Links 12/7/2025


A New Governing Ecosystem Is Evolving Noema

What Time Is It on Mars? Physicists Finally Have an Exact Answer SciTech Daily

Vibecession: Much More Than You Wanted To Know Astral Codex Ten

Critics Warn of ‘Catastrophic’ Threat If Netflix Acquires Warner Bros. Scheerpost

COVID-19/Pandemics

French Study on mRNA COVID-19 Vaccines Finds a Drop in Severe COVID—and No Increase in Deaths Reason

Ultra-processed foods: Leading cause of ‘chronic disease pandemic,’ scientists warn MedicalXpress

Climate/Environment

Nowhere to move: How climate change became the property market’s biggest nightmare Euronews

The Indian Ocean disaster is a climate tragedy — and needs more attention Nature

South of the Border

Insomnia and anxiety stalk Venezuelans amid US military buildup CNN

Maduro says the real reason for Trump’s Venezuela fixation is oil – is he right? The Guardian

Flavio Bolsonaro enters Brazil’s 2026 presidential race with father’s nod Al Jazeera

China?


China aircraft carrier conducts drills in Pacific, Japan scrambles jets Kyodo News

Want an Explanation for China’s Nuclear Build-Up? It’s Not in the New White Paper RealClear Defense

Ceding the future to China Pearls and Irritations

How China would cut Taiwan off The Counteroffensive with Tim Mak substack

India

India’s elaborate welcome of Putin strains Western ties DW

India’s largest airline melts down after new crew rest rules CNBC

Clean energy surge: India adds record 31.25 GW non-fossil capacity this year, says Pralhad Joshi The Times of India

Africa

The American fixation on white Afrikaners in South Africa stretches back nearly a century The Conversation

WHO: Africa hit hardest as malaria deaths rise worldwide BORNA News

How Emerging Movements Are Redefining Democracy Across Africa Open Society Foundations

European Disunion

Germany may miss target start date for implementation of EU’s Renewable Energy Directive III S & P Global

‘EU is drowning in corruption,’ claims Hungarian premier Andolu Agency

EU rapporteur calls Turkey’s rule of law ‘a disaster’ in Ankara visit Turkish Minute

Old Blighty

Low-tax or high-welfare? The UK must decide what type of country it wants to be The Conversation

Nigel Farage accused of trying to ‘whip up hate’ ahead of Reform UK rally in Scotland The Independent

Israel v. Gaza, Yemen, Lebanon, Syria, Iran


Egypt calls for deploying international stabilization force along Gaza’s ‘yellow line’ to verify ceasefire Andolu Agency

Escalating Violations: Injuries, Abductions And Attacks Across West Bank IMEMC News

Syrian president warns Israel against tampering with 1974 ceasefire agreement Middle Easat Monitor

Lebanon: UN peacekeepers warn of ‘clear violations’ following latest Israeli airstrikes UN News

New Not-So-Cold War

Russia unleashes massive drone and missile attack on Ukraine as diplomatic talks continue AP

Sinking Russia’s ‘shadow fleet’: Has the Ukraine war reached Senegal? France 24

Alarm grows in Europe over what is seen as Trump’s ‘betrayal’ of Ukraine Los Angeles Times

Zelensky’s Government Sabotaged Oversight, Allowing Corruption to Fester NY Times

Big Brother Is Watching You Watch

Monetary Privacy: The Last Bastion of Human Dignity cointribune

AI glasses spark “RIP privacy” alarm in the Netherlands: A new era of recognition? EuroWeekly News

UK’s Ofcom to Boost Online Monitoring by 2026, Sparking Privacy Fears WebPro News

Imperial Collapse Watch

New federal rules could put formerly unhoused people back on the streets ABC 7 Chicago

What does a series of record-breaking drug busts mean for Colorado? CPR News

Trump 2.0

Trump’s Illegal Boat Strikes Recall Duterte’s “Drug War” Mass Killings Scheerpost

Hey, Does Anyone Want to Talk About Donald Trump’s Infirmities? The New Republic

Trump wants to be known as a peacemaker while frequently threatening war Washington Post

The Trump Corollary to the Monroe Doctrine The National Interest

Musk Matters

EU Fines Elon Musk’s X $140 Million Over Deceptive Blue Checkmarks Technobezz

Musk’s SpaceX aims for 2026 IPO with jaw-dropping $800B valuation: reports NY Post

Elon Musk wants to create a ‘modern-day Library of Alexandria’ — and send copies to deep space Business Insider

Democrat Death Watch

Joe Biden Stumbles Over Word ‘America’ In LGBTQ Forum Speech Newsweek

Democrats in Congress Are Out of Touch with Constituents on Israeli Genocide InDepthNews

Immigration

ICE Goons Pepper Spray Congresswoman Adelita Grijalva During Tucson Raid Scheerpost

Detained illegal immigrants will face $5K ‘apprehension fee’: Border Patrol chief Fox News

Our No Longer Free Press

In another blow to press freedom in the US, White House launches media ‘Hall of Shame’ Euronews

Press pass showdown: New York Times takes Trump administration’s Pentagon to court Scripps News

Mr. Market Is Moody

Dollar steadies near five-week low on Fed rate cut bets Thompson Reuters

Poor job numbers save investors yearning for interest rate cut Courthouse News Service

US Treasuries Wrap Up Worst Week Since April Amid Fed Doubts Bloomberg

AI

Elon Musk’s Grok AI Is Doxxing Home Addresses of Everyday People Futurism

ChatGPT is losing the AI race to Gemini Cryptopolitan

‘AI is going to change creativity,’ Bill Gates tells Doha Forum Andolu Agency

Inside the Creation of Tilly Norwood, the AI Actress Freaking Out Hollywood Wall Street Journal

Meet the Anthropic team reckoning with AI’s effect on humans and the world The Verge

Perplexity AI hit with copyright violation lawsuit Cryptopolitan

Are We Seeing the First Steps Toward AI Superintelligence? Scientific American

The Bezzle

States Most Vulnerable to Identity Theft & Fraud WalletHub

FBI warns of high-tech ‘virtual kidnapping’ extortion scams Desert Sun

Guillotine Watch

Antidote du jour (via)

See yesterday’s Links and Antidote du Jour here

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146 comments

  1. Wukchumni

    FDR was desperate to get us involved in WW2, and despite a number of American ships sunk in the Atlantic by U-boats, public opinion was still very much against it…

    Did he ‘let’ Pearl Harbor happen?

    On January 27, 1941, Grew secretly cabled the State Department with rumors passed on by the Peruvian Minister to Japan: “Japan military forces planned a surprise mass attack at Pearl Harbor in case of ‘trouble’ with the United States.”

    Unlike today’s Ambassadors to foreign countries-often selected based on political perks, Joseph Grew was the real deal~

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joseph_Grew

    Reply
    1. ilsm

      Watched Ep 2 Victory at Sea on YouTube.

      Six of the 8 battleships bombed at their slip were raised, repaired, modernized and served in the war. Other ships were also repaired. Better sink ships in deep water. Not bombing the dry docks was mistaken.

