Links 12/11/2025

Do Africa’s Mass Animal Migrations Extend Into Deep Time? Sapiens

The World’s Largest Urban Railway System in the Making JRUrbaneNetwork

What if the Italians Built a Subway under Providence? The Transit Guy

It’s not the Baumol Effect Pedestrian Observations

NASA loses contact with MAVEN Mars orbiter Space News

Climate/Environment

WA floods: Evacuations underway near Skagit, Snohomish, other rivers Seattle Times. Potential for 100,000 evacuations.

Potentially catastrophic river flooding anticipated in western Washington state next couple of days Balanced Weather. Meteorologist describes it as “almost incomprehensible.”

Pandemics

SARS-CoV-2 Leaves a Lasting Mark on the Immune System John Snow Project. A layperson overview of important study, ‘Persistent Attenuation of Lymphocyte Subsets After Mass SARS-CoV-2 Infection.’

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H5N1’s tipping point: Scientists identify when containment fails Nature

Japan

US nuclear-capable bombers fly with Japanese jets after China-Russia drills, Tokyo says Asia One

China?

New York Times Editorial Board Urges US To Prepare for Future War With China Antiwar

China will destroy US military in fight over Taiwan, top secret document warns The Telegraph

India

Indian arms makers held rare meetings in Russia on potential joint ventures Reuters

Nepal

US regime change front funded Nepalese youth revolutionaries, leaks reveal The Grayzone

Thailand- Cambodia Conflict

Fighting rages at Cambodia-Thailand border ahead of expected Trump call Channel News Asia

Syraqistan

Winter rains flood Gaza tents as Israel bombs, demolishes Palestinian homes New Arab

Gaza’s babies ‘scarred by war before first breath’ by malnutrition UN News

Israel’s biggest con trick: Hiding the true numbers it has killed in Gaza Jonathan Cook

In new peace, US firms will help Israel spy on and target Gazans Responsible Statecraft

How Israel Organizes and Arms Settler Militias to Terrorize Palestinians in the West Bank Drop Site

Israel will withhold 50 million cubic meters of water from Jordan: Report Türkiye Today

ARE WE STILL FIGHTING IRAN? Seymour Hersh

European Disunion

Europe quietly abandons dream of indigenous 6th-gen fighter Al Mayadeen

NATO IS A FAIRY TALE BOOK AND A BUSINESS SYNDICATE Comidad

Thomas Massie Introduces Bill to Withdraw U.S. from NATO American Conservative

Belgium is Caught Between the Euro Dog and the Russian Fireplug Larry Johnson

New Not-So-Cold War

More war! Events in Ukraine

After “peace”, will Ukrainian ultra-nationalists and NATO continue waging a hybrid war? Andrea Zhok

The Hidden Script Venik

The Russian NSS Julian Macfarlane

Russia’s hybrid warfare puts Europe to the test FT. Unsurprisingly, unnamed intelligence press for continuation war.

Just Shut Up & Fight, Already! US, Europe Waste Time with Delusional Talks While Russia Advances Mark Sleboda (Video)

Making Sense of The Après-Ukraine. Aurelien

Africa

US sanctions Colombians involved in Sudan war but fails to mention UAE link Middle East Eye. Now why might that be?

The Great Game

Kazakhstan to Supply Kashagan Crude to China Directly After CPC Terminal Damage Astana Times. Damaged by Ukraine/NATO attack.

South of the Border

US seizes Venezuelan oil tanker in act of international piracy, as Trump escalates war preparations WSWS

War With Venezuela Is Heating Up: Here Are The Motives Behind It. The Dissident

Inside the Pentagon’s Scramble to Deal With Boat Strike Survivor New York Times

Narcotics as a Hostile Threat? Seven Questions for Retired Major General Steven Lepper The After-Action Report

Hemispheric Fault Lines: Venezuela’s Resistance and Latin America’s Crossroads Between Sovereignty and Neocolonialism Vanessa Beeley and Fiorella Isabel

Congress approves new tariffs on goods from China and non-FTA countries Mexico News Daily

Trump 2.0

US threatens new ICC sanctions unless court pledges not to prosecute Donald Trump Reuters

Trump’s Own Mortgages Match His Description of Mortgage Fraud, Records Reveal ProPublica

