An overview of Clausewitz’s thinking winds up showing how the US has ignored it, with the bad results Clausewitz predicted.
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Thursday, October 16, 2025
Carl von Clausewitz and the Clausewitzian Viewpoint of Warfare: A Theoretical Approach
Topics: Doomsday scenarios, Europe, Guest Post, Politics
Posted by Yves Smith at 1:10 am | 28 Comments »
The Israel–Iran Conflict Tests “America First” and Redefines ‘Auctoritas’
Trump’s attack on Iran tests the limits of “America First” and reveals a deeper MAGA divide over who holds legitimate authority—auctoritas
Topics: Coffee Break, Middle East, Politics
Posted by Curro Jimenez at 2:00 pm | 31 Comments »
Tallying the Costs to Israel of Its Failed Iran Regime Change Operation
An early estimate of the economic costs to Israel of the Iran war show that recovery will be difficult if not impossible.
Topics: Doomsday scenarios, Dubious statistics, Economic fundamentals, Media watch, Middle East, Politics
Posted by Yves Smith at 9:55 am | 90 Comments »
Links 6/26/2025
Topics: Links
Posted by Conor Gallagher at 6:55 am | 172 Comments »
Satyajit Das: Middle East Trajectories – Implications for the Region and Energy Markets
A refined (pun intended) discussion of the state of the energy market and the high risk of continued kinetic action between Israel and Iran.
Topics: Doomsday scenarios, Economic fundamentals, Energy markets, Guest Post, Investment outlook, Media watch, Middle East, Politics
Posted by Yves Smith at 6:00 am | 3 Comments »
A Possible Connection Between Mental Illness and Diet
On the mounting evidence that a ketogenic diet considerably can alleviate some debilitating mental health ailments, such as schizophrenia.
Topics: Dubious statistics, Guest Post, Health care, Science and the scientific method
Posted by Yves Smith at 3:47 am | 23 Comments »
Why the US and the WTO Should Part Ways
In another sign the old international order is breaking as the US flails about, a serious call for the US to leave the WTO.
Topics: Globalization, Guest Post, Legal, Politics
Posted by Yves Smith at 1:11 am | 8 Comments »
Coffee Break: Is Mamdani’s Win Over Cuomo The End of Democratic Party Neoliberalism?
Progressives in the Democratic party are declaring the ruling neoliberal class of the party leadership finished after NYC primary.
Topics: Coffee Break, Guest Post
Posted by Nat Wilson Turner at 2:00 pm | 77 Comments »
US Shale Can’t Scale If No One’s Left to Work It
A form of class warfare hits shale players Too few young workers like the industry and its long-term career prospects.
Topics: Commodities, Energy markets, Guest Post, Social values, The destruction of the middle class
Posted by Yves Smith at 9:55 am | 16 Comments »
Links 6/25/2025
Topics: Links
Posted by Yves Smith at 6:55 am | 172 Comments »
‘Looking Backwards’ and Forward: How Democrats Who Voted for Iraq Cashed In and How It Ensured the Rise of the Imperial Uniparty
Obama’s decision to “look forward” continues to reverberate into our endless wars of the present—and future.
Topics: Middle East, Moral hazard, Politics, Russia
Posted by Conor Gallagher at 6:00 am | 20 Comments »
Rob Urie: Why Did the US Attack Iran?
Rob Urie points out that how many forces the US keeps in theater will reveal its intent with Iran: deescalating versus trying to regroup.
Topics: Doomsday scenarios, Guest Post, Middle East, Politics
Posted by Yves Smith at 5:55 am | 89 Comments »
Gen. Michael Kurilla and the Pivot to Asia
Is diminishing Iran key to the famed pivot to Asia, or a distraction?
Topics: China, Globalization, Guest Post, Politics
Posted by Yves Smith at 12:53 am | 33 Comments »
Coffee Break: Armed Madhouse – Circular Error Probability
Circular error probability (CEP) is the metric weapons designers use to describe the accuracy of munitions. CEP is defined as the radius of a circle, centered on the intended target, within which 50% of projectiles or warheads are expected to land. As guidance technology has advanced, CEPs of modern missiles and drones have grown smaller. […]
Topics: Coffee Break
Posted by Haig Hovaness at 2:00 pm | 26 Comments »
Downgrading Uncle Sam, Not America
An orthodox economist describes inconsistencies in rating agencies’ approach to downgrading US debt and their view of reserve currency status
Topics: Credit markets, Currencies, Free markets and their discontents, Guest Post, Investment outlook, Macroeconomic policy, Politics, The dismal science
Posted by Yves Smith at 9:55 am | 2 Comments »