The Empire of Lies Is Once Again Sowing Chaos In Its Own “Back Yard”

This is unlikely to end well for all parties concerned, including the US.  

It’s been a busy week for the Empire of Lies and Chaos, especially in its direct neighbourhood. The illegal seizure of an Iranian oil tanker carrying Venezuelan oil on Wednesday was a reminder of what the US’ illegal war of aggression is really about: Venezuela’s oil deposits, which represent almost one-fifth of the world’s known reserves.

Even if the Maduro government had offered first dibs on that oil, as some US media outlets have claimed without providing a shred of evidence, it wouldn’t be enough. Venezuelan law holds that the majority partner in any drilling consortium must be PVDSA, Venezuela’s state-owned oil company, and that is not enough for Washington. It wants more; it wants it all.

There are, of course, other reasons, including Venezuela’s large deposits of gas, gold, rare earths and freshwater. Venezuela’s close ties with Russia, China and Iran, from where the tanker originally came, and Cuba, to where the tanker was heading, are also a key factor.

There are the Military Industrial Complex’s needs to keep in mind. With the Trump administration drawing down US commitments to project Ukraine, another war must be started in order to keep the Pentagon’s money laundromat working at full speed (h/t Ashburn).

One thing that is now beyond dispute, however, as we’ve been arguing since the Trump administration began amassing naval forces in the Caribbean over four months ago, is that this has nothing whatsoever to do with combating drug trafficking.

A Total Siege of Venezuela and Cuba?

The seizure of this tanker suggests, together with Trump’s recent declaration of a no-fly zone over Venezuela, that the US is now trying to topple Maduro by imposing a total siege on Venezuela. After cutting off the country from a large chunk of the world economy through escalating economic sanctions, Washington is now trying to cut it off from its closest allies and what remains of its revenue streams (which were actually improving of late).

The Venezuelan government called the move an act of “international piracy”, and “blatant theft”.

This may be the first time that an oil tanker has been seized in Venezuelan waters but it is part of a broader trend — not just of seizures of tankers but also attacks on them, as Alex Christoforou pointed out on The Duran yesterday. According to Al Jazeera, the last time the US military seized a foreign tanker was in 2014, when US Navy SEALs boarded the Morning Glory off Cyprus as Libyan rebels attempted to sell stolen crude oil.

If the US goal is to impose a total siege of Venezuela’s economy, it has more than enough naval resources in the Caribbean to do so, as Alexander Mercouris noted in the same episode of The Duran. But one of the countries most affected will be the US’s great-power rival, China, which is today the largest buyer of Venezuelan oil.

Legal Justifications

So, what are the legal grounds for the US military’s seizure of the tanker?

Does it even matter?

The US has just spent the past four months killing boatloads of unknown, unnamed people in the Caribbean and Eastern Pacific. These extrajudicial murders on the high seas have provided further confirmation, if ever needed, that Washington has zero regard for international law, apart from when it suits its own interests.

According to Bloomberg, US officials have described the ship as a “stateless vessel” and said it had been docked in Venezuela. The vessel in question, the M/T SKIPPER, had reportedly been sanctioned by the US Treasury since 2022 for its ties to Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and Hezbollah.

Here we have a smiling CNN “analyst” explaining how seizing other country’s oil on the high seas, and then keeping it, is not only perfectly “normal” but also legal, if the country in question has been the target of US sanctions:

Whatever the legality of this action, one thing is clear: it is an act of war.

As NC reader Johnny GL noted in yesterday’s comments, the US’ latest moves suggest that Trump is “trying to do regime change through intimidation, alone”, thereby avoiding the much greater risks posed by military action. But it is also trying to kill a number of other birds with this one particular stone, including its longest-standing enemy in the region, Cuba.

It is almost certainly no coincidence that the tanker in question was carrying oil to Cuba. Washington is clearly intent on strangling to death Cuba’s energy-starved economy. As we previously reported, Marco Rubio’s State Department has already targeted Cuba’s international medical missions, now its largest source of foreign currency reserves, with sanctions.

