Business economists argue that the length of an expansion is a good indicator of when a recession will hit.
Recent Items
Wednesday, October 1, 2025
The Next US Recession Is Likely to Be Around the Corner
Topics: Economic fundamentals, Guest Post, Investment outlook, Macroeconomic policy, Risk and risk management
Posted by Lambert Strether at 6:54 am | 67 Comments »
Yes, the Tech Giants Are a Big Problem—But the Untamed Finance Industry Could Still Blow Up the Economy
Why finance, broadly defined, is still a hazard to the US economy.
Topics: Banana republic, Doomsday scenarios, Economic fundamentals, Guest Post, Payment system, Politics, Regulations and regulators, Risk and risk management
Posted by Yves Smith at 12:41 am | 14 Comments »
Lessons about White Privilege, Social Liberal Backlash, and Trump 2.0
Among social (and not economic) liberals, White privilege lessons may increase beliefs that poor White people have failed to take advantage of their racial privilege—leading to negative social evaluations.
Topics: Guest Post, Politics, Social values
Posted by Lambert Strether at 3:25 pm | 109 Comments »
2:00PM Water Cooler 5/3/2019
Today’s Water Cooler: Open thread.
Topics: Water Cooler
Posted by Lambert Strether at 2:00 pm | 117 Comments »
Some Problems with Treating Democracies as “Information Systems,” Starting with Voting and Ending with Money
Limitations of looking at democracy as in information system.
Topics: Guest Post, Politics, Technology and innovation
Posted by Lambert Strether at 11:55 am | 15 Comments »
Links 5/3/19
Topics: Links
Posted by Lambert Strether at 6:55 am | 213 Comments »
Rep Jayapal and Sen Sanders Have Introduced Medicare For All Bills: One Is a Lot Better Than the Other
Explains the differences in the cost containment sections of the HR1384 (Jayapal) and S1129 (Sanders), and calls upon Senator Sanders to correct two defects in his bill that minimize its ability to reduce costs.
Topics: Health care, Politics
Posted by Lambert Strether at 6:45 am | 48 Comments »
Spring Stirrings and Misgivings: Of Autocrats and Uprisings in the Middle East and North Africa
This spring, eight years later, there has been a new set of popular uprisings in northern Africa, from Algeria to Morocco, to Sudan. Let’s hope they have more lasting success than Egypt’s Arab Spring.
Topics: Africa, Guest Post, Middle East
Posted by Lambert Strether at 6:25 am | 8 Comments »
2:00PM Water Cooler 5/2/2019
Today’s Water Cooler: Bennet (new), Festival of Biden, Buttigieg, Gabbard, Sanders, Yang, electability, Mueller report, factory orders, productivity, employment situation, Tesla, Amazon, Boeing, lithium batteries, the Fed, amother college admission scam, freelancers and unions, Uber strike, the workbench
Topics: Guest Post, Water Cooler
Posted by Lambert Strether at 2:00 pm | 179 Comments »
EPA Says Glyphosate Is Safe, But Lawsuits Loom and Bayer’s Woes Mount
Despite the EPA’s recent insistence glyphosate is “safe”, Bayer faces a many problems related to Roundup legal risk.
Topics: Banana republic, Doomsday scenarios, Environment, Politics, Regulations and regulators
Posted by Jerri-Lynn Scofield at 1:55 pm | 43 Comments »
Links 5/2/19
Topics: Guest Post, Links
Posted by Jerri-Lynn Scofield at 6:55 am | 258 Comments »
Lawsuit Aims to Curtail Warrantless Searches of Electronic Devices at US Border
Lawsuit reveals border searches of electronic devices have nearly quadrupled in four years . US border officials claim they don’t need a warrant for such searches, can investigate issues beyond customs and immigration issues, and share data obtained with other foreign and domestic agencies. Plaintiffs ask judge to grant summary judgment and require warrants. Whatever she decides, the case will be appealed.
Topics: Banana republic, Guest Post, Legal, Politics, Surveillance state
Posted by Jerri-Lynn Scofield at 6:50 am | 19 Comments »
Wolf Richter: Tesla Discloses Record Pollution Credits for Q1: Without Them, it Would Have Lost $918 Million and Bled $1.14 Billion in Cash
Tesla’s 10-Q filing reveals that without taxpayer-funded pollution credits the company gets from the government and sells to other companies, its loss as automaker and solar-panel company would have been $918 million and its negative cash flow wouldn’t have been a cash drain of $919 million but a cash sinkhole of $1.14 billion
Topics: Auto industry, Banana republic, Environment, Guest Post, Regulations and regulators, Ridiculously obvious scams
Posted by Jerri-Lynn Scofield at 5:55 am | 29 Comments »
Coping With World Bank-Led Financialization
The World Bank has successfully promoted its ‘Maximizing Finance for Development’ (MFD) strategy by embracing the United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals, internationally endorsed in September 2015.
Topics: Africa, Banana republic, Banking industry, Globalization, Guest Post, Hedge funds, Income disparity, India, Regulations and regulators
Posted by Jerri-Lynn Scofield at 3:55 am | 13 Comments »
Bill Black and June Carbone Will Join Our Minneapolis Meetup Tomorrow, May 2!
If you are in the Twin Cities area, hope you can make our meetup tomorrow and chat with Bill Black and June Carbone.
Topics: Notices
Posted by Yves Smith at 10:58 pm | 10 Comments »