Palantir’s Manifesto Is the Agenda of the New Class Reconfiguring the System’s Power Structure

The Internet has erupted in condemnation of Palantir’s manifesto. Understandably so. It is the open declaration of a private company to take over government systems and dictate policy. It is the admission by a concrete group that they have enough power to state their claim openly.

I have been arguing through different forms of analysis what I consider to be one of the main drivers of events in the U.S. and, by extension, much of the world in recent years. A new class of people has arrived at the upper echelons of system power through the development of new digital technologies that have allowed them to amass massive wealth and, through the implementation of that technology, considerable influence.

The way we work, communicate, consume, travel, and even rest is now mediated through their technologies. Not only does that allow the owners of those technologies to extract a rent and monitor our behavior, but also to influence it. We have become dependent on their hardware and software devices to do some of the most routine everyday tasks, like checking the weather.

The people who have developed and manage these technologies are not an abstract group. There are countless anonymous foot soldiers, middle managers, and small entrepreneurs—I have relatives involved—who are just doing their jobs. But there is also a defined group with some very well-known faces, like Peter Thiel, Elon Musk, Jeff Bezos, or Mark Zuckerberg, and some less well-known, like Alexander Karp (though he’s eager to be in the well-known group), David Sacks, Balaji Srinivasan, or Palmer Luckey.

There are some who are allegedly less ideologically motivated, like Zuckerberg or Bezos, but who nevertheless orbit the core group and follow their lead. See, for example, when Zuckerberg published a video, after Trump came to power for the second time, in which he walked back some of his company’s previous policies in order to comply with the new administration, which this core group backed.

This core group is a tight-knit network of founders, venture capitalists, and thinkers—including Nick Land and Curtis Yarvin—who control some of the biggest hardware and software companies, venture funds, and media companies. They have their own think tanks, usually in the form of podcasts, like the “All-In Podcast,” but they also publish books and articles, and back public-facing institutions, politicians, and campaigns. They have a very particular idea—though, as in any group, there are different strands—of what the world is and how society should function.

The ideological core of this group—often referred to as the “Thielverse” or the “New Right” of Silicon Valley—is a synthesis of radical technological optimism, deep skepticism of modern democracy, and a desire to rebuild the world through “Exit” rather than reform (i.e., accelerationism). They support politicians who might help them achieve those aims, for example, Donald Trump, and have an ideological commitment to Israel.

Through their companies and their financing, they have extended their influence to the U.S. government. They have helped finance the Trump campaign and they have made J.D. Vance, who was Thiel’s long-term protégé and employee, vice president. In exchange, they have gained access to sensitive data of citizens through DOGE, classified information through federal and defense contracts for their companies, like Anduril or Palantir, and government finance to build their mechanisms of control: data centers and computational algorithms. They have become part of the military-industrial complex, creating an alliance between Tel Aviv, Washington, and Silicon Valley.

This is the context in which Palantir’s recently published manifesto must be understood. It is not simply a wordy memorandum to comply with a current ideological trend, like the many corporations that were putting out mission statements including protecting the environment or “diversity” a few years ago. It is their political agenda expressed through the mission statement of one of their foremost companies, which is becoming so indispensable to the government to an extent that we might not know where one ends and the other begins.

Nat published a piece when the manifesto dropped which is an excellent recap of reactions and analysis—some of which will be highlighted here again for the sake of the argument. But if you haven’t read the manifesto yet, you should. Here is the link.

There has been poignant analysis of what Palantir’s manifesto entails. For example, Varoufakis took the time to write what they actually mean in each of the 22 points. According to him, the real meaning of the first point is:

Silicon Valley owes an immeasurable debt to the ruling class who bailed out the criminal bankers that wrecked the livelihood of the majority of Americans. The engineering elite of Silicon Valley will defend that ruling class to the death (literally!), in the name of the majority of Americans whom they treat with contempt – i.e., like cattle that have lost their market value.

This points to a very interesting dynamic that Varoufakis has elaborated on in other places. We will return to it. Let’s continue with what Arnaud Bertrand had to say:

They basically promote a clash of civilizations worldview in which there exists a “they” – the supposed enemies of Western civilization, whose cultures the document codes as inferior – and a “we” who must stop indulging in decadent restraint and invest massively in AI weapons and defense software (which conveniently makes Palantir’s product catalog the civilizational cure).

