I have long regarded chartism and technical analysis as tantamount to astrology. At the same time, I do know of at least one trader who has made a fortune trading that way (but he professes he waits for multiple, pronounced signals, and makes fewer than 10 trades a year). So I take this chart, from […]
Read more...Ambrose Bierce, in The Devil’s Dictionary, defined an alliance as, “When two thieves have their hands so deeply plunged into each other’s pocket that they cannot separately plunder a third party.” We seem to be in that position with China. The problem is that we’d like to renegotiate our “alliance,” but we are trying to […]
Read more...Many observers overlooked the fact that increases in bank reserve ratios in China and India, which reduce liquidity by curtailing how much banks can gear their equity (and banks are much more important financial players in those markets than in the US) plus a teeny interest rate increase in Japan set the stage for the […]
Read more...Robert Reich has an interesting post today, “Why China Announces Military Buildup the Same Week Paulson Visits,” about how China is pursuing inter-related economic and military strategies in its drive to become a superpower. Although much of what Reich says is cogent, I disagree with one point, namely, that “America’s indebtedness to China gives the […]
Read more...A New York Times page one story, “A Cry to Limit Chinese Imports Rings at a Troubled Paper Mill,” describes how the Chinese have been gaining market share in the coated paper, by allegedly dumping (selling below cost). Several things make this case unusual: first, likelihood that the Commerce Department will impose duties on Chinese […]
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