Category Archives: Investment outlