Coffee Break: GOP Lures Jasmine Crockett Into US Senate Primary

The GOP has succeeded in luring U.S. Representative Jasmine Crockett into entering the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate. Time will tell if they regret getting their wish, but progressives should be under no illusion about her politics.

I have already encouraged NC readers to follow this race because the GOP primary between incumbent RINO Sen. John Cornyn and MAGA avatar Attorney General Ken Paxton is THE battle between Bush and Trump era Republicans for control of the party.

I have also written about Crockett here previously, here’s what I had to say in July:

A number of outlets have breathlessly covered “dark woke” but no one has done it with the heft and staggering cluelessness of The New York Times.

The NYT piece is subtitled “Democrats are trying out a new attitude. It’s provocative, edgy and perilously toeing the line of not being too offensive” and it platforms “Representative Jasmine Crockett, Democrat of Texas, has on more than one occasion directed name-calling and insults at her political opponents.”

Interestingly, the National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) has been promoting its poll claiming that Rep. Crockett is way ahead in the Texas Democratic Senatorial primary, although she hasn’t actually announced her candidacy.

Do I really need to say that Democrats should run screaming from any tactic encouraged by both The New York Times and the Republican Party?

Crockett’s MSM-Driven Rocket Rise

Perhaps, like me, the reader wonders how a 44-year-old Missourian with one term as a state representative in Texas and one-and-a-half terms in Washington, has risen so fast.

It’s not hard to explain, she’s made herself a darling of the mainstream media.

Here’s a Google Trends comparison of news coverage of Crockett vs. California Rep. Eric Swalwell, a first-term congressman and, like Crockett, handpicked by Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries’ to rep the Dems on the Jan. 6 subcommittee.

Now let’s take a look at MSM coverage of Jasmine Crockett to set the scene and see what the normies are hearing about Jasmine Crockett, and rest assured, they are hearing a LOT about her.

Here’s a quick screengrab of the top stories on my Google News feed:

Talk about a few thousand words in a single picture. The CNN coverage sums the Crockett value proposition to TV-watchers who love to hate The Donald. The NYT sets the broader electoral context, and FOX is licking its chops.

Jasmine Crockett Takes the Stage

Let’s hear what Rep. Crockett chose to say in her campaign launch tweet:

Transcript:

Donald Trump: She’s the new star of the Democrat Party, Jasmine Crockett. They’re in big trouble.

Trump: But you have this woman, Crockett. She’s a very low IQ person. I watched her speak the other day. She’s definitely a low IQ person.

Trump: Crockett. Oh, man. Oh, man. She’s a very low IQ person. Somebody said the other day, she’s one of the leaders of the party. I said, you got to be kidding. Now they’re going to rely on Crockett. Crockett’s going to bring them back.

There you go, she excels at trolling Donald Trump and baiting him into talking about her. Note that his criticisms are empty and meaningless.

She’s also been willing to criticize Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortes.

In fairness, she’s capable of more substance, from an October interview with Politico:

Asked about the government shutdown: Crockett: Honestly, this has probably been the most effective messaging that we’ve done as Democrats. When we look at the numbers, it is clear that whether you’re MAGA, Republican, Independent or Democrat, you believe that it is wrong to limit people’s access to health care in the form of getting rid of or allowing the expiration of those tax subsidies for the Affordable Care Act. And so I do think that, number one, it’s been very effective messaging. But number two, it is clear that the Democrats are fighting for the basic humanity of all Americans.

She also has some interesting comments on her communications approach, her rapid rise, and her frenemy Marjorie Taylor Greene, but the most interesting thing to me was her commentary on the varied responses she’s gotten from the different political generations in the Dem party:

Crockett: (The day after my first confrontation with Marjorie Taylor Greene) there are two little women in their eighties that are high-fiving me. It is Maxine Waters and Nancy Pelosi. Two very well-known, fierce, yet definitely what you would probably consider to be older-school kind of politicians. They have been in politics forever and they’re older, but they are feisty and they know how to get things done.

And then I would say that the middle-aged group, those that I would consider to be aunties, those that are in their sixties were really like, “Uh, we don’t know about this.” They were the ones that were like, “Ahhh.”