Will the US also try to stop oil shipments from Mexico? First initiated by former President Andres Lopez Obrador (aka AMLO) in 2023, the country’s state-owned oil company Pemex’s shipments to Cuba have become a key lifeline for the Caribbean island nation since 2023, as well as a source of friction between Mexico and the US.

The seizure of M/T SKIPPER has also provided Washington with a fresh opportunity to  emphasise the close ties between Venezuela and Iran, two heavily sanctioned countries whose governments the US and Israel, respectively, are simultaneously seeking to topple.

How Russia and China respond to this latest act of war by Washington will be key. In a statement yesterday, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov asked for an explanation from the US, emphasising that Russia advocates “for a collective debate on how to combat drug trafficking and guarantee maritime security, avoiding unilateral actions.”

President Putin also had a telephone conversation with Maduro yesterday in which the Russian leader “expressed solidarity with the people of Venezuela and reaffirmed his support of the policies of the Maduro government aimed at protecting national interests and sovereignty amid growing external pressure.”

For its part, Beijing has stated its firm opposition to illegal unilateral sanctions that lack a basis in international law and are not authorized by the UN Security Council, as well as the abuse of said sanctions.

Interestingly, on Wednesday China also released its third policy paper on Chinese relations with Latin America and the Caribbean (a very long document that I hope to read in full this weekend). The paper’s stated goal is “elaborate China’s policy on LAC, and bring the relations and cooperation between the two sides in various fields to a new level.”

Next on the List?

On the same day as the tanker seizure (Wednesday) Trump also threatened Colombian President Gustavo Petro, telling him that “he’s going to be next” as the US leader seeks the ouster of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro.

“He’s been fairly hostile to the United States. I haven’t given a lot of thought. He’s gonna have himself some big problems if he doesn’t wise up. Colombia is producing a lot of drugs,” Trump said in response to a question on whether he plans to speak with Petro.

“They have cocaine factories that they make cocaine, as you know, and they sell it right into the United States. So he better wise up, or he’ll be next. He’ll be next soon. I hope he’s listening. He’s going to be next,” he added.

This is all a pantomime, of course. As readers know, Trump just pardoned Juan Orlando Hernández, the former president of Honduras who was convicted in the US of trafficking more than 400 tons of US-bound cocaine through Honduras. That’s right: one of the world’s worst drug traffickers was just freed by a man claiming to be on a mission against the drug cartels.

Also, Petro only has a few months left of his four-year presidential term to serve, so any attack against his government or Colombia as a whole would be beyond absurd. But that doesn’t put it beyond the capabilities of Trump 2.0.

A few days ago, Petro gave a speech on the need for unity among Latin American countries. He also called for the recreation of the Gran Colombia confederation that in the early 19th century comprised Colombia, Venezuela, Ecuador and Panama (It’s well worth listening to the three-minute clip below, which features English subtitles):

“Let’s reestablish the great Confederation of a Gran Colombia. Among the existing nations that were part of Gran Colombia. Because only if we unite what was once Gran Colombia. Mexico will once again look toward the south. And Brazil will once again look to its South America.”

“And the 3 largest economies in all of Latin America and the Caribbean; will once again plant the flag of unity, so that we are not disrespected. It is in division that we are disrespected. It is when each of us speaks only for themselves, sometimes defending greedy interests within their countries. Sometimes hiding the skeleton in the closet. That is why they are insulting us and not just insulting us, but humiliating us, and not only humiliating us, but killing our people.”

The Colombian Congress has also responded firmly to Trump’s latest threats against Petro. Lawmakers demanded respect for national sovereignty and called for non-interference in the Colombian electoral process. They also noted that the statements violate the principles of the UN Charter on non-intervention and urged the maintenance of bilateral relations based on diplomacy and mutual respect.