I believe this is the result of the binary thinking—0s and 1s—which underpins their worldview. They are glorified software engineers, after all. Another X user, adds, commenting on one of the lines in the manifesto:

“Hard power in this century will be built on software” is the key sentence of the entire manifesto because this is where Karp reveals the real thesis; he’s saying whoever controls the software layer of national defense, controls the nation itself.

Christophe Boutry, writing in French (machine translation), further refines that thought:

When a private company sets itself the mission of defining who must be surveilled, targeted, predicted, neutralized, and simultaneously publishes a text explaining why contesting that would be civilizational weakness, we’re no longer in corporate strategy. We’re in the privatization of sovereignty. The right to decide on the enemy—which has always been the founding political gesture of States—is being bought up by a company listed on Nasdaq.

Finally, Alexander Dugin, after calling the manifesto “Pure satanism. Ayn Rand. The logical conclusion of the capitalist age,” states that:

The techno-fascism is on the rise. The masks are off. Palantir speaks openly of its plans. That means they reached advanced positions in world governance already.

When we identify these different points of analysis as referring to one group, not an abstract entity, the pattern becomes clearer and the image begins to emerge:

The system’s elites in politics and finance invested in the development of a new digital industrial base that could substitute for lost manufacturing capacity. This digital industrial base was based in Silicon Valley, which had a history of technological innovation. The investment came in waves. For example, in the 1960s, NASA sourced 60% of the integrated circuits necessary for the space race from companies established there.

The digital revolution, brought about by personal computing, the Internet, and the smartphone, also saw explosive waves of investment and the consolidation of certain companies. But this was still the era of hardware. Profit came, mostly, from selling devices. And this was constrained by production capacity, global supply chains, and consumer demand.

With the turn of the century, a new and more efficient way to continue propping up the market economy was developed after the dot-com bubble: Software as a Service, the app economy, and the rise of social networks. Here, there was a growth opportunity that was not constrained by previous challenges. In 2008, after the crisis and to avoid financial collapse, banks and investment funds were saved by taxpayers’ money. This was money which went, as investments, to Silicon Valley. This is what Varoufakis was referring to and what made Silicon Valley explode with companies that produced nothing physical being valued at a billion dollars.

Some of those engineers, founders, and venture capitalists, who knew each other, had access to incredible wealth and were propelled into contact with the system’s power elite. Not only because of the wealth, but also because the technologies that they were developing were an extremely useful tool for the state. This class—that some refer to as the “PayPal Mafia” because some of them, like Thiel and Musk, founded that company—arrived with a worldview that was different from either the traditional industrialist or globalist financier.

They believed in technology as the solution to social problems, which they saw as a reflection of the stagnation of the state. They believed that technology could surpass humans, so we had to merge with it. They believed that digital technology could rebuild the world better, but for that, it had to first be brought to the point of collapse. They saw all this as inevitably coming. It was the “disruption” culture.

The basis of these ideas, which have evolved into a worldview with Peter Thiel even speaking about the antichrist, is a binary comprehension of the world. It’s not even numerical in the mathematical sense; it is literally based on 0 and 1.

For example, at the heart of it is what they call the “Zero to One” stagnation hypothesis. They argue that the Western world has been in a state of technological and cultural stagnation since the 1970s. While we have seen massive progress in “bits” (computers and the internet), we have failed in “atoms” (energy, transportation, and medicine). They reject incrementalism and believe that the only way to save civilization is through vertical progress—creating entirely new things (0 to 1) rather than just optimizing what exists (1 to N).

Because the thinking processes of this group are built on a binary system, their worldview is incredibly narrow: you are with us or against us. And if you are against us, we have the right to control you, detain you, or kill you. In order to do that, we are going to build the tools and the system that permits it. But they are not building a new system, only simplifying to the idiotic the current one, down to the binary of 0 and 1.

Human creatures are language-based. To envision a different future, we must be able to speak it. Have you seen Thiel or Musk speaking? They mumble.