Then of course the people that are in my class and near my class, they were all fine, but it was very interesting to see that.

That’s one of the things that people don’t understand about where we are is that there are these generational groups.

The woman is smart and smooth.

She’s also dropped a video of her speaking out against ICE during a congressional session yesterday.

Some key quotes:

Jasmine Crockett: We are living in some of the scariest times that this country has ever seen yet you have not backed down.

I have seen your faces more than once. You refuse to go silently and into the dark. You are the light that they are afraid of, and I am so grateful for you being so heroic at such a scary time.

When the history books are written, they will know your stories because you decided to be brave in the face of those cowards.

I’m the type of person that is constantly looking for how do we come up with solutions. I became a lawmaker because as a lawyer, I just didn’t feel like it was good enough to stand in the courtroom and just argue each case at a time. I wanted to change the laws.

So I don’t care what your color is. I don’t care what country you came from. We are a country of immigrants. It is time for us to unite and stop allowing people to divide us.

I’ll give her points for this one.

How D.C. Sees Jasmine Crockett

Now let’s see what the “savvy insiders” are reading.

The team at Axios does a bang up job of documenting how the race is seen from D.C. in their piece titled Dems face a Tea Party-style revolt in Texas and beyond:

Hours after former NFL star Colin Allred quit the Texas Senate race Monday, rabble-rousing Rep. Jasmine Crockett jumped in — the latest sign that Democrats are facing a Tea Party-style revolt by progressives.

Senate Democratic leaders this year have tried to tip the scales in favor of their favorite 2026 candidates in several states — but they’ve lost some power as much of the party’s base has turned on them in President Trump’s second term.

The Texas Tribune has the view from Austin in their piece “Is Jasmine Crockett’s Senate campaign an asset or a liability for Democrats? It depends on who you ask.“:

In the eyes of some pundits and politicos, the Dallas Democrat’s nomination would spell doom for her party’s chances of winning a statewide race for the first time in over three decades. To others, she is a fighter and gifted communicator whose expand-the-electorate strategy is worth trying in a state where Democrats of all stripes and styles have failed.

At stake is not just the U.S. Senate race, but competitive seats further down the ballot for the U.S. House and the state Legislature. Though Texas Democrats are still smarting from another round of blowout defeats last year, 2026 marks the first midterm with Trump in the White House since 2018, when Beto O’Rourke’s narrow Senate loss generated a wave of down-ballot wins for Democrats.

Fiery, quick-witted and adept at generating viral moments, Crockett is well-known to the Democratic base in Texas and around the country. As Democrats have struggled with unscripted forums, finding their digital voice and authentic presentation, Crockett, a frequent presence on cable television and in long-form interviews, is regarded among the base as an invigorating and clear communicator, never robotic or boring. Operatives agree she will be a strong fundraiser and a formidable primary candidate. And her backers argue her status as a household name — including in the White House — is a strength.

“Jasmine Crockett is the most talked about member of the United States Congress, House or Senate,” Harris County Commissioner Rodney Ellis, a bastion of Houston politics, said at Crockett’s launch event. “And why are they talking about her? Because she talks back. She will expand our base. She’s a great communicator. She has shown that she can raise money.”

Readers should note that Crockett’s policy positions and legislative accomplishments go entirely unmentioned.

The Progressive Media Has Some Thoughts on Jasmine Crockett

Now let’s hear from the alt media types.

Matt Stoller:

Jasmine Crockett has explicitly modeled her career on Barack Obama, from the corporate-friendly politics to the focus on celebrity over substance. It’s a well-worn anti-populist lane now in black politics.

Crockett is very smart, I hope she realizes this model is a dead-end.

The Young Turks zero in on Crockett’s position on the Gaza genocide:

Ana Kasparian: In April of last year, she voted to send over $26 billion in US taxpayer money uh to Israel as security assistance. That same month, she voted yes on a resolution condemning the phrase from the river to the sea, Palestine will be free as anti-semitic. According to Americans for Justice and Palestine Action, Crockett has not called for a ceasefire in Gaza.