How Donald Trump Jr’s Fortune Jumped Six-Fold In A Year Forbes

Eric Trump Has Gotten 10 Times Richer Since Dad’s Election Forbes

Is the White House’s AI Policy Coherent? Gary Marcus

Marching Morons: Dystopian Sci-Fi Classic That Inspired “Idiocracy” Puts the Trump Administration In A Grim New Genocidal Light Dougald Lamont

Accelerationists

Book Notes: The Technological Republic (2025) The Scholar’s Stage. Book co-authored by Palantir CEO Alex Karp and his legal counsel Nicholas Zamiska. From the review: “In form and tone it resembles a business class airport book—and this comparison is insulting to the airport paperbacks.”

“Liberation Day”

US-Indonesia trade deal at risk of collapse FT

How Trump’s tariffs forced China to pivot – and export more CNN

Desperate farmers say the ‘system is broken’ as bailout arrives USA Today

The Uniparty

Congress should reject the $901 billion military policy bill Stephen Semler. They didn’t.

Mamdani

Daily Dirt: Real Estate Funds Mamdani’s Transition RealEstate.news

At closed-door meeting, Mamdani reassures developers, investors his door “will remain open” The Real Deal

Immigration

Trump launches gold card programme for expedited visas with a nearly $1.3m price tag Straits Times

Have Top Chinese AI Researchers Stayed in the United States? Carnegie Endowment for International peace

Imperial Collapse Watch

Turning Gabbro into Rare Earths Akin to Spinning Straw into Gold Karl Sanchez

The Decline of Understanding: How America Lost the Ability to Study the World Kautilya the Contemplator

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GEOPOLITICAL TENSIONS AND INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL FRAGMENTATION EVIDENCE AND IMPLICATIONS CEPR (via Adam Tooze who highlights the following:)

[The US and countries geopolitically close to it] account for roughly 65% of global external assets and liabilities. The share of China and countries geopolitically close to China in total gross assets and liabilities has increased in recent years, from about 2% to 3%, hence remaining comparatively low. This stands in contrast with China’s much larger footprint in global GDP (15%) and global trade (13%).

AI

DOW Leak: Inside The AI Platform & Internal Memo Ka’s Counterprogramming

Healthcare?

Trump is (Kind of) Right HEALTH CARE un-covered

Abortion

Obstetric-Related Emergency Medical Treatment and Labor Act Violations and No Health Exception Bans JAMA Health Forum

Economy

Fed cuts interest rates by a quarter point amid apparent split over US economy The Guardian

Fed Chair Jerome Powell Says U.S. May Be Drastically Overstating Jobs Numbers WSJ

Guillotine Watch

Extreme inequality – and what to do about it Michael Roberts

The Deregulated Casino

Think tanker altered Ukraine war map before big Polymarket payout Responsible Statecraft

Inside the Dark and Predatory World of Crypto Casinos New York Times

Class Warfare

Online/Offline Working Class Storytelling

Why do Gen Z have a growing appetite for retro tech? BBC

Tightrope of Hope London Review of Books

Antidote du jour (via):

See yesterday’s Links and Antidote du Jour here.

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7 comments

  1. The Rev Kev

    “Israel will withhold 50 million cubic meters of water from Jordan: Report”

    Maybe Jordan should tell Israel that the next time they go to fight Iran, that they will be sitting that war out. The Jordanian Air Force will stay on the ground and will not help shoot down Iranian missiles nor will their aerial defenses take part in defending Israel either. Israel must be flush with money if they can knock back the money that would be earned selling that 50 million cubic meters of water.

    Reply
    1. raspberry jam

      Jordan’s ruling monarchy is effectively propped up by the Zionists and probably the US against the wishes of their population, which consists of a huge number of Palestinian immigrants. The King has made a very few milquetoast reproachments against Israel for the genocide and the settler activity but the 1994 peace treaty remains in effect. A little googling will show a huge amount of writing by opposing think tanks and international organizations on the topic.

      Reply
      1. The Rev Kev

        Remember those flights that the Jordanian king was taking over Gaza to drop supplies to the Palestinians below because he is such a good guy? It came out that the Jordanians were earning tens of thousands of dollars with each flight and for all we know it went direct into royal coffers.