      Pearl Harbor attack has always been there, I am 75. All the men I knew growing up were veterans.

      Trillions have been spent over last 80 odd years bc “ in part for no more Pearl Harbors”. Good profit.

      Reply
      1. Wukchumni

        Its worth noting that the battleships @ Pearl Harbor were ancient WW1 vintage, and that brand spanking new North Carolina class battleships were launched in 1942.

        Reply
        1. JMH

          I was five years old in December 1941.Pearl Harbor is among my collection of early memories. It occurred to me that a person age five in 1775 with a memory of the Battles of Lexington and Concord could have been around for the bombarding of Fort Sumter in 1861. The five year old in 1861could have heard the radio announcement of Pearl Harbor. Now here I sit at 89. Three long lifetimes encompass the history of the United States. Imagine if you will, the child of 1775 in 1861, telling the child of the event in 1775 and that person in old age telling me of 1775 and 1861. That chain of transmission of memory would be extraordinary. WOnder if anything like it ever happened.

          Reply
          1. Anonymous 2

            That reminds me of a story, supposedly about a conversation that took place in 1923. A 91 year-old lady talked about Oliver Cromwell. She supposedly said: ‘my first husband’s first wife’s first husband knew him well and liked him much’.

            Reply
            1. hk

              John Tyler’s grandson died in last May. For reference, Tyler was the first US President born after United States came into existence (born in 1790).

              Reply
          2. The Rev Kev

            There was a TV program in the 50s called “Guess my Secret” and one guy’s secret was that he saw John Wilkes Booth shoot President Lincoln. Also on YouTube is a video of British philosopher Bertrand Russell saying that his step father met Napoleon. The past is a lot closer than we think.

            Reply
            1. Wukchumni

              Bulldog Bob who lived to be 103, described a Kamikaze attack on his Destroyer in the South Pacific, over breakfast at my mom’s assisted living place about 5 years ago.

              Reply
        2. ilsm

          A neighbor related that sailing on battleship was great. The power plant was so great the sailors had hot showers all they could get……. As opposed to destroyers where it was cold showers.

          The 14 inch guns were still good for long range bombardment beyond the beaches!

          Reply
      2. Glen

        Here’s a good series on the War in the Pacific starting with the debate about Pearl Harbor:

        Pearl Harbor–Avoidable or Inevitable-Episode 101
        https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V1fIuC1pp-Q

        It’s safe to say that the USN knew a war was coming by then, they just didn’t know when or where. Japan had invaded China in 1931 and controlled a significant part of the country by then. Germany had conquered Europe and invaded the Soviet Union. America was preparing for war, and cutting off Japan’s access to oil was not done to provoke an attack – most of the world was already completely engaged in war.

        Reply
        1. Rabid groundhog

          Cutting off Japan’s access to oil was certainly done to provoke war. Roosevelt, seaching for a way to start a war, had been told by his advisers that this economic attack was the way to force Japan into one.

          As for the USN, when the destroyer USS Ward sank a Nipponese sub in the entrance to Pearl Harbor, more than an hour before the planes appeared, the report was shuffled, ignored and ultimately denied for decades and there was no alert issued or action taken to guard against an imminent attack. Even an hour of serious preparation could have changed the outcome.

          Reply
          1. Wukchumni

            How about 11 months of warning in advance, and how convenient that the aircraft carriers weren’t at Pearl Harbor?

            Reply
            1. xixi

              The flaw of conspiracy theorists lies in their lack of understanding of military science. The notion that “if intelligence had been obtained in advance, a surprise attack could have been prevented” does not hold up in reality. Before the German surprise attack in 1941, the Soviet Army received substantial intelligence, yet still failed to avoid being caught off guard. In the same year, the Japanese attacked the U.S. military airfields in the Philippines—note that this occurred just one day after the attack on Pearl Harbor!—yet the American forces were still unable to prevent the success of the Japanese surprise assault.Why, on December 8, 1941 (I emphasize once again: this was the day after the attack on Pearl Harbor), were the American fighters and bombers stationed in the Philippines not away from the airfields at that exact moment?

              Reply
              1. Kev

                I do believe that you have to take the international date line into account. December 7th in Hawaii is December 8th in the Philippines, at most they’d have had a couple of hours warning.

                Reply
          2. Darthbobber

            Makes little sense, as the war Roosevelt wanted was in Europe and he only got that because Hitler gifted it to him by declaring war himself after the Japanese attack.

            The embargoes would EITHER provoke Japan to war OR deter it’s pursuit of its Chinese venture. Japan would have been better off with option b.

            Reply
          3. Dale C.

            The embargo of oil to Japan was something that was done by members of Roosevelt’s administration, against Roosevelt’s explicit instructions and without his knowledge. He only found out about it after Pearl Harbor.

            Reply
            1. Yves Smith

              Making Shit Up is a violation of our written site Policies. Not only did Roosevelt issue the executive order that froze Japanese assets in the US and ended all financial transactions in July 1941, he futher issued a statement about it: https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/statement-the-executive-order-freezing-japanese-and-chinese-assets-the-united-states.

              More detail:

              In 1939 the United States terminated the 1911 commercial treaty with Japan. “On July 2, 1940, Roosevelt signed the Export Control Act, authorizing the President to license or prohibit the export of essential defense materials.” Under this authority, “[o]n July 31, exports of aviation motor fuels and lubricants and No. 1 heavy melting iron and steel scrap were restricted.” Next, in a move aimed at Japan, Roosevelt slapped an embargo, effective October 16, “on all exports of scrap iron and steel to destinations other than Britain and the nations of the Western Hemisphere.” Finally, on July 26, 1941, Roosevelt “froze Japanese assets in the United States, thus bringing commercial relations between the nations to an effective end. One week later Roosevelt embargoed the export of such grades of oil as still were in commercial flow to Japan.”[2] The British and the Dutch followed suit, embargoing exports to Japan from their colonies in southeast Asia.

              None of these were action taken without Roosevelt’s explicit approval, FFS.

              https://www.independent.org/article/2006/05/01/how-u-s-economic-warfare-provoked-japans-attack-on-pearl-harbor/

              Reply
        2. LifelongLib

          I read someplace that the U.S. was not ready for war in December 1941, and that FDR had hoped to delay it until at least June 1942. Of course de facto the U.S. was already at war with Germany in the Atlantic — U.S. ships had been torpedoed and we were depth charging U-boats. IIRC Germany’s treaty with Japan didn’t obligate Hitler to declare war on the U.S. even after Pearl Harbor, and many historians think his doing so was a catastrophic mistake.

          Reply
          1. Glen

            Yes, that’s probably much, much closer to reality back then. Roosevelt was gearing up for war in Europe. The USN had extensively war gamed an attack by Japan on Pearl Harbor and had concluded it could not be done. The fleets in both the Atlantic and the Pacific were forwarded based to support the British Navy. The carriers were delivering airplanes to remote islands and were delayed by a storm. The commanders at Pearl ignored warnings from the Secretary of War, ignored the report by the USS Ward, ignored the report from the radar and very bad $hit happen. Here’s a bit more to the puzzle:

            Pearl Harbor: Five Things Most People Don’t Know About the Attack on December 7, 1941
            https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XS_mA64nICI

            Either that, or apparently FDR is an evil genius who’s commie New Deal socialism created the American empire, and the subsequent 50 year effort getting rid of said commie New Dealism was what resulted in the wrecking of America and the loosing of it’s empire.