Last year Crockett was asked how she feels about Americans who are tired of sending money to Israel. And here’s what she had to say about that.

Crockett: I understand. I also think that if people are going to vote as it relates to foreign affairs, which typically is not how people vote, when you start talking about foreign affairs, if that is going to be kind of like the precipice for determining whether you vote or who you vote for, then I want people to really dig in to foreign affairs, right?

Like, and ask Crockett on Israel the question, which I think is a fair question. I think it’s a fair question of all the money. If I’m being one thousand about this, when you think about and because of the conversations that I’ve had, if the United States says we will throw away our 75 plus year relationship with Israel because we don’t like their leader, then if we end up with Trump, we set a precedent for all these other allies to throw us away.

It will set a certain precedent for allies potentially leaving us potentially if we were to disagree and just be like we don’t like your leader. It’s all about the relationship between the people and the countries.

Kasparian: That answer was horse crap. Like what was that?

Ryan Grim has a lot to say:

Ryan Grim: Congresswoman Jasmine Crockett is running for Senate in Texas. And if you haven’t followed her closely, you probably assume that she’s running as something sort of like a Bernie Sanders style, like squad type candidate, one of the sort of like the the radical progressive wing of the Democratic Party.

And that’s because she’s very good at getting a lot of media attention and savaging And that’s because she’s very good at getting a lot of media attention and savaging Donald Trump and Republicans. You’ve probably all seen her doing that on MSNBC or CNN at one point or another.

But if you actually look closely at her career, it’s quite wild. She’s actually basically just a corporate Democrat who is just looks and acts a little bit differently. I covered her first race in 2020.

I have an anecdote about that race in my book about the squad in which she’s confronted with the question of what to do about crypto because these crypto guys are going around the country. They were going after anybody that they thought was going to regulate them and they were supporting anybody they thought would be friendly. And, you know, multiple people on her campaign told me that she just said, “Look, what do I have to do? Just tell me.”

And they’re like, “Well, if you sign this policy statement and post it on your website, you know, they won’t go after you and they’ll probably give you a lot of money.”

She’s like, “Cool. do it.”

That same campaign, she also attacked her Democratic opponent for taking corporate PAC money, bragging that she had taken no corporate PAC money.

Within months of that, she started taking corporate PAC money and since then has taken hundreds of thousands of dollars of it.

And of course, if you’re going to capitulate on those issues, you’re also going to cave on Israel. She went to visit Israel on a trip paid for by AIPAC.

There she is. And has overwhelmingly just voted the party line when it comes to sending weapons to Israel. So when it comes to corporate power, crypto, Israel, she’s a very standard Democrat. When it comes to style, not so much. So we’ll see how that goes.

Now let’s get to the angle I chose for the headline.

The GOP Dirty Tricks Campaign to Draft Crockett

As mentioned up top, I picked up on this gambit immediately and posted about it in July. Working in Texas political campaigns and corporate affairs from 1997 to 2005 made me very attuned to this kind of thing because it’s how Karl Rove’s GOP took over the state and then the nation.

But NOTUS.org has a piece headlined “An ‘AstroTurf Recruitment Process’: National Republicans Propped Up Jasmine Crockett to Push Her Into a Senate Run” that really hammers home the case.

Key points:

Republicans’ Senate campaign arm has actively worked behind the scenes to encourage Rep. Jasmine Crockett to jump into the Senate Democratic primary in Texas, believing she will be the easiest opponent to beat.

Just a month ago, there was grave concern among Republicans about the Senate race, where incumbent Sen. John Cornyn is running for reelection. Democrats were running two formidable candidates, and Cornyn was caught in the middle of a bruising three-way primary that Republicans were concerned would weaken the eventual nominee.

The National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) put out a poll in July with Crockett’s name included, which showed her as the leading Democrat in a hypothetical matchup.

“When we saw the results, we were like, ‘OK, we got to disseminate this far and wide,’” a source familiar with the process told NOTUS.

The fact that Crockett was included in the poll was no accident.

