Will Cyprus Become Creditanstalt 2.0?
The cheery view that Europe had moves past its crisis now looks to have been a tad premature.
Read more...The cheery view that Europe had moves past its crisis now looks to have been a tad premature.
Read more...Yves here. Our post today on Cyprus provides some broad background, including the political dynamics and the not-terribly-defensible reasons the Eurozone went that route, and a short discussion of the large risk that this inept move precipitates a wider crisis. This article by Charles Wyplosz serves as a companion, since it discusses the “tax,” um, expropriation option versus other alternatives. Even more important, it sketches out why this scheme, even if it manages not to kick off a crisis, is still inadequate to rescue Cyprus. It is thus a toxic variant of the Eurozone “kick the can down the road” strategy.
Read more...Yves here. The Congressional Budget Office is widely depicted in the media as “nonpartisan” and therefore above reproach. It’s time to treat that view as outdated. Like the Fed, the CBO continues to profess its independence but is in fact an aggressive promoter of neoliberal policies. We discussed at some length how Fed economists savaged its health care cost model, which is the driver of budget hysteria.
Jeff Madrick describes even more problems with CBO forecasts, and how they have become so significant that the public needs a shadow CBO to challenge the often-flawed official projections.
Read more...Yves here. I wasn’t planning on liveblogging this hearing, but listing to the introductory remarks, the knives are really out for JPM. In all the post-crisis hearings I’ve watched, I’ve never seen such unanimity between the Democrats and the Republicans on the severity of the problem and the need for more regulation.
Read more...There is so much grist in the just-released Senate Permanent Subcommittee report on the JP Morgan London Whale trades that the initial reports are merely high level summaries, which is understandable. Even with the admirable job done by the committee in documenting its findings and recommendations, it will take some doing to pull out the critical observations and convey them to the public. Plus the hearings tomorrow should provide good theater and further hooks for commentary.
But some critical findings emerge, quickly. We here at NC were particularly harsh critics of JP Morgan’s conduct, and disappointed in the media’s failure to understand that the information JP Morgan presented as it bobbed and weaved showed glaring deficiencies in risk controls. Yet the failings described in the report are even worse than we imagined.
Read more...By Bill Black, the author of The Best Way to Rob a Bank is to Own One and an associate professor of economics and law at the University of Missouri-Kansas City. Jointly posted with New Economic Perspectives
Dave here (always wanted to say that!): I know Yves wrote about this yesterday, but it’s always worth getting Bill Black’s reaction on these regulatory matters – not to mention to further illustrate and amplify the FDIC’s conduct.
On March 11, 2013 the Los Angeles Times published a revealing article by E. Scott Reckard entitled: “In major policy shift, scores of FDIC settlements go unannounced.”
The article’s summary statement captures the theme nicely. “Since the mortgage meltdown, the FDIC has opted to settle cases while helping banks avoid bad press, rather than trumpeting punitive actions as a deterrent to others.”
Read more...I want to start with a belated story from the weekend. I’m a fan of Chris Hayes’ show on MSNBC – it’s the only cable news I’ve seen outside of Election Night in the last year or two. He puts on issues that get virtually no attention elsewhere and he’s responsive to his audience. Over the weekend I noticed that he was to have Raj Date on, formerly number 2 at the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. So I asked Chris on Twitter if he could bring up the CFPB’s servicing rules, which I chronicled at Washington Monthly. To review, the rules kind of nibble around the edges, but do nothing to fix the wrongheaded financial incentives that lead servicers to reap rewards from foreclosures and avoid principal reductions because it would hurt their bottom lines.
Read more...The FDIC has been doing banks a big favor by agreeing not to publish the fact that they’d engaged in sufficiently wayward behavior for the agency to threaten regulatory action and negotiate a settlement. The Los Angeles Times unearthed this practice via a Freedom of Information Act request:
Read more...By C.P. Chandrasekhar, Professor of Economics, School of Social Sciences, Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi, India. Cross posted from Triple Crisis
If the international media are to be believed the world, still struggling with recession, is faced with a potential new threat emanating from China. Underlying that threat is a rapid rise in credit provided by a “shadow banking” sector to developers in an increasingly fragile property market.
Read more...By Rajiv Sethi, Professor of Economics, Barnard College, Columbia University. Cross posted from his blog
Read more...You may have seen a big outbreak in the academic literature and business media of defenses of liquidity for liquidity’s sake, evidently prompted by increased interest in and in the EU, implementation of transaction taxes as a way to tame speculation and secondarily raise revenues.
Read more...If you are old enough to remember the 1970s, the idea that gasoline and stock prices would be correlated seems bizarre.
Read more...It’s a good thing Elizabeth Warren seems to regard contending with uncooperative, evasive and obviously misleading witnesses as a form of sport. I’d want to punch them.
Read more...It’s clear the OCC is winging details it should have nailed down before settling.
Read more...The Wall Street Journal today stresses that a lot of Democratic congressmen are unhappy about the botched settlement process but are unlikely to do more than beef because the new Comptroller of the Currency, Tom Curry, was selected by Obama.
But the more people poke at the settlement, the more creepy crawlies emerge.
Read more...