            Just watch what I linked to above, it’s a bunch of guys that have studied this for decades, and they go into all of it.

            Reply
  2. The Rev Kev

    “Maduro says the real reason for Trump’s Venezuela fixation is oil – is he right?”

    It is and it isn’t. The US keeps piling up troops in this region which caused me a rethink. During the First Cold War the US kept an enormous military force in Europe to deter the USSR but now Trump is winding down what troops are still stationed there. So it may be that Trump is causing a huge force to be now stationed in this region instead of Europe as their priorities swerve to the western hemisphere. Therefore those military forces are just not meant for Venezuela but also Columbia, Nicaragua, Cuba and any other nation that dares to have a socialist or leftist government. After all, those resources there are not going to pillage themselves.

    Reply
      1. tegnost

        My impression may be somewhat similar, US impunity in Venezuela uses similar justification to israels excuses, and provides cover for ukraine as well. The triumvirate represents those who are struggling with a world they already controlled turning out to be not so much. A real sense that we could buy the world, simply put. 15 years of QE and subsequent stock buybacks along with all those mark to model securities that .gov laundered and the bank accounts are stuffed full. Gaza will be a great freedom city, and the prosperas of the world will attempt to recreate feudalism. Digital i.d’s and crypto, privacy?…no. Tabula rasa reset everyday. Pretty much all the worst things about religion and none of the best. I recall back in the aughts the tpp was an end run around government sovereignty which damn near succeeded and may have been the harbinger of the losses the davos crowd is now facing. Who would think the magna carta could be such an impediment to the brave new world ™. But financialized guns don’t shoot as well as they make money and there a’int no way around that reality. Funny hearing gates et al talking about new opportunities, No doubt his and the other tech bros kids are on a standard tech finance track at the ivies trying to be just like dad. Creativity not.

        Reply
      1. The Rev Kev

        Stupid spellcheck. I knew the right spelling but clicked on the wrong version. I understand that the CIA is still distraught over losing all those poppy fields in Afghanistan so maybe they want to take Colombia and get some drug production going full time – but for their coffers.

        Reply
    1. Victor Sciamarelli

      For anyone interested in US policy toward Venezuela, or other areas, I can suggest the National Security Strategy of the United States of America recently released in late November 2025.
      It’s a 29 page document and of particular interest beginning on page 15, “Western Hemisphere: The Trump Corollary to the Monroe Doctrine.”
      It states in part, “We will deny non-Hemispheric competitors the ability to position forces or other threatening capabilities, or to own or control strategically vital assets, in our Hemisphere. This ‘Trump Corollary’ to the Monroe Doctrine is a common-sense and potent restoration of American power and priorities, consistent with American security interests.”
      The “Trump Corollary” is no doubt, but not exclusively, aimed at China and perhaps Russia. I think the entire document is worth a quick read:
      https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/2025-National-Security-Strategy.pdf

      Reply
      1. 4paul

        WAIT is that it??? it just ends on page 29????

        It looks unfinished … incomplete upload?

        In my first reading, it sounds like a “Pivot”, except, it sounds like a pivot away from more than a pivot to … maybe the Trump guy ain’t dumb after all, and he’s herding neocons away from the disasters of Russia/China/Iran etc and toward the places here in our hemisphere that we should have been paying attention to but weren’t (but do it nicely, like the Chinese) ?

        Reply
    2. mrsyk

      Of course it’s oil. Don’t look, but Honduras is where the action is right now.

      Enduring flows: The transit of drugs in contemporary Honduras, Sage Journals, Volume 25 Issue 1, February 2025. Author makes a compelling case for how valuable Honduras is as an established black market distribution hub. And look at this number,
      In 2019, around 120 metric tonnes of cocaine departing from South America via air or sea made a first stop in Honduras, not counting the shipments sent via land routes (INCSR, 2020)

      Now, consider the pardon of Juan Orlando Hernández, who was the president at this time, Examining Trump’s Pardon of Former Honduran President Convicted of Trafficking Drugs to U.S., factcheck.

      Meanwhile the election has been tampered with to the point that figuring out the intent of the voters may not be possible.

      In a letter, Ochoa alleged manipulation of the results-transmission system as well as obstruction from within the state’s electoral authority. Ochoa said the TREP suffered deliberate failures, including disabled biometric checks, altered digital tally sheets, unexplained vote transfers, and the 40-hour retention of more than 16,000 tally sheets, which created massive discrepancies he claims total nearly one million votes. With the entire vote-processing chain compromised, he concluded that “there is no certainty whatsoever about the results.” That’s Marlon Ochoa, a representative for the Libre Party on the three-member National Electoral Council (CNE), from Honduras Plunges Into Post-Election Turmoil as Electoral Official Alleges “Monumental Fraud”, Dropsite News.

      All this with a third of the US Navy prowling about. With 20k troops. Who’s trip to Venezuela might involve a stopover in Honduras first if those results aren’t favorable.

      Reply
    3. gf

      This sounds mostly correct.
      I heard that there were 2 factions somewhere.

      1) Little izaN Rubio that wants to rip out the the leftists to somehow get the oil and serve his anti leftist grudge. Regardless of the stability issues that may lessen the ability to get at the oil.

      2) The people that just want to make deals and thereby increase the probability of actually accessing the oil.

      Reply
    4. Jonathan Holland Becnel

      Have to give them (the neocons and their israeli handlers) something to do.

      At least it’s not getting our soldiers murdered in Europe or CHYYYNAH.

      Instead they’re just picking fights with locals here in Jefferson Parish, LA.

      Local DSA is swelling with Lib PMC types and no one’s really explaining anything to them. It’s all FILM ICE and KNOW YOUR RIGHTS classes led by the Orleans Public Defenders Office.

      Like seriously, the Night School is training these dumb libs to know what it feels like to get arrested in these bizarre role playing exercises led by the lawyers who acted like the cops.

      Fucking sheep and here they have the dumb LIB lawyers leading them for their dumb LIB non profit friends in Indivisible.

      Does the S NOT stand for SOCIALIST?

      What about the A? Isn’t that AMERICA?

      Know they’re all in on the ICE Immigration hand grenade the Rich are lobbing into our backyard to stir shit up because they have all this excess security capacity and no where to blow it.

      WHO DAT
      BECNEL OUT

      Reply
    1. The Rev Kev

      Can you imagine the meltdown that those AI techboys will have when they find that people are illegally downloading that AI “Actress” and are using her for pron videos?

      Reply
        1. ambrit

          As Frankie sang, “Relax!”
          “Forget it Fake, it’s Hollywood.” And the pervert old moneybags get away with it yet again.

          Reply
          1. Wukchumni

            Livin’ la vida Hollywood would be interesting, nobody watches TV in movies or on televsion, you always get an ace parking spot and seldom does anybody go to the bathroom unless its used as a plot device.