In June news broke that Texas Democrats Colin Allred, James Talarico, former Rep. Beto O’Rourke and Rep. Joaquin Castro met to discuss the 2026 election. Operatives at the NRSC realized that Crockett — whose political stock had been rising — wasn’t included in that meeting and also hadn’t been included in any credible poll. So they decided to change that.

Following the NRSC’s polls, other surveys began to include Crockett and showed similar results: She was surging in the primary.

The NRSC then worked to amplify those polls and is taking credit for helping “orchestrate the pile on of these polling numbers to really drive that news cycle and that narrative that Jasmine Crockett was surging in Texas,” the source said.

The NRSC remains a stronghold for Rove-style RINO types and pulling off this caper shows they ain’t dead yet.

There are other reasons to believe John Cornyn still has a chance to come back for another six years of empty-headed impotence in the U.S. Senate.

Horserace BS

I’m not writing for the betting pool/politics-as-sports types, but I will quickly handicap the race for interested readers.

Real Clear Politics has a round up of the polling which shows that the GOP primary is neck-and-neck following incumbent John Cornyn’s months-long negative ad blitz against the flagrantly corrupt Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton.

This is a dramatic change from this summer when Paxton was enjoying double-digit leads over Cornyn. One “biblical ground divorce” and several million dollars in attack ads later, and it’s neck-and-neck. Cornyn has an expanding fundraising and cash-on-hand advantage as well.

The polling shows both Cornyn and Paxton ahead of Crockett or her remaining Democratic opponent State Rep. James Talarico.

Oh yea, Talarico, let’s talk about him.

Joe Rogan’s Favorite Texas Democrat Turns the Other Cheek

Crockett is far and away better known outside of Texas than Talarico, her main remaining primary opponent, per Google trends:

But as the chart above shows, he’s also capable of generating attention and money.

His campaign launch hauled in a massive $6.2 million in the first few days after his October launch.

For comparison, Crockett had about $4.6 million in the bank before she launched, and we should know soon how much her launch brings in.

Some of Talarico’s mojo is due to his chief advisor, Lis Smith, a D.C. operative best known for making Pete Buttigieg a national figure in the 2020 Democratic presidential primary.

He also landed a booking on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast and performed reasonably well, garnering 1.1M views on YouTube and likely many more on Spotify and Apple.

Talarico’s angle is like a smarmy white preacher version of Crockett. He’s also icky on Gaza (and took quite a bit of money from Miriam Adelson in his last State Rep. race.)

Talarico responded to Crockett’s entry into the race by turning the other cheek a bit:

“I want to welcome Congresswoman Crockett into the Democratic primary race,” said Talarico, 36, who said he is pursuing the U.S. Senate seat held by Republican Sen. John Cornyn because “people deserve someone who knows how to fight and knows how to win in Washington.”

Seemingly acknowledging how challenging it will be to defeat a high-profile Democratic star like Crockett, Talarico continued, “We always knew this was going to be hard, and I am so proud of what we’ve built so far.”

The former public school teacher and theologian said, “We’ve shattered grassroots fundraising numbers. We’ve built an infrastructure of 10,000 volunteers, just like all of you who are already putting in the work to win in November.”

However, as intraparty divisions were already being created amid Crockett’s entrance into the U.S. Senate Democratic primary race, Talarico urged his supporters not to attack his new opponent.

“We have always maintained that we are pro our campaign, not anti anyone else’s,” he said. “We will make the case for why we are best positioned to win this race in November and take power back for working people, but we will always treat Congresswoman Crockett with the utmost respect. She is my colleague, and she is a leader in our state. She deserves nothing less.”

So far I’ve got the Maine Senate race pitting outsider Graham Platner or Governor Janet Mills against incumbent GOPer Susan Collins and Katie Porter’s battle with the California Dem establishment ahead of this one on my “must watch” list, but I’m betting Crockett, Paxton and company will give us reason to return to this race before it’s all over.

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24 comments

  1. Alice X

    Greenwald spent most of last night bashing Crockett, sloppily. To borrow a phrase from the latter, I’ve mostly had it with GG, except with Israel, which is why I’ve hung on. I’ve long ago had it with the D’rats, the NYT, never had it with the Reptiles and I’m never going to have it with JC, unless she were to demonstrate some hidden grit, which would then make her untenable with the PTB.