        Reply
  2. Wukchumni

    Inside the Dark and Predatory World of Crypto Casinos New York Times
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    As the sites grew larger, they paid online celebrities multimillion-dollar deals to promote the casinos. In August, Drake and the famous livestreamers Adin Ross, xQc and Trainwreck gambled together on Stake for a live audience.

    Still, mental health clinicians who work with young people see signs that the problem is growing. Matt Missar, a gambling counselor at The Better Institute in Pittsburgh, said he had seen a few dozen patients between 16 and 26 years old in recent years and most of them were gambling on crypto casinos. “They’re watching these streamers, and the streamers are winning their bets,” Mr. Missar said. “They have this false notion in their head that it’s just a matter of time until I hit it big like Drake did, or like Adin Ross did.”
    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~

    Adin Ross grew up here in Three Rivers and that’s the only reason i’m aware of him-and I don’t know him, but he went to school with my buddy’s son, so i’ve kind of followed him.

    Benedict Donald gave Adin an hour and a half interview before the 2024 election, and that’s the kind of pull these idiotic livestreamers (kids and young adults watch him play video games-how droll) have with young men, and news flash: they’re all degenerate gamblers themselves, wagering huge sums of money on this, that or whatever, and bragging about it online.

    When I was in high school a few of my teachers were RTD’s (Race Track Degenerates) who would regale me with tales of the $1,426 exacta win on a $5 ticket thus evading mandatory taxes taken out if you won more than 300x on your wager, but when I went to Santa Anita with them, they couldn’t pick a winner to save themselves.

    After I graduated, one of them: Mr. Martin, asked if I could loan him some money and I was so proud to be able to offer up $200 to help him and then it took me forever to get my money back, that’s how problem gamblers are, should’ve been a real warning flag and it took me years to break the addiction, but that was in the days of gambling horse & buggies when everything moved like molasses, not now when you can get a bet down toot suite!

    Reply
  3. The Rev Kev

    “Making Sense of The Après-Ukraine.”

    Lots of interesting viewpoints and material in this essay though I would dispute the attempt to make this war all about Russia vs the Ukraine like talked about here-

    ‘It’s being fought between two advanced technology nations with indigenous defence industries, whose equipment is similar, and in some cases identical, and largely from the same technological tradition.’

    If we are going to be honest, it is actually an American proxy war against Russia. No America, no war. But it is not just America but nearly all of NATO as well as other western allies such as Japan, Australia, South Korea, New Zealand, etc. so you are talking about forty nations, many of whom have literally emptied their armouries of military equipment that was sent to the Ukraine. This complicated Ukrainian logistics endlessly as they had to integrate military equipment from all these countries whether you are talking about tanks, fighters, anti-tank missiles and all sorts of other equipment. And just to add the cherry to this turd logistics pie, the west was forcing the Ukraine to use NATO doctrine which simply did not work in this war. Experienced Ukrainian soldiers undertaking NATO training have revolted at the lessons being taught saying they it was a good way to get yourself killed. I mention this to note that although NATO has had nearly four years to learn the lessons from the front, this is still not being done and nothing is changing.

    Reply
  4. AG

    1/2 re: Germany authoritarianism

    From the same day earlier this week:

    1) Berlin local parliament expands police laws

    “The Berlin House of Representatives passed a far-reaching amendment to the General Law on Public Safety and Order (ASOG) on Thursday with votes from the CDU, SPD, and AfD. As reported by Heise , the amendment allows the police to covertly enter apartments to install surveillance software on digital devices.

    The new regulations in Sections 26a and 26b concern so-called source telecommunications surveillance and covert online searches. If remote installation of malware is technically impossible, Section 26 explicitly permits the police to “covertly enter and search premises” to gain access to IT systems. In practice, this means that investigators can install spyware directly onto devices such as smartphones or laptops, for example, via USB stick.”

    https://www.telepolis.de/article/Berlin-erlaubt-heimliche-Wohnungseinbrueche-fuer-Staatstrojaner-11108351.html

    2) Immigration regulations are toughened

    “Deportations are being accelerated, “return centers” are being built in third countries, and the mandatory lawyer for deportation detention is being abolished.”

    https://www.telepolis.de/article/EU-und-Deutschland-verschaerfen-Asylrecht-11108233.html

    And nobody cares.

    Reply

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