What the ascent of this group is creating is a readjustment of the system’s power elite. To take their seat, they are displacing others. And that is creating friction. This then reverberates through the system. But the system will discard the useless, adjust, and continue. That is, I believe, the source of much of what we are seeing happening in the U.S. and, by extension of its diminishing reach, the world.

Palantir’s manifesto is the agenda of a new class that is reconfiguring the upper echelons of the system’s power structure, and it feels confident enough to state it publicly

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23 comments

    1. t

      Indeed.

      And I think ogliarching isn’t just about the money, having more money than the ogliarch on the next yacht over is a big part of the drive

    2. Michael

      Exactly, its the same old Oligarch class – or to use the older terms capitalist or the bourgeoisie – just with new faces and new technology. There’s little new about their social engineering projects, they are updated versions of the plans of people like Ford and Kellogg. The new capitalists think that because they can track clicks and scrolling behavior they can understand and manipulate human behaviour. Well they can to some extent but its not clear they can do so any better than previous traditional methods the oligarchs used to manufacture consent. As a cognitive psychologist my hunch is they are vastly overestimating both the level of their understanding and ability to manipulate. Partly because they are offloading much of their understanding to the black box of Gen AI and Gen AI doesn’t understand anything, it just often looks like it does.

  1. ciroc

    It’s just a modern rehash of Marinetti’s Futurist Manifesto. The glorification of technology has always been inextricably linked to fascism and war.

  2. paul

    Who on earth is this manifesto supposed to appeal to?
    From grotesques who think we have too much money,privacy and not enough ads.

  3. David

    They want the government to give them money and/or grease the pathway for them to steal it.
    Everything else is a rationalization.

  4. Zaddymandias

    Among the Rosetta Stones to understand these knuckleheads is The Diamond Age, by Neal Stephenson. In the future, “Equity Lords” rule an enclave of Neo-Victorians who are a kind of super-state, above and independent from a wrung-out USA and a cryptic, menacing Chinese superstate.

    They all think they’ll become equity lords. Of course, in the book those guys had actually created tech that ended all material scarcity, and our guys sell ads and surveillance tech.

    https://www.nealstephenson.com/the-diamond-age.html

  5. Nat Wilson Turner

    Good piece, Curro. The binary thinking angle is a key insight into these technodorks’ thinking.

  6. Some Guy in Jeju

    Something that’s really important to note about these people: They see civilization literally from the perspective of a Sid Meier game. So they fantasize about “optimization” and see working people as essentially ants.

    Because it’s not “optimal”, they disdain art and literature. They will tell you that it is has nothing to offer society so it should not be mandated in school curricula. To give an idea of the inhuman chuds we are talking about, Jeff Bezos does not enjoy music and has said he does not understand why people like music.

    Very creepy to encounter in person.

  7. Tom Stone

    They are breaking things big time both here in the USA and abroad, counting on the population management tools perfected in Gaza and the CBP as their fist.
    A lot of shit is broken for good, the US Scientific establishment for one.
    The Rule of Law is a joke when it comes to Trump’s administration, they have ignored rulings in more than 300 Habeas cases and the murderers of Renee’ Good and Alex Pretti are not being investigated, the feds are withholding evidence from the Minnesota BCA in the face of lawsuits by both Minneapolis and the State of Minnesota.
    This is not going over well with a lot of people, some of them important.
    I don’t think they have a big enough fist and I think they seriously underestimate the power of the Churches.
    The Mormons in particular, the CIA and FBI both like to hire Mormons because they can pass background checks and they grew up in a strict hierarchical society.
    They can fuck things up more and make things uglier than they have to be by orders of magnitude, but someone else will be crowing from the top of the dung heap ( Funeral Pyres?) when the dust settles.

