Category Archives: Economic fundamentals

“The dollar question: Where are we?”

By Kati Suominen, Trans-Atlantic Fellow at the German Marshall Fund in Washington, cross posted from VoxEU The global crisis has led some to question the dollar’s place as the dominant currency. This column discusses three camps in the literature: those advocating a new synthetic global currency, those arguing that a new reserve currency will emerge, […]

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Is the Fed Happy with the Crappy Economy?

Is the economics version of defining deviancy downward mean that the new normal of high unemployment and inadequate job growth is seen as acceptable by policymakers (at least those not up for re-election this November)? It’s one thing to recognize that we are working through a painful hangover after a private sector borrowing binge that […]

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Soros on the Crisis and the Euro

The New York Review of Books has an article by George Soros with his take on the challenges facing the Eurozone. It includes a good, high level recitation of the structural deficiencies in the Eurozone (in particular, its lack of a treasury), the evolution of recent stresses, and suggested remedies. While the initial discussion covers […]

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Bank Extend and Pretend Common in Commercial Real Estate Loans

The Wall Street Journal today has solid piece of reporting on how banks are avoiding writing down commercial real estate loans. And the article even invoked “extend and pretend” near the top of the piece. The Journal also provides a critical factoid: regulators unwittingly enabled this practice. I had been wondering why we hadn’t seen […]

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“Will abandoning the dollar peg help China rebalance its economy?”

By Willem Thorbecke, Senior Research Fellow at the Asian Development Bank Institute and a Consulting Fellow at Japan’s Research Institute of Economy, Trade, and Industry, originally posted at VoxEU Yves here. As we have pointed out in several posts, the idea that China’s announcement on its currency policy change is “abandoning its dollar peg” is […]

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Martin Wolf Continues Attack on Fiscal Austerity

Martin Wolf, the Financial Times’ esteemed economics editor, launches another salvo against misguided austerity measures today. It’s also noteworthy that he argues from a Modern Monetary Theory perspective. Wolf first stresses that yields on government bonds show that inflationsitas are all wet: I have a question: do we believe that markets are unable to price […]

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Our New York Times Op Ed on the Corporate Savings Glut

Rob Parenteau and I have an op-ed at the New York Times today. Rob’s last post here argued energetically that the now-established trend of the corporate sector to save, as opposed to invest in growth, in advanced economies, and even most emerging economies, was tantamount to capitalists abandoning their traditional role. It reminded me of […]

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Backfire at “America Speaks” Propaganda Campaign vs. Social Security and Medicare

For those who did not catch wind of it, the Peterson Foundation, which has long had Social Security and Medicare in its crosshairs, held a bizarre set of 19 faux town hall meetings over the previous weekend to scare participants into compliance and then collect the resulting distorted survey data, presumably to use in a […]

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Steve Keen’s Scary Minsky Model

I had the pleasure of finally meeting Steve Keen (he and his wife Melina are in New York) and it turns out he is adventuresome eater as well as thinker (he ordered maguro and natto even though I warned him, although I must say this restaurant’s version was actually gaijin friendly). Steve told me about […]

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Andy Grove on the Need for US Job Creation and Industrial Policy

Andy Grove, who lead Intel to dominance of an extremely competitive, risky industry, has a very important opinion piece at Bloomberg (several readers pointed to it, including John M, dr, Crocodile Chuck). He makes a series of points that are the polar opposite of the de facto US industrial policy, of the naive view that […]

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GE CEO Immelt Gets Pissy About China, Obama

When a CEO has a major foot in mouth episode, it’s usually the result of uncontrolled candor. And today’s outburst by GE CEO Jeffrey Immelt appears to be true to form. According to the Financial Times, the GE cheiftan said some less that politic things about China and Obama at a private gathering which his […]

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David Harvey: Crises of Capitalism

This is a wonderful short video by RSAnimate based on a talk by radical, as in Marxist, sociologist David Walker. For those who recoil, Marx was the first to take note of the propensity of capitalism towards instability. By contrast, neoclassical economics, which has dominated policymaking in advanced economies, posits that economies have a propensity […]

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US-China Pressure May Escalate Sooner Rather Than Later

We and other cynics were very skeptical of the pre-G20 announcement by China that it was moving to a more market-oriented currency regime at some unspecified point in the future (particularly since China had said pretty much the same thing in 2005, and actually had committed to some baby steps then). Now that it is […]

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Bank Stress, ECB Liquidity Withdrawal Efforts, Deflation Fears Rattle Markets

We’ve warned for some time that the eurozone’s sure-to-fail muddle-through approach to its structural challenges was rattling investor confidence. Worse, its insistence on wearing an austerity hairshirt was not only committing Europe to deflation, but had high odds of sucking the global economy down along with it. Given how fragile the recovery is in advanced […]

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Banks Face $5 Trillion Rollover by 2012

This Sydney Morning Herald story (hat tip reader Gordon) highlights a Bank of England report that not only points out the magnitude of the financing needs of major banks over the next few years, a daunting $5 trillion, but also indicates that US and European bank refinancings are falling short of their rollover calendar. This […]

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