Electoral Chaos in Honduras

Meanwhile, the small Central American nation of Honduras has been plunged into post-election chaos by allegations from the governing Libre Party of “monumental electoral fraud”. From Drop Site News:

Days removed from Sunday’s presidential vote, and still without a clear winner, Honduras’s post-election crisis became more contentious after a member of the country’s electoral authority denounced “monumental electoral fraud” on Thursday evening.

Marlon Ochoa, a representative for the Libre Party on the three-member National Electoral Council (CNE), alleged coordinated and deliberate electoral fraud carried out by the other council members, Cossette Alejandra López-Osorio of the National Party and Ana Paola Hall of the Liberal Party…

López-Osorio and Hall represent the country’s traditional political parties, both of which were relegated to opposition status when Xiomara Castro won the general election for Libre in 2021. Salvador Nasralla of the Liberal Party has likewise alleged that irregularities may be affecting the results.

In a letter, Ochoa alleged manipulation of the results-transmission system as well as obstruction from within the state’s electoral authority. Ochoa said the TREP suffered deliberate failures, including disabled biometric checks, altered digital tally sheets, unexplained vote transfers, and the 40-hour retention of more than 16,000 tally sheets, which created massive discrepancies he claims total nearly one million votes. With the entire vote-processing chain compromised, he concluded that “there is no certainty whatsoever about the results.”

Could US-backed groups have hacked the system, as the Maduro government claims to have happened during Venezuela’s elections in the summer of 2024?

It’s possible. The Trump administration already intervened directly in the elections by endorsing Nasry Asfura, the candidate of the National Party — the same party as J.O. Hernàndez, the Trump-pardoned narco-presidente, which governed Honduras with an iron fist for a decade or so after the 2009 US-supported coup. Trump also threatened to cease cooperating with the Honduran government if any other candidate won.

Honduras also has a long history of US-sponsored regime change operations and coups. Hernàndez himself was accused of massive voter fraud in the 2017 presidential elections. What’s more, large Western states such as the US, the EU and the UK seem to be making a habit of directly interfering in the electoral processes of smaller states such as Georgia, Romania, Slovakia, Argentina, and now Honduras.

As Reuters reports, officials of a Honduras Congress panel have threatened to anul the results, citing an “electoral coup” and “interference” by US President Donald Trump, as counting stretched into an 11th day:

“We denounce the existence of an ongoing electoral coup,” the commission said in a statement, adding, “We absolutely condemn the interference of the President of the United States, Donald Trump.”

While the ruling Libre Party has no chance of winning the election, it is throwing its support behind Salvador Nasralla, of the center-right Liberal party, who has also alleged fraud and said he has won the election.

The Honduran government has also issued an international arrest warrant for its former president, J.O. Hernandez, who was just pardoned by Trump.

Shattering the “Zone of Peace”

This is a region that has not seen interstate conflict for decades, and was officially declared a “Zone of Peace” in 2014. That deepened the commitment of the Treaty of Tlatelolco (1969), emphasizing the need for universal disarmament, the prohibition of the threat and use of force, and the obligation to negotiate differences in accordance with the UN Charter.

At the same time, many countries in the region have suffered decades of internal violence, much of it drug related. Organised crime is a continent-wide issue, and one to which there is no clear solution. As long as drugs remain illegal, the US continues to consume more than anywhere else, and the only acceptable policy response is to escalate the War on Drugs, the problems are only going to get worse.

Latin America is also the region of the world that has suffered the most US military interventions, coups and and regime change operations, for obvious geographic reasons. Mexico alone has suffered at least ten US military interventions since declaring independence from Spain.

In its 2021 article, “175 Years of Border Invasions: The Anniversary of the U.S. War on Mexico and the Roots of Northward Migration”, the Council for Hemispheric Affairs warned that the US’ “near-continuous series of invasions (of its direct neighbourhood to the South) — military, political, and economic — have helped produce the poverty, violence, and insecurity driving people to migrate from south to north.”

With Marco Rubio whispering in his ear and Pete Hegseth flexing his muscles at the Pentagon, Trump appears determined to turbocharge this trend. Granted, certain governments in the region, particularly Argentina, Ecuador and El Salvador, will support Trump’s escalating war of aggression on Venezuela.

