Lambert and I, and many readers, agree that Ukraine has prompted the worst informational environment ever. We hope readers will collaborate in mitigating the fog of war — both real fog and stage fog — in comments. None of us need more cheerleading and link-free repetition of memes; there are platforms for that. Low-value, link-free pom pom-wavers will be summarily whacked.
And for those who are new here, this is not a mere polite request. We have written site Policies and those who comment have accepted those terms. To prevent having to resort to the nuclear option of shutting comments down entirely until more sanity prevails, as we did during the 2015 Greek bailout negotiations and shortly after the 2020 election, we are going to be ruthless about moderating and blacklisting offenders.
P.S. Also, before further stressing our already stressed moderators, read our site policies:
Please do not write us to ask why a comment has not appeared. We do not have the bandwidth to investigate and reply. Using the comments section to complain about moderation decisions/tripwires earns that commenter troll points. Please don’t do it. Those comments will also be removed if we encounter them.
Title: Strange Mars rock type points to extremely violent volcanic eruptions Space.com (Kevin W)
Can pee help feed the world? France24 (resilc)
Record-breaking camera keeps everything between 3 cm and 1.7 km in focus New Atlas (David L)
A Portable Wind Turbine “About the Size of a 1-Liter Water Bottle” Core77 (David L)
Darwin Was Wrong: Your Facial Expressions Do Not Reveal Your Emotions Scientific American (David L)
How to Stop Speeding Drivers? Scare Them. New York Times (resilc)
The Vandal LA Review of Books (Anthony L)
The musical note that can trigger cold sweats and sightings of the dead The Spectator (Anthony L)
‘We’ve not seen the WORST of Covid’ warns Microsoft billionaire Bill Gates Daily Mail (resilc)
Prevalence of Long Covid is now estimated to be
across all infections including asymptomatic, mild and severe.
We keep finding more of it. https://t.co/B6oVGb46lN
— Yaneer Bar-Yam (@yaneerbaryam) May 2, 2022
38% of all of Canada's reported COVID hospitalizations to date have been in the last 4 months
28% of reported ICU admissions of the entire epidemic in the last 4 months (with more coming from current wave)
23% of total reported epidemic deaths, with more coming from this wave.
— Tara Moriarty (@MoriartyLab) May 1, 2022
Antigenic evolution of SARS-CoV-2 in immunocompromised hosts MedRxIv (guurst). Preprint.
Coronavirus in China: six in firing line after elderly Shanghai patient mistaken for dead triggers new wave of lockdown horror South China Morning Post (resilc)
Climate change means 1 in 25 homes could become uninsurable by 2030, report warns ABC Australia (Kevin W)
Horn of Africa ravaged by worst drought in four decades Financial Times
Glass dismissed: wine goes green with paper bottle drive Guardian (furzy)
Strong Winds Keep Fueling New Mexico Wildfire New York Times (David L)
If china were to raise retirement age to 65 over next 20 years, the labour supply issue disappears. One of striking results of @berthofmanecon recent talk reviewed in Chartbook #118 https://t.co/D2zup4Oj7N pic.twitter.com/uALRZo2PVC
— Adam Tooze (@adam_tooze) May 1, 2022
Good US-China Strategic Competition Project Syndicate (David L)
On Eid, Mamata Banerjee slams BJP, says ‘policy of divide and rule not good’ Hindustan Times (J-LS)
PM Narendra Modi needs to do plain speaking in Europe FirstPost (J-LS)
How London became the dirty money capital of the world | FT Film YouTube (resilc)
Would a Sinn Féin victory open the door to a united Ireland? Financial Times (furzy)
New Not-So-Cold War
Our Interview with Jacques Baud The Postil (guurst). Today’s must read.
America’s ideological blinkers and the Ukraine war Gilbert Doctorow. Important. His next most recent is interesting, if more parochial: FX and grocery shopping in St. Petersburg: “The Eagle Has Landed”: A voyage to St Petersburg via the far side of the moon.
