Thursday, October 16, 2025

Carl von Clausewitz and the Clausewitzian Viewpoint of Warfare: A Theoretical Approach

An overview of Clausewitz’s thinking winds up showing how the US has ignored it, with the bad results Clausewitz predicted.

The Israel–Iran Conflict Tests “America First” and Redefines ‘Auctoritas’

Trump’s attack on Iran tests the limits of “America First” and reveals a deeper MAGA divide over who holds legitimate authority—auctoritas

Tallying the Costs to Israel of Its Failed Iran Regime Change Operation

An early estimate of the economic costs to Israel of the Iran war show that recovery will be difficult if not impossible.

Links 6/26/2025

Satyajit Das: Middle East Trajectories – Implications for the Region and Energy Markets

A refined (pun intended) discussion of the state of the energy market and the high risk of continued kinetic action between Israel and Iran.

A Possible Connection Between Mental Illness and Diet

On the mounting evidence that a ketogenic diet considerably can alleviate some debilitating mental health ailments, such as schizophrenia.

Why the US and the WTO Should Part Ways

In another sign the old international order is breaking as the US flails about, a serious call for the US to leave the WTO.

Coffee Break: Is Mamdani’s Win Over Cuomo The End of Democratic Party Neoliberalism?

Progressives in the Democratic party are declaring the ruling neoliberal class of the party leadership finished after NYC primary.

US Shale Can’t Scale If No One’s Left to Work It

A form of class warfare hits shale players Too few young workers like the industry and its long-term career prospects.

Links 6/25/2025

‘Looking Backwards’ and Forward: How Democrats Who Voted for Iraq Cashed In and How It Ensured the Rise of the Imperial Uniparty

Obama’s decision to “look forward” continues to reverberate into our endless wars of the present—and future. 

Rob Urie: Why Did the US Attack Iran?

Rob Urie points out that how many forces the US keeps in theater will reveal its intent with Iran: deescalating versus trying to regroup.

Gen. Michael Kurilla and the Pivot to Asia

Is diminishing Iran key to the famed pivot to Asia, or a distraction?

Coffee Break: Armed Madhouse – Circular Error Probability

Circular error probability (CEP) is the metric weapons designers use to describe the accuracy of munitions. CEP is defined as the radius of a circle, centered on the intended target, within which 50% of projectiles or warheads are expected to land. As guidance technology has advanced, CEPs of modern missiles and drones have grown smaller. […]

Downgrading Uncle Sam, Not America

An orthodox economist describes inconsistencies in rating agencies’ approach to downgrading US debt and their view of reserve currency status