy.
Read more...How Shale Is Becoming The Dot-Com Bubble Of The 21st Century
The parallels of the dot com era with the shale boom are simply stunning as most E&P companies need to spend well over their operational cash flow.
Read more...Witnessing A Fundamental Change In The Oil Sector
The U.S. oil production decline has begun.
Read more...Pettifor Warns of GFC 2.0 Approach
Yves here. This is a short but important debate over how much to worry about the upcoming train wreck in emerging markets when the Fed finally gets around to tightening. Pettifor sees it as a potential global crisis event; Macrobusiness sees it as a typical emerging markets bust. The Pettifor viewpoint seems more on target. First, […]
Read more...Explaining the Dearth of Private Investment
Business investment in advanced economies contracted sharply during the global crisis and has recovered little since. This column argues that the main factor holding back investment is overall economomic weakness. In some countries other contributing factors include financial constraints and policy uncertainty. Fixing the investment dearth will require fixing the general weakness in economic activity.
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