            Reply
        1. Wukchumni

          I was riding a lift chair up @ Mammoth a couple weeks ago with a couple my age speaking Czech and I impressed them with my strictly limited vocabulary, and a common greeting is ‘Ahoj’ which sounds just like the nautical version, and we got off the chair and said our ahojs, which must have seemed weird to everybody else.

          Reply
      1. cfraenkel

        Meltdown? They’ll be first in line. And then try to figure out a way to monetize. The only meltdown would be if people were downloading without paying.

        Reply
  3. Wukchumni

    When Donny comes marching home again,
    Chorus: Hurrah, hurrah!
    They’ll give him a hearty welcome then
    Chorus: Hurrah, hurrah!
    The evangs will cheer, the boys will shout,
    The ladies, they will all turn out
    Chorus: And we’ll all feel less gay
    When Donny comes marching home.

    The old church bell will peal with joy,
    Chorus: Hurrah, hurrah!
    To welcome home our darling boy,
    Chorus: Hurrah, hurrah!
    The takes a village idiot lads and lassies say,
    With roses they will strew his way
    Chorus: And we’ll all feel less gay
    When Donny comes marching home.

    Get ready for the hyperinflation Jubilee
    Chorus: Hurrah, hurrah!
    We’ll give the hero three times three;
    Chorus: Hurrah, hurrah!
    The laurel wreath is ready now,
    To place upon his loyal brow,
    Chorus: And we’ll all feel less gay
    When Donny comes marching home.

    Let love and friendship on that day,
    Chorus: Hurrah, hurrah!
    Their choicest dogma on display;
    Chorus: Hurrah, hurrah!
    And let each one perform some part,
    To fill with joy the warrior’s heart,
    Chorus: And we’ll all feel less gay
    When Donny comes marching home.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V0CLsxAm7fY&list=RDV0CLsxAm7fY

    Reply
    1. ISL

      From one perspective, it is as if one branch of government is overthrowing the constitutional balance by attacking the other branch. If Congress does not stand up (and I do not think it will), it will end up in jail or against the wall one of these days for whoever is out of favor with the dear leader. So far, Israel has not crossed that rubicon, though I am sure netanyahoo dreams of being the god-appointed leader for life.

      Reply
  4. The Rev Kev

    ‘Sharing Travel
    @TripInChina
    CR450, China’s newest high-speed train. 400-450 km/h.😃’

    One smarty pants had a funny reply to that video-

    ‘Jean P. Gelinas
    @JeanPGelinas
    They stole the technology from the US high speed rail network!
    Oh wait…’

    Reply
      1. Wukchumni

        For better or verse~
        ~~~~~~~~~

        I’ve waited 18 years for the bullet
        Got me nowhere, wonder when they’re gonna pull it
        I’m tickled to drive now
        I’m a road trip son-of-a-gun

        So hold it right there little choo-choo
        We’re gonna have big fun when it goes to Malibu
        Might be an outlier-the inland route
        It may take forever to complete it, but oh, yes I will

        I’ve waited 18 years for the bullet
        Got me nowhere, wonder when they’re gonna pull it

        It’s a super fast, sure shot, yeah
        It’s a national breakout
        So how come it’s gone nowhere
        Huh, c’mon let’s figure it out

        It’s high on the debt chart
        It’s close to the tip of the top
        But you can’t stop something you start
        It ain’t never gonna stop, never, never entertain that thought

        We got a smash north-south double-header
        If we can only keep it together
        Talkin’ ’bout you Tehachapi
        Talkin’ ’bout you Pixley

        I’ve waited 18 years for the bullet
        Got me nowhere, wonder when they’re gonna pull it

        18 With a Bullet, by Pete Wingfield

        https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x35B0XCofeU

        Reply
      2. Matthew

        This sentence strikes me as oblivious to the point of absurdity. Why on earth would -any- commercial shipping whatever continue if there was even the vague possibility of a ship being destroyed? Surely just the insurance costs alone would make any commercial venture unviable. Why do these people not consider such obvious facts?



        “The CSIS report reached a similar conclusion: Taiwan can withstand non-military pressure from China, but once the PLA introduces submarines or mines, Taiwan cannot hold alone. In simulations where Taiwan fought without direct U.S. intervention, 40 percent of inbound ships were destroyed, even when Taiwan received Western support.”

        Reply
  5. Expat2uruguay

    About this link presented today, Sinking Russia’s ‘shadow fleet’: Has the Ukraine war reached Senegal?

    “And in all these cases, they targeted tankers specifically, and they targeted tankers which were involved in transporting Russian oil and oil products.”

    The publisher, France24 limits it’s whodunit speculation to plucky ukrainians targeting Russian Shadow fleet, consistent with the Western narrative.

    The article never once mentions Mali, where that Russian oil is most likely going, and where it is a big part of how Mali is surviving the increased Jihadist JNIM attacks. But considering these unmentioned facts might lead a reader to suspect Western attacks (instead of plucky ukrainians) supporting the overthrow of the Malian government, which has demanded more compensation for their gold and other resources

    Reply
    1. The Rev Kev

      From what you say, it seems more likely that it was the French that did it rather than plucky Ukrainians as they would have the most to gain from such an attack. You wonder how the Russians will retaliate and if it will even make the news.

      Reply
  6. AG

    re: West vs. rest and vocubulary

    paywalled

    Gordon Hahn

    The Western Schism, a Return to American Neutrality, and the New Multipolar Order
    https://gordonhahn.substack.com/p/the-western-schism-a-return-to-american

    A fundamental objection against certain terms, “idealism” and “democratisation” as used in this text, e.g.

    “But, alas, the world again split apart between East (and South, to a certain extent) and West largely as a function of the latter’s abandonment of realism and embrace of a radical idealism driven by ideological beliefs and post-Cold War hubris.”

    “On the background of such monumental scale, Ukraine’s people and even Ukraine statehood itself become small sacrifices on the altar of global democratisation and NATO expansion, if this promises the defeat of democracy’s enemies and guarantees humankind’s final march to utopia.”

    (Inlcuding the incomprehensible rise of Fukuyama´s nonsense within academia.)

    The West´s/NATO´s policies have nothing to do with either embracing idealism or democratisation.

    Idealism is in the essence a left leaning egalitarian concept that considers the good in human beings and regards them as rational. That and “democratisation” are exactly what imperialism is destroying or trying to destroy.

    If the West/NATO´s behaviour on geopolitical level has a single intent it is the destruction of achievements such as freedom, liberty and equality (liberté, égalité, fraternité) in countries outside its centre. And if it serves the elites they are willing to fight it even domestically.

    So if we seriously wish to discuss Western geopolitics we should completely abandon such terms as “idealism” and “democracy” or “human rights.” The post 9/11 wars e.g. were a scheme to destroy these very developments outside “empire”.

    6M dead as a consequence are the most obvious fact.

    This too goes for critics such as Hahn, Diesen, The Duran, etc.
    They should stop using this vocabulary because it is not intended in any genuine way. It is PR and lies.

    If they complain about Orwellian Newspek, then they should not ascribe (albeit unintentionally) to the same practice.