Special Military Operation (Live) YouTube (Chuck L). This is overwhelmingly Andrei Martyanov, who Asia Times calls “arguably the foremost military analyst in the Russian sphere” and has several books to back that claim. Andrei is blunt and dramatic, which makes one wonder if he is being hyperbolic, although he often provides detail to back up his assessments. You can listen to it at 1.25x speed. This is long with a lot of military and equipment geekery. One section worth considering starts at 31:00 where Gonzalo Lira sets forth a recap of the Russian prosecution of the war, based significantly on Scott Ritter’s take. Andrei disagrees pretty forcefully with that and conventional wisdom on the opening phase and Russia’s aims as of then.
* * *
Germany and France Must Drive Effort for Credible Deterrent Against Russia Der Spiegel (resilc)
Britain’s Napoleonic Posturing will be Exposed by Battlefield Reality CounterPunch (resilc)
Can Western Tanks, Artillery, And Missiles Save Ukraine? Don’t Count On It. 1945 (guurst). From last week, still germane.
Former Trump advisor Douglas Macgregor on why the West should be thinking twice about involving Poland in weapons supply against a conflict involving Russia. pic.twitter.com/0pFQFHKM8O
— Wittgenstein (@backtolife_2022) April 30, 2022
Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov’s interview with Mediaset, Italian television network, Moscow, May 1, 2022 (it is a Hot one!) The Saker (Kevin W). Very pointed for Lavrov.
* * *
Boris Johnson to hail Ukraine’s ‘finest hour’ in address to Kyiv parliament Guardian (Kevin W)
Germany warns EU to expect economic cost from Russian oil embargo Financial Times. Lead story. Gee, ya think?
* * *
On May 2, 2014, dozens of people were murdered or burned alive in the Odessa Trades Unions Building at the hands of the so-called Ukrainian nationalists months after the regime change. The perpetrators walk free.
— Nina ? Byzantina (@NinaByzantina) May 2, 2022
The Press Fumbles Again on Ukraine American Conservative. Resilc: “Judith Miller with real nukes.”
Ukraine war boosts Belarusian opposition against Alexander Lukashenko Washington Post (furzy)
New Jewish settlement in Hebron gets green light from Israel's top court
Between the lines: an Israeli courts ruling on territory outside Israel’s border = annexation. That court prioritizing interests of Israelis over those of Palestinians = apartheid https://t.co/cfuPuPQ0UI
— Lara Friedman (@LaraFriedmanDC) April 29, 2022
Eight months on, Taliban’s rule is far from stable Asia Times (Kevin W)
Imperial Collapse Watch
Big Brother is Watching You Watch
Ex-NYPD Officer Thomas Webster Convicted of Assault in Jan. 6 Case New York Times (furzy)
Will Trump Face a Legal Reckoning in Georgia? New York Times (furzy)
GOP Clown Car
In Republican Primaries, China is the Enemy Washington Monthly
Supremes. A court observer is tearing his hair over how this story is being reported. The huge scandal is that the draft opinion has been leaked. This is unprecedented and monstrously damaging to trust and proper deliberation (yes, per below, there have been past leaks, but not of actual documents). However, the existence of this document does not mean a decision has been made. This could be and even likely, Alito lobbying his fellow justices. But Team Dem has much to gain by presenting it this way.
Court has voted to overturn Roe, according to draft opinion published by Politico ScotusBlog. Note third para, consistent with our contact’s reaction:
Initial votes on the outcome of a case can change — and the wording of opinions frequently does — as the justices deliberate and circulate draft opinions. The court is expected to release its decision in Dobbs in the next two months.
Protesters Rush to Supreme Court After Abortion Ruling Report Bloomberg. Lead story as of this hour.
It's remarkable, the leak of what appears to be an initial draft majority opinion. SCOTUS generally has kept its secrets and has kept confidential its internal processes and deliberations. But the Court does occasionally leak, and it has leaked before about Roe v. Wade. 1/x
— Jonathan Peters (@jonathanwpeters) May 3, 2022
Newsom, lawmakers want California Constitution to explicitly protect abortion rights Los Angeles Times (furzy)
Citi’s London Trading Desk Behind Rare European ‘Flash Crash’ Bloomberg (David L)
No One is Telling You the Truth About the Car Shortage, So I Have to YouTube. Resilc: “40% of cars metal comes from Russian companies………”
The Means-Test Con The Lever (furzy)
The Pandemic Mental Health Crisis Causing Teachers to Quit New Republic (resilc)
Antidote du jour (Wayne W)
And a bonus (furzy):
See yesterday’s Antidote du Jour and Links here.