    I’m suspicious of anyone who seeks power without grit.

    So who you gonna call?

    Yves wrote something of this the other day.

    Reply
  2. motorslug

    I miss the days of Anne Richardson, Molly Ivins and Jim Hightower.
    What the hell happened down there? Texas is now worse than Florida (barely).

    Reply
    1. Nat Wilson Turner Post author

      One of the biggest, and unremarked things that happened, is the 1990s Dems let their top Hispanic talents get taken out one-by-one. There was a trio of office holders — San Antonio Mayor Henry Cisneros, Attorney General Dan Morales, and Railroad Commissioner Lena Guerrero — who coulda woulda shoulda been running and winning into the 2000s and setting the table for a two-party state.
      Instead, Cisneros played Hamlet and then got FBI’d over personal shenanigans while with the Clinton Admin.
      Morales had the greatest accomplishment by any state AG in history when he forced Big Tobacco to settle for billions in damages. Unfortunately he then tried to backdate a trial-lawyer buddy of his into the deal for $500 million and the big trial firms that had run the suit in partnership with the state cried foul. He could easily and legally have cut his buddy in on the front end but for some reason tried to do it post-facto. Then he got squeezed out of the Lt Governor’s race in 1998, petulantly dropped out of the AG office, ran against the party’s preferred billionaire in 2002 (as a cat’s paw for the GOP), and then the new AG John Cornyn put him in federal prison. Morales was double effed because he was a protestant from San Antonio and thus outside the then-reigning Latino power structure so not only did he not have white allies, he had no Latino mentors either.

      Guerrero was a prodigy who won state-wide office in her 20s. Unfortunately she faked her college resume and Karl Rove found out first, held his fire and then destroyed her with the info.

      All of these things would have been avoided if the white Dem establishment had not been so jealous of their own personal perogatives and once the GOP won every single statewide office, it was a done deal.

      Winning in Texas is a monumental effort. It’s got less people than California but they’re more scattered between 2 time zones and 24 media markets (unlike Cali which has LA/SD, SF/Oakland, Sacramento and the Central Valley and not much else). With literally no active Democratic candidates or operatives in Texas left who have experience winning a statewide race, it’s nearly impossible to start from scratch and win.

      Also once the Dems were out of office, a block of lawyers and lobbyists (Ben Barnes, Jack Martin, others) found they had total control of the party in the absence of any electeds to line them out. IT was a lot more lucrative to cut dirty deals with the Rs, fundraise for national Dems like Obama and starve the Texas candidates than to try to rebuild the party.

      I could go on and on…

      Reply
      1. amfortas

        lol, as could I, man…but from a slightly earlier perspective.
        the 3 or 4 years i lived in austin, i was cheek by jowel with all that mess…quite accidentally(delivery guy for the stoner dude that did all the printing for the theaters, and who knew literally everybody…and that brief gig in the little closet cafe in the dem building…plus just being out and about and bumping into big things, like i always did, somehow)…i’m terrible with time, in general, but i think i moved way out here in february of 94…maybe 95…but i think it was 94…and then sort of dropped out.
        i wrote letters to the editor out here for years, and eviscerated dumbassery in such a bipartisan manner that the dems and reps out here were totally confused as to who’se side i was on(neither, it turns out)…but it was nothing like living in austin as far as being aware of what was happening….and being able to ride a bus(or walk) and go watch it happen in person in the pink granite whorehouse.
        now, lol…this is literally the first ive heard of jasmine crockett.(or talrico, for that matter)
        so thanks for updating on the political situation in texas…not that i think any of it will change anything at all…

        Reply
  3. compUTerguy

    Hopefully an entertaining race, though the republican end result is always a given (just no idea which one yet).

    This Texan resident is much more interested in the Maine race than the one here.

    Reply
    1. erstwhile

      In what might be their last chance to vote here, in the usa, 🇺🇸, I’m certain that all the Hispanics in texas will vote maga-red. All that, despite that blue moon hanging over miami.