    Reply
      1. cfraenkel

        Hmmm. With respect to Newspek… and tying in the all too common alarms from teachers up and down the educational stack (I watched a yt yesterday of a H.S. teacher with ~50 students, of which only 2 were reading at grade level), it would appear our society is rapidly reverting to a Roman Empire level of literacy as well. Propaganda works best if no one can read for themselves.

        Reply
        1. Wukchumni

          Once in a while in order to torture a younger person, i’ll ask them to write out a sentence with a pen and paper, and you take away spell check from them, and oh my gosh, the results are as bad as you’d imagine.

          Reply
          1. Lee

            Don’t be too hard on the young. English spelling of words, unlike Spanish for instance, is phonetically quite inconsistent and unnecessarily complicated. Silent vowels making previous vowels long, but not always, unpronounced and unpronounceable ghs scattered hither and yon, and so on. And can’t we make up our minds and settle on f or ph, why both? It’s a phonetic phking nightmare.

            Reply
            1. AG

              Why don´t they learn Hungarian then.
              There what you see (read) is what you get (hear/say).
              Should solve the problem.
              For starters: “László Krasznahorkai”
              🙃

              Reply
          2. Oregon Lawhobbit

            Local English teacher I work with on occasion has a poster informing all and sundry that any use of 6 7 will be met with the immediate assignment of a 670 handwritten essay on “brain rot.”. I said ” challenge accepted!” and dropped the essay on her by close of business. On her own head be the reading of my handwriting….

            Reply
      1. rowlf

        I listened to the interview while going to work and again on the way back. It will probably resonate with most readers here, but others who still follow mainstream news will probably not be able hear what is being discussed.

        Patrik Baab is a German journalist and best-selling author who reported on both sides of the frontline in Ukraine. Baab argues that war propaganda has destroyed the credibility of the media and freedom of speech.

        At one point both mention how low quality the Wikipedia entries on them are.

        Reply
        1. AG

          Despite being familiar with the subject I liked listening to it too.
          And of course there are always some new bits one will learn.
          It´s remarkable how Diesen is holding up on his lone post up in the north…

          For some reason I did not know about Baab´s own YT channel.

          It looks good.

          Maybe you or someone outside Germany can tell me if non-German YT offers an AI-dub.
          Because then possibly his channel could offer a new valuable German-focused source.

          One needs to keep in mind that the attacks on Baab were existential.

          People who used to be his colleagues at university where he was teaching after he quit German public broadcasting tried to take away his pension by way of court decision and literally ruin him which did not work because they actually accused him of pro-Russian propaganda, which is no serious litigable reason and was not true anyway. Baab simply documented his dangerous trips to East Ukraine.

          I find it disgusting how other reporters in Germany are completely oblivious to this and other such stories. They are running around pounding their chest and telling the whole world what a fucking high ethical standard and integrity they share.

          In truth they won´t shy away from anything to destroy people in the same line of work simply because they disagree with them, along the fact that their disagreement is based on criminal views, complete incompetence and ignorance and malign behaviour which actually should be brought to a court due to it presenting a professional liability.

          Here is Baab´s channel:
          (only German-language for me)
          https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P_zDUhEIZN4&list=PLC8BiBSArcJGQki_cNNBtI4C7N6q86ehS

          With long conversations with such people as Petra Erler (former high level civil servant in Germany and the EU) or Ulrich Heyden (indepdendent Moscow correspondent who has been living there for more than 30 years.)

          Reply
          1. rowlf

            I was a journalism student ages ago before dropping out to go to technical school. It also helps that I have marketing allergies. ;)

            Thank you for the link to Baab’s channel. I like his message and interviews, but couldn’t find his channel.

            “Your name is in that great golden book up in the sky. I’ll be in touch.” The Friends Of Eddie Coyle 1973

            Reply
          2. rowlf

            “And of course there are always some new bits one will learn.”

            I compete in a sport that is often in Olympic competitions. As we train and develop we have to look at everything with a new eye. We are not the same person we were in the past. I have to re-read my collection of books and notes over and over again.

            The Theravada Buddhist Forrest Monk tradition has the same practice.

            Reply
  7. pjay

    – ‘Joe Biden Stumbles Over Word ‘America’ In LGBTQ Forum Speech’ – Newsweek

    I thought Caitlin Johnstone’s remarks on Biden’s “award” at this event were quite appropriate:

    “After genocidal war criminal Joe Biden was elected in 2020 I wrote an article titled “Biden Will Have The Most Diverse, Intersectional Cabinet Of Mass Murderers Ever Assembled”.

    “On Friday the Hague fugitive former president was presented with an award at the International LGBTQ+ Leaders Conference for running “the most inclusive administration in US history.”

    “The US empire is impossible to satirize.”

    Amen.

    https://caitlinjohnstone.com.au/2025/12/07/sudan-venezuela-and-other-notes/

    Reply
  8. mrsyk

    Regarding “The Indian Ocean disaster is a climate tragedy — and needs more attention”. Abrupt, catastrophic climate change is still the biggest elephant in the room as this article specifically details.

    Some countries, such as Sri Lanka, have declared a national emergency and asked for international help. Others, including Indonesia, have not even acknowledged that this is a crisis.

    More, Perhaps one reason for the delays is the sparse coverage of the crisis in the global media, which has failed to portray the vast scale of this catastrophe.

    Which is more likely,

    A) Humanity across the globe comes together in a monumental collaborative effort to effect a successful last ditch effort.

    B) Aliens save us.

    Happy Sunday! I hate this timeline.

    Reply
    1. urdsama

      This second option is more likely: B) Aliens cleanse the planet of the cancer known as humanity.

      One species is not worth more than all other life on the planet. Any life that can travel between the stars will surely see who is responsible for the current disaster.

      And yes, I hate this timeline.

      Reply
      1. John Wright

        I have mentioned before that fossil fuels may be “dinosaur seeds”.

        Ancient plants/animals deposited “hydrocarbon seeds” that needed to be aged for millions of years and then extracted and burned by a sufficiently advanced life form to recreate the environment in which dinosaurs thrived.

        What a long planning horizon!

        Reply
        1. amfortas

          more like giant cockroach and dragonfly seeds.
          ive held for years that we’re recreating the Caboniferous Period…almost as if we are ruled by big lizards in human suits….

          Reply
  9. The Rev Kev

    “The American fixation on white Afrikaners in South Africa stretches back nearly a century”

    Hardly an American fixation but more one for the Trump regime. If you asked most Americans, not many would know who the Afrikaners are and maybe half, if asked, would say that they came from somewhere in Africa. Perhaps the seeds for this were planted by Musk who come from there and Trump is using the whole issue as one to beat on the South Africans with. Otherwise there is not much going between the Afrikaners and Americans. Even during the Boer war there were not that many Americans that fought on their side and probably an equal number fought for the British-

    https://www.militaryhistoryonline.com/Century19th/AmericansInTheBoerWar

    In other words, this whole issue is made out of whole cloth.