Meanwhile, the Latin American people as a whole will be fiercely, and in some cases violently, opposed to US aggression. Some, perhaps many, will even join the resulting ruckus if US attempts to install Maria Corina Machado as president end up sparking an internal conflict in Venezuela — a conflict that could go on for years.

While a near-total siege of Venezuela’s oil exports may increase the likelihood of an eventual collapse of the Maduro government, it does not mean that a majority, or even a large minority, of Venezuelan people will accept a US-imposed Machado government. That is why a Libya-type scenario — i.e., total chaos — is the most likely outcome here, as Max Blumenthal has been warning.

As we noted a couple of weeks ago, the US was left largely untouched by the initial waves of blowback from the wars it unleashed upon the Middle East, North Africa and South Asia — it was the US’ (vass)allies in Europe that bore the brunt. But that will not be the case with its escalating war of aggression against Venezuela. Whatever happens in the US’ “backyard”, including drone warfare and new, even larger waves of mass migration, will end up coming home.

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14 comments

  1. Alejandro

    >” Could US-backed groups have hacked the system, as the Maduro government claims to have happened during Venezuela’s elections in the summer of 2024?”

    The “stolen election” narrative was a by-product of a failed psyops-techno-cyber-coup attempt, to manipulate public perception (mostly in “western” techno-controlled media platforms) and give an aura of credibility to the “illegitimate” results claim. The only legitimate arbiter of their electoral processes is their constitution, which proved resilient enough to thwart that failed techno-cyber-coup attempt.

    Missing from the psyops-narrative was the ‘opposition-grifter-complex’s’ contempt for the legal framework of their constitution. Please recall that one of their many presidential candidates invoked their constitutional remedy to address alleged election fraud and the case was referred to the TSJ (Their Supreme court). After a rigorous forensic review of all documentation (digital/paper) and procedures, where every presidential candidate was required to participate and present their case, their TSJ concluded that the election was conducted within the legal framework of their constitution. Worth noting was that the ‘opposition-grifter-complex’s’ proxy candidate, the one alleging the fraud, was not the one to invoke their constitutional remedy and was notably absent from the proceedings. Highlighting the ‘opposition-grifter-complex’s’ contempt for the legal framework of their constitution, but more precisely, knowing the consequences of presenting fraudulent documentation.

    Reply
  2. The Rev Kev

    With Cuba they might be able to get a lifeline as far as oil is concerned. For many years they preferred to get their oil from Venezuela in a sort of mutual support and stopped getting their oil from Russia. But Russia may be willing for their own reasons to send an oil tanker to Cuba and it may have it’s own naval escort in case Trump got any stupid ideas. But will we be hearing stories of a “Ukrainian” drone attack on it as it passes Florida? That may sound like a bit of a stretch but so is a “Ukrainian” drone attack off the coast of west Africa. Maybe that oil tanker, after offloading its cargo in Cuba, could go on to Venezuela with it’s escort to fill up with Venezuelan oil to pay for that voyage. It would put a big hole in Trump’s blockade of Venezuela too so it would be a twofer.

    Reply
    1. Jabura Basadai

      “…have it’s own naval escort …” been wondering same thing – call pumpkin head’s bluff – we can only hope –

      Reply
  3. ISL

    If the US imposes an illegal blockade – not approved by the Security Council – then it is an act of war, and this then poses a serious challenge to the Russian defense pact with Venezuela as to whether anyone can take Russian defense treaties seriously.

    This puts Russia in the position of needing to precipitate a change in the geopolitical situation – either to provoke the US into a foolish invasion, or to declare victory and sail home. One can imagine a series of unmanned vessel drones – as in the Black Sea – with ISR targeting (denied) attacking US military vessels, with sailors dying, and the US having to escalate to save face – it is obvious from so many details* that the US does not GROK the impact of drones on modern warfare – probably from trillions of sunk costs in outdated hardware. My SWAG is that under relentless drone attacks, the US will be shocked to be on the receiving end of a meat grinder, and the neocons will double down until Congress proposes conscription, followed by a Bastille Day?