      Reply
      1. Nat Wilson Turner Post author

        Trump is bleeding out Latino support at record rates. The ICE racial profiling thing is a huge loser.

        Reply
      1. SomeGuyinAZ

        I’m sorry Nat, I didn’t mean to add to your load. If you need to delete this as “assigning homework”, please do so.

        Reply
      2. Nat Wilson Turner Post author

        Oof:

        Oopsies! Rep. Jasmine Crockett (D-Texas) might not be ready for prime time.

        Earlier this week, she fired back at Republicans for receiving money from Jeffrey Epstein, as part of her attempts to defend her friend, Virginia Islands Delegate Stacey Plaskett, from charges that she enjoyed an overly cozy relationship with the disgraced financier and sexual predator. She attacked Mitt Romney, John McCain, Sarah Palin and Lee Zeldin — all Republican officials — for having contract with Jeffrey Epstein.

        There’s just one problem: The Jeffrey Epstein who donated to Zeldin, Romney and other Republicans is not THAT Jeffrey Epstein — i.e., the one who died in prison under mysterious circumstances and has embroiled various associates in scandal, including Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor and Larry Summers. The Jeffrey Epstein whose political donations Crockett is highlighting is an entirely different person.

        from The Hill

        Reply
    1. ChrisRUEcon

      Bwaaaahahahahaha!

      Thanks for that … I’ll gladly take the assignment for Nat (via aol.com).

      Crockett is viral fodder for #shitLibs … miss me with the AIPAC funding and #15R43l knee-bending … handpicked by Hakeem Jefferies is vomit-inducing enough,

      Reply
      1. Nat Wilson Turner Post author

        Thanks Chris!

        OMFG she played the race card to defend Plaskett. Give me a break! Total BS

        Texas Rep. Jasmine Crockett Erupts: Claims Plaskett Targeted For Being Black

        Texas Representative Jasmine Crockett unleashed a fiery defense of Virgin Islands Delegate Stacey Plaskett on Thursday, arguing that Republican efforts to censure the delegate over text messages with Jeffrey Epstein were driven by hypocrisy and racial bias.

        Speaking during a livestream, the Democratic congresswoman claimed Plaskett was singled out because she is a “black woman,” contrasting the scrutiny Plaskett faced with the GOP’s support for Donald Trump.

        The comments followed a dramatic scene on the House floor where Plaskett narrowly avoided censure. The resolution, triggered by unearthed communications between Plaskett and the deceased sex offender, failed in a tight 214-209 vote. The measure ultimately collapsed due to a group of Republican defectors led by Florida Rep. Corey Mills.

        Reply
        1. steppenwolf fetchit

          Memory fades . . . .

          Was it Plaskett or someone else who addressed Matt Taibi as a ” so-called journalist” in a hearing in Congress?

          Reply
  4. Michael Fiorillo

    Obama, Booker, Jeffries, and now this one. The late journalist Glen Ford coined the term Black Misleadership Class, and it’s appropriate, but there’s a special insufferable quality with this bunch that has its own je nais sais quoi: smarmy, banal, shape shifting and treacherous. Whatever their shortcomings, the old lions of the Congressional Black caucus like John Conyers and Ron Dellums always fought for what would still be considered bona fide Left policies; these characters were all cultivated in think tank-NGO-billionaire hothouses, and are frauds from A to Z.

    Reply
  5. steppenwolf fetchit

    Well . . . that’s what a Primary is for . . . so Texas wannabe-Dem voters can decide what candidate they want for their Senate election campaign. One hopes Talarico will lay out in very specific ways what he wants to do or see done about this, that, and all the many other things.

    And if / when the oh-so-clever mediadroids ask him their oh-so-clever gotcha questions, one hopes he gives them mean, tough and nasty-with-a-smile honey-badger answers rather than ” I-just-want-to-win” weasel answers. Which is exactly the kind of answers the oh-so-clever mediadroids seek to elicit with their oh-so-clever gotcha questions.

    One thing Trump was right about by accident: many ( most?) journalists really are the enemies of the American people.

    Reply

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