    Reply
    1. Cat Fancier

      I have known who Afrikaners were for 50 years, because I lived & worked in NYC & my first boss out of college was a British South African woman academic, married to an Afrikaner corporate exec (Hilton Intl.). It is spooky how people w Afrikaner ties – not just Musk, but Thiel, whose father took his family to live in an Afrikaner community for his mining engineering work (right?), and Nick Land, whose dad worked in S Africa for Shell Oil, who is an eminence grise to the Silicon Valley types & I think they lived in an Afrikaner area – are influential in this Trump admin.
      But yes, nobody’s fixated on Afrikaners except those guys.

      Reply
    2. cfraenkel

      A simpler explanation is to assume DC is being run out of Tel Aviv, and this is the frankenstein’s monster shuffling off in a direction of a ‘color revolution’ in SA as a response to the ICJ genocide case. Having so many at the top level Afrikaner-adjacent greased the skids.

      Reply
    3. Norton

      Afrikaner friends emigrated due to reasons like not wanting to be car-jacked or murdered, having their farms burned and family murdered, and desiring a better quality of staying alive. They found those in the US, New Zealand and even the UK for a while.

      Reply
      1. Wukchumni

        Friends were driving a rental car in Capetown a couple years ago when taking an off-ramp, and one of them had a smartphone in the cradle on the dashboard, when somebody busted her side window, reached inside and grabbed said phone.

        I’d split too, as in yesterday.

        Reply
      2. Sub-Boreal

        Back in the early- to mid-90s, if you saw a Land Rover on the streets of my central BC town, you could be almost certain that it was being driven by a white South African émigré doctor. By the end of that decade, they’d all moved to Vancouver Island and other southern areas. I guess they just couldn’t handle the winters.

        Reply
  10. eg

    “Monetary Privacy: The Last Bastion of Human Dignity”

    The author apparently knows everything about his subject except the only thing that really matters — fiat currencies (ie. the thing he figures his concept of “money” can replace) are an expression of sovereign power. That lots of people misunderstand what “money” is leads to all manner of pointless dead ends, including his own.

    Thus do libertardians go on losing forever and ever in a world ruled by GROUPS of human beings, who fundamentally by biology and anthropology are social animals … 🙄

    Reply
  11. TomDority

    This sinking of the shadow fleet….. is there an issue with oil escaping into the water? .. a deep water horizon or a exxon valdez or somthing at scale in regards an environmental catastrophy…. being overshadowed by the ongoing plantetary environmental catastrophy?

    Reply
  12. raspberry jam

    haute frozen sundae, woo, big deal! (I’m making a lewd hand gesture) I had this mastic ice cream the other day that had some kind of fruit on the bottom. I’d never had mastic ice cream, was surprised that it tasted dense, almost like cheese cake. I think I spent 1 euro and I bet it was way tastier than that gross gold foil travesty.

    Reply
    1. ambrit

      The better way to measure the gold “flavoured” treat’s effect on your caloric intake would be to measure the ‘hole’ it makes in your yearly food budget. By replacing purchasing food with purchasing gold, you force yourself to cut back on calory intake. You simply cannot afford to buy food after you have spent all your available income on gold.
      So, yes, precious metals can be an integral part of your weight loss programme.

      Reply
        1. ambrit

          Ah, but it’s the “Value Added” of the construction of the confection that counts in the Neoliberal Dispensation.
          Seeing that fact, it’s tempting to create my own “Gold Mountain Sundae.”
          That’s roughly .012 grams per sheet. Thin as can be. Looks like the gold beaters have skin in the game.

          Reply
      1. vao

        I am increasingly unsure about those “most expensive XXX”.

        On the one side I suspect that those ultra-wealthy people do indeed have such a bad taste that they go for gawdy, kitsch, outrageously showy items (whether chocolate, cookies, jewelry, bags, or whatever) — in the sense of conspicuous consumption and all that.

        On the other hand, I cannot help thinking those videos are spoofs, generated with a dose of CGI/AI, and that in fact the “most expensive chocolate” (or most expensive bagel, or most expensive orange juice, whatever) does not exist and is just clickbait, a production to attract views and dope engagement.

        I do not know.

        Reply
        1. principle

          Those “most expensive XXX” are created for media attention. They aren’t meant to be products that are actually ordered and eaten (except by people doing it for media attention).

          Reply
  13. ISL

    On Taiwan by Mr. Mak’s Substack, an honest appraisal of its narrative leads to peaceful reunification – China’s desire, as Taiwan loses bigly (no mention of casualties!) in the military alternatives, yet repeatedly argues that Taiwan needs to strengthen itself.

    -from the end of the blog:

    “We believe that empathy and authoritarianism can’t mix – that when we tell deeply-reported human stories of people threatened by dictators, it compels people to act against injustice.”

    The blog has lots of pro-Ukraine pieces (wow does he know elections are canceled). The blog is well written, yet reads more like a psyop than from a point of ignorance on what the meaning of dictator is.

    I am not holding my breath for empathy for Americans whose government dictates their impoverishment or Brits imprisoned for free speech or the yellow vests (how many killed, maimed) or Gazans…

    —– couldnt let it go —-

    One thing that grated at the story’s start – Jack didn’t score high enough to become a chef (his dream), so he entered the Taiwanese navy. Weird – that is not how chefs are made in any country I know. A quick Google search suggests pure, unadulterated bovine excrement. If I cared, I would check whether the story has signs of AI generation (there are signs).

    Still an informative case example of how psychological operations (psyops) are developing.

    Reply
    1. Kouros

      Yes indeed. I wonder if they ever write and compare housing affordability in Taiwan compared to China, and how the elites and real estate moguls and developers are squeezing everyone in Taiwan…

      Reply
    2. Cian

      Quite a few countries have chef programs at colleges, with Taiwan being one of them.

      The story was not very good, but that detail is certainly possible. Of course a better writer would have left it out (because who cares).

      Reply
  14. hamstak

    Here are some initial impressions of the NSS, having read only the first couple of sections in detail:

    – Why now? This seems like the kind of document you would release at the beginning of an administration, not almost 1/4 in. It should not take 10+ months to devise 29 pages. (See “Theory” below).
    – No list of authors/contributors (maybe POTUS mentioned this in the prelude — didn’t read)
    – Lots of generalities, light on specifics (thus far) — implying not a policy, but a political document
    – Lots of superlatives, unsurprising given a certain proclivity for hyperbole
    – More than one reference to “God-given” rights
    – Written at the level of a freshman year Comp. I assignment (e.g., “suck us into”, as in foreign entanglements)
    – Complains of unspecified “elites” — I suppose that the Prez, Musk, Miriam, etc. are not “elites”? Or maybe it is that some elites are more elite than other elites?
    – Comes across a bit as “a kinder, gentler American exceptionalism” sort of groove

    Theory: Trump, facing falling approval ratings but more importantly fractures in his base, has the team assemble this document (heavy input from Rubio, maybe edited by Vance) in order counter to that problem. It is general enough where it will readily interpreted according to one’s biases (the kerfuffle over “de-Europeanization” of Europe, but also “hostile foreign influence” — think Kirk/Tucker). The congressional Republicans, assuming their constituents are not reading the document in full and critically, can selectively cite and interpret parts of it in a manner meant to soothe the base (see, he is sticking to his promises and addressing your concerns!) and reinvigorate support.