  8. Vicky Cookies

    All this movement by the tech sector since the Trump inauguration smells a bit like capital hiding out in a merger with the state from the free market. AI, as Ed Zitron has pointed out, cannot become commercially profitable at any timescale acceptable to its owning interests. It’s not only AI, though, and we’d have to look into whether the rate of profit is, as Marx predicted, declining with the growing organic composition of capital in the form of automation and technological advancements. Let’s say that it is for the sake of this line of thinking. What would make sense, then, from the perspective of tech capitalists, is to leech off the state via defense and surveillance contracts. There was an article a year or so ago in Theil publication Palladium which attempted to make the case that Palantir ought to overtake Boeing. There may be a bit of a chicken-or-egg argument to be had regarding their binary worldview; to a certain extent, this may be a matter of convenience in that it aligns with their material interests to pick the same ‘civilizational’ enemies as the state: the East, Latin American left-wingers, the non-compliant parts of the Muslim world, and the working class public in general. I quite like your insight about the influence of their programming backgrounds, too.

  9. Henry Moon Pie

    “We have become dependent on their hardware and software devices to do some of the most routine everyday tasks, like checking the weather.”

    Contra:

    It doesn’t take a weatherman* [or smartphone] to know which way the wind blows.

    Bob Dylan, “Subterranean Homesick Blues

    *Reputedly the inspiration for the name “Weather Underground.”

    1. Michael Fiorillo

      True, and among Leftists at the time, the prevailing attitude about Weather was that, “You don’t need a rectal thermometer to know who the a^}holes are.”

      Bourgeois adventurists, every one of them, and representing the devolved exhaustion of ‘60’s radicalism…

  10. Glen

    Thanks Curro!

    Everytime I watch what the Thiel Palentir Silly Con Valley billionaires are doing, this Tolkien quote rumbles thru my head:

    “Kings built tombs more splendid than the houses of the living and counted the names of their descent dearer than the names of their sons. Childless lords sat in aged halls musing on heraldry or in high cold towers asking questions of the stars. And so the kingdom of Gondor sank into ruin, the line of kings failed, the white tree withered and the rule of Gondor was given over to lesser men. ”

    1. Anthony Noel

      I suppose the problem is that they identify the same passage and view our current rulers as the lesser men. They are the resurgent Númenórean bloodline that will take back the throne.

  11. Todd Kelly

    Great article but, ” In 2008, after the crisis and to avoid financial collapse, banks and investment funds were saved by taxpayers’ money.”
    At this late stage in US monetary history there is no excuse for not knowing that a currency issuing government, like the US, needs no tax payer to supply it with money. The 2008 bailout is far worse than taxpayers bailing out the government (if that were the case) it is that those with enough influence, the bankers in 2008 and Musk’s DOGE, can tap into the US Treasury. Palantir has joined the party. Karp flailing around and Gollum adoring his precious are one in the same.

  12. grapeape

    They basically promote a clash of civilizations worldview in which there exists a “they. ..

    Let’s break this further down.

    They basically promote a worldview of a clash of elites (identified as “civilizations”) in which there exists a “they”

  13. grapeape

    the majority of Americans whom they treat with contempt – i.e., like cattle that have lost their market value.

    This doesn’t go far enough. It’s not a majority, but almost all. They expect that in a few years, they won’t need almost any of us, that code generators will replace almost all engineers and robots will replace almost everyone else.

    This is no exaggeration – one hears this from leadership.

  14. Victor Sciamarelli

    I think there are two fundamental problems with AI that should be taken seriously and solved before AI goes much further. First, there is a loss of control problem. That is, what to do when AI is imbedded in nearly everything and suddenly it’s not working as people designed it? Second, is the concentration of power problem. Who will be in control of these so-called super intelligent agents defending us and/or the army of robots that can kill humans?
    Palantir’s Manifesto is all about power and, as such, it’s basically anti-democratic and thus, has all the marks of Fascism.
    For example, #5 states, “The question is not whether A.I. weapons will be built; it is who will build them and for what purpose.” As mentioned above, the question is who controls them.
    #8 states, “Public servants need not be our priests. Any business that compensated its employees in the way that the federal government compensates public servants would struggle to survive.” Really? A member of the House or Senate receives a base salary of $174,000 with a raise for the Speaker or Committee Chairs. That’s about what most billionaires make per hour. Government is crucial. Tax the billionaires and raise salaries five fold.
    #17 states, “Silicon Valley must play a role in addressing violent crime.” While the Manifesto wants to “save lives” I doubt AI will be used to judge Israel guilty of genocide and the US complicit and recommend action against them.

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