    *Several are reporting that the US hopes to get to annual drone production in a few years (good luck without rare earths) that Russia does today in 2 weeks. Not. Serious. (aside from the grift).

    Reply
  4. Carolinian

    On one of the podcasts I watched it was claimed the fleet off Venezuela was costing us a billion dollars per day. Of course that might be true wherever those ships and airplanes are being used. And as Albright famously said: why do we have this gold plated military unless we are going to use it against somebody?

    It could be that if you really want to spotlight the source of our imperial hubris the bird’s eye view should be shifted from the White House across the Potomac to that five sided building built by the engineer who later went on to head the a-bomb project. Winning through intimidation has always been the goal. If they can’t (yet) do it at home they can always find some foreigners to serve as target practice.

    Reply
  5. jefemt

    Here is a 25 page pdf timely report on the state of Venezuela’s energy matrix. Interesting timing, due for a February 2026 update. https://www.eia.gov/international/content/analysis/countries_long/Venezuela/pdf/venezuela_2024.pdf

    No nitty gritty detail on how much if any of the reserves are offshore and hard-to-get-at– no detail on well depth, etc etc. It appears the report focuses on inland reserves, which is not my understanding of the reserves. I am wrong so often!

    From a cynic’s perch, it looks like a goodie bag to power AI and US demand. Check out the hydroelectric!

    Reply
  6. Oregon Lawhobbit

    I wonder what would happen if oil tankers from Venezuela started equipping a platoon or so of “contractors” who were armed with, among other things, surface-to-air missiles for anti-piracy operations….

    Reply
    1. bertl

      This appears to be a very realistic option given that it was the US which established the legitimacy of supplying plucky little Ukraine with not-as-advanced-as-Russian weapons systems and military contractors, and Russia (and China?) appears to have provided Venezuela with more than adequately advanced weapons systems and the services of military contractors familiar with these weapons systems, some of whom have probably long experience as Jolly Jack Tars.

      Reply
  7. XXYY

    There are the Military Industrial Complex’s needs to keep in mind.

    I think about this a lot. The GWOT (global war on terror) was running for several decades, and provided a continuous conveyor belt of taxpayer money to various military industrial complex firms. Then, the US got out of Afghanistan, and a hot war in Ukraine commenced, helping to make up for the MIC losses there.

    My belief is that the Ukraine war was not very satisfactory from the MIC’s standpoint. The opponent was a first world nation with a large military force and skillful military traditions. The result has been something of a rout for Western armaments and strategy, perhaps ruining the market for MIC products in third-party countries. The handwriting seems to be on the wall that the US is backing out of its military support for Ukraine.

    Obviously what the MIC needs is a good old-fashioned imperialist war against a much weaker country, allowing Hollywood to resume producing films about how great and all-powerful the US military and its weaponry are. However, I think the technology of war has changed so much since the 1990s that the traditional shining-city-on-the-hill ships, tanks, and aircraft will no longer ensure victory and may in fact ensure defeat vis-a-vis low cost missiles and drones within the reach of almost any country.

    Reply
  8. Alex Cox

    I haven’t seen any evidence that the Venezuelan government offered the US ‘first dibs’ on any national resources.

    That was a MSM claim put out at the same time as they said President Maduro was looking to flee the country.

    Well, Maduro is still there, and the US flotilla is still looking for a mission.

    Reply
    1. Nick Corbishley Post author

      You’re right, Alex, my bad. Have changed the paragraph thusly:

      Even if the Maduro government had offered first dibs on that oil, as some US media outlets have unconvincingly claimed, it wouldn’t be enough. Venezuelan law holds that the majority partner in any drilling consortium must be PVDSA, Venezuela’s state-owned oil company, and that is not enough for Washington. It wants more; it wants it all.

      Thanks for flagging this up.

      Reply

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