    One thing that struck me as a possible conjunction between this document and the 1980 article by Israel Shahak featured in yesterdays links. The “de-Europeanization” of Europe is attributed to immigration. Where is that immigration coming from, at least the variety likely implied (that not being from E. Europe and Ukraine?) The Middle East and Africa — the lands of the Yishma’eli and Kushim (roughly) respectively.

    Reply
    1. hamstak

      On the “why now”, my supposition may not be correct — the prior NSS issued by the Biden administration was issued in Oct. 2022, so it appears these do not have a cadence. Oct. 2022 would have been just prior to the mid-terms, though.

      Reply
    2. hamstak

      On further investigation, this specific report may not be that much of an outlier with respect to prior submissions, at least with respect to form, judging by the 2022 report.

      Per the defense/war history site:

      “The …(NSS) is a report mandated by Section 603 of the Goldwater-Nichols Department of Defense Reorganization Act of 1986 (Public Law 99-433). The NSS has been transmitted annually since 1987, but frequently reports come in late or not at all. The NSS is to be sent from the President to Congress in order to communicate the executive branch’s national security vision to the legislative branch.”

      If a report does not come in, then what exactly was transmitted?

      Reply
    3. ilsm

      I do not know if there is “cadence” for NSS.

      There is set cadence for raising the army and funding the army and funding maintain a navy. That being national defense authorization act NDAA, that sets the things appropriations pay for. There is a two year cycle in appropriations.

      Wait and see if the next NDAA noticeably reduces authorized land and Air Force due to reduced commitment to Europe.

      I doubt things will change even as Trump blusters about NATO taking over burden.

      A lot of vague words in that NSS.

      Reply
      1. hamstak

        It is supposed to be submitted annually to Congress, but when within a given year appears to be at the discretion of the administration.

        There is a lot vagueness/generality, but I get the impression these documents are not meant to define concrete policy but rather supply policy directions (in the vector sense).

        I am currently dismantling this document sentence by sentence — this passage just caught my eye:

        The United States must reconsider our military presence in the Western Hemisphere. This means four obvious things:

        [4] Establishing or expanding access in strategically important locations.

        Reply
    4. Glen

      I’m looking forward to an article from the NC team going through the NSS in more detail. This report reminds me of the report that had gone out preceding Liberation Day which went over the economic plan of how the tariffs would be implemented. That plan was obviously not followed, and I am very skeptical that this NSS is being followed either.

      The uniparty elites calling the shots behind the scenes are still pretty much the same group of elites that were behind the GFC and bailed out by Obama. Their skill set falls more into getting rich while they wreck the country, not knowing how to re-industrialize one of the biggest economies in the world. They seem to live in the past right around 1992 with no real grasp of just how hollowed out America has become. And they never seem to look at a map and realize that there’s two rather large countries to the north and south of America that should be our closest allies instead of talk of invasion or 51rst state. And invading another country not too far away for reasons that the whole world sees as a lie is also not a good way to secure those fortress borders either.

      Just saying. (And I’m not trying to assign any homework so whatever!)

      Reply
  15. t

    It’s not that I have something to hide. I have nothing I want you to see.

    The last line on the 2018B movie Anon is quotable.

    It’d not about hiding, it’s about autonomy and deciding who I will share with. A simpler concept for females, perhaps, who spend adolescence and early adulthood constantly dealing with people who want a piece of us regardless of our feelings. “Just a smile” if nothing else.

    Reply
  16. Mikel

    Syrian president warns Israel against tampering with 1974 ceasefire agreement – Middle Easat Monitor

    A terrible al-Julani stand-up comedy routine disguised as news article.

    Reply
  17. Wukchumni

    I’ve always thought Xmas trees were kind of barbaric, you guillotine a perfectly good pine around 15 years old and then place it in a vat of water to reanimate it so as to make it look alive still.

    That said, we are planning to walk to the Grant Tree next Saturday on the Centennial of the Nations’ Christmas Tree celebration, join us!

    (please, no chainsaws)

    The first Christmas program was held at the General Grant Tree in Kings Canyon National Park at noon on Christmas Day, 1925. In 1926, President Calvin Coolidge christened this 268-foot-tall giant sequoia as the Nation’s Christmas Tree and every year thereafter, an annual ceremony has taken place in Grant Grove.

    On December 14, join park staff and other park visitors on the 100th Annual Trek to the Nations’ Christmas Tree to honor the legacy of the General Grant Tree and celebrate the spirit of community and remembrance. The trek to the tree takes place at 2 p.m. and the official ceremony will begin at 2:30 p.m.

    https://www.nationalparkstraveler.org/2025/12/join-park-staff-100th-annual-trek-nations-christmas-tree

    Reply
    1. Norton

      Standing among the sequoias is a type of therapy. Blood pressure drops, hearing becomes more acute and senses overall help one bliss out.
      Also available in travel paks, see Grand Canyon, Yosemite, beaches and rivers all over.

      Reply
      1. amfortas

        redwoods, sequoias and Pando, in Utah…are on my list of seven or so things i’d still like to see.
        the rest are Glastonbury Tor, Delphi. Central Asia(stan countries, esp Tian Shan and Altai), and the Canadian Rockies.
        Paris used to be on that list, but i have on good authority that its rather frelled, these days.
        do please note that nowhere in israel is on my list.
        at this point, make it glass and take it away from everybody.(I consider Saladin the last more or less just ruler of that place)

        Reply
        1. Revenant

          Glastonbury Tor is not exactly next-door, it’s a full day’s round trip from Devon if you want to spend any time there, but if you can make it to the UK I will collect you from Heathrow and put you up on the farm, Amfortas. Just say the word!

          What’s with the shortened moniker, by the way? Is the West Texas summer of love over and your hippy has been displaced by your own private 70’s of (cowboy) hot-tubs and cocaine? :-)

          Reply
    1. Wukchumni

      I would love to see that, and timing is oh so very tricky.

      A friend went a week ago and got nice photos of nothing whatsoever going on~

      Reply
  18. LawnDart

    Re; Israel AND Big Brorher AND Our No Longer Free Press v. Gaza, Yemen, Lebanon, Syria, Iran, and the rest of us

    Pro-Israel Forces Intensify Effort To Control American Discourse

    A shorter post with a lot to unpack. Touches upon TikTok (never was about China), control of US media, free speach threats to universities, and our lapdog lawmakers; a summary of the mechanics involved with the rewriting of history in real-time:

    Across the American political spectrum, support for the State of Israel is steadily eroding. With the long-running, staggeringly expensive redistribution of American wealth and weapons to one of the world’s most prosperous countries under unprecedented threat, Israel’s advocates inside the United States are growing increasingly desperate to suppress the facts, opinions, questions and imagery that are causing this sea change.

    Desperation has a tendency to foster extreme measures, and I don’t think that we need a crystal ball to see what might be heading our way.

    Reply
  19. Carolinian

    New suspicions that Trump is at the bottom of the Palestine Action persecution after they vandalized his Scottish gold course. Hell hath no fury like a DJT scorned.

    ttps://consortiumnews.com/2025/12/05/did-trump-pressure-starmer-to-ban-palestine-action/

    Reply
  20. XXYY

    How China would cut Taiwan off The Counteroffensive

    Former U.S. Naval Intelligence Commander Mike Studeman once suggested that, for the sake of energy security, Taiwan needs at least one nuclear power plant to prepare for a Chinese invasion.

    Please. All we need is one semi-serious radiation release to render most or all of the tiny island of Taiwan uninhabitable for 100,000 years. This could be accidental, like a construction fiasco, an earthquake, or a typhoon; or it could be the result of sabotage, terrorism, or deliberate military action against the reactor or the fuel cooling pond. It could also be a consequence of loss of external power needed to keep the reactor systems running safely; power grids seem to be an enthusiastic target during most present day wars.

    Hopefully this dude is not representative of US naval intelligence!

    Reply
  21. Yeti

    Re France vaccine study

    This study actually confirms the “healthy vaccinee effect which corresponds to the numbers produced. Frances excess All cause mortality fluctuated from 0% to 20% over the pandemic years according to Our World In Data. The concerning numbers come from the under 60 cohort which this study looks at. I show below in FOI’s from BC that the under 40 cohort there are concerns starting in 2021 and rising through 2023.

    Here is another study on France and Covid.

    Excess mortality and years of life lost from 2020 to 2023 in France: a cohort study of the overall impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on mortality | BMJ Public Health https://bmjpublichealth.bmj.com/content/3/1/e001836#DC1

    From the French vaccine study all cause mortality rate in both cohorts was less than 0.1% of national rate. Current rate in 2025 is 9580/million whereas 2010 was 8500/ million. Pre Covid YLL (years of life lost) in the under 60 year olds rose from 17% in 2020 to 50% of total in 2023 which has an extreme effect on overall life expectancy. From the linked study “Individuals younger than 60 years old accounted for 17% of the YLL in 2020, 26% in 2021, 32% in 2022 and 50% in 2023. Men were more affected than women by both excess mortality and YLL.” This corresponds to a BC FOI request on under 40 year olds hospitalizations for cardiac related issues. BC FOI HTH-2024-42317. In this report hospitalizations admitted through the ED rose 69% in 2023 over the 2017-20 average. In another BC FOI All Cause Mortality in under 40 year olds for 2021-24 rose 23% over the 2017-20 average. See this FOI for government response, HTH-2025-51679.

    Reply
    1. Yeti

      I made an error in ACM of vaccine study. The vaccinated in study were 25% approximately compared to absolute ACM. The unvaccinated were 34%. Basically equal to an expected 76% healthy vaccinee effect.

      Reply
  22. flora

    re:States Most Vulnerable to Identity Theft & Fraud WalletHub

    Surprised the tips didn’t mention putting a freeze on your credit report. In the US this is a good idea. No cost, you can manage it yourself. You temporarily lift the freeze if applying for a loan or a new credit card.

    How to place or lift a security freeze on your credit report

    A credit freeze restricts access to your credit report. If you suspect someone stole your personal information or identity, placing a credit freeze can help protect you from fraud.

    https://www.usa.gov/credit-freeze

    Reply
    1. jobs

      If someone fraudulently takes out a loan at a bank in your name and disappears with the money, why does it make sense that you have to prove it wasn’t you instead of the bank having to prove it was you? The bank, not you, stands to gain from the transaction, so it should bear the risk, not you.
      What am I missing?

      Reply
        1. jobs

          Thanks, ambrit, I suspected as much but wasn’t sure.
          It’s really institutionalized victim-blaming on a massive scale. Outrageous that this is allowed to happen. Another example of how deep the rot is in the US.

          Reply
  23. cian

    “Are We Seeing the First Steps Toward AI Superintelligence?”

    Beveridge’s law would suggest no. The writer seems unusually credulous.

    Reply
  24. ocypode

    Vibecession: Much More Than You Wanted To Know Astral Codex Ten

    The piece is well researched, but something about it doesn’t sit right with me. I’m not knowledgeable enough to do any sort of meaningful rebuttal, but whenever I see the data-heavy approach leading to the conclusion that people don’t really know anything and that it’s all the media’s fault it just feels like trying to paper over concerns that may be quite meaningful. Feels like using reasoning as a bludgeon.

    Reply
  25. AG

    re: Q&A with CHRIS HEDGES on Dec. 8th

    Join me tomorrow, Dec. 8 at 7:00pm ET for a live Q&A where we will discuss the importance of mass mobilization and strikes in pushing back against our rapidly consolidating authoritarianism.

    https://chrishedges.substack.com/p/chris-hedges-live-q-and-a-tomorrow-e24

    p.s. I am glad he didn´t use the f-word. However he will do so tomorrow, I am aware.

    On how problematic it has become can be witnessed on the occasion of a German online discussion which I may have linked to here, with Ulrike Guerot, Marco Bülow, Michael Sailer, Walter von Rossum .

    German language

    On the current confusions about “Left” and “Right”
    https://www.manova.news/artikel/die-neuvermessung-von-links-und-rechts

    Now they disagree on some things but agree on the most important ones.

    One of the issues I am not informed enough about and which is touched on too, is Marine Le Pen.

    Guerot is defending her (as is, btw Mark Sleboda).

    Also Guerot is using the idea of Sheldon Wolin´s “inverted totalitarianism” which has been made popular by Chris Hedges in the US, who on the other hand would disagree on some major points including Le Pen and Russia.

    So the question is now, isn´t the Wolinian term of inverted totalitarianism in danger of turning void if it is being used in defense of Le Pen at the same as painting her as a harbringer of that very threat, as I guess Hedges might be doing if asked.

    Not being necessarily a fan of Latour but what would he have said I wonder, since he was discussed here this WE.

    And what about Le Pen anyway???

    Reply
  26. chris

    I don’t know if I’ve seen a more delusional summary of the war in Ukraine:

    The negotiations over the war in Ukraine are frustrating and tragic. On the one side, a victim of aggression whose plight is more and more desperate. On the other, a brutal aggressor, willing to go to extraordinary lengths to win the war. In the middle, a transactional American president eager for a deal.

    Based on facts that aren’t that hard to find, shouldn’t this read:

    A corrupt regime installed by a death cult that was attempting to murder citizens in the country who were against the post coup government, but the anti coup resistance held land in the country with material wealth, is desperate. The death cult regime was tied to patrons in Europe and the US and has discovered their promises and their weapons are not capable of performing as advertised. This is unfortunate because the anti coup forces in their country aligned themselves with a sympathetic neighboring government who they shared a common language and culture with. This neighboring government was a manufacturing, military, and energy power in the region. Now the death cult and their corrupt proxy are facing the consequences of what happens when you attempt to fight a superior force, that had logistical dominance from the start of the war to the present day, and lose on the battlefield. The death cult was also surprised to learn that not everyone they considered members were equally committed to losing treasure in order to support the corrupt proxy.

    Someone will need to check in on the folks at the Guardian. They will not be OK when they can’t lie about Ukraine and Russia anymore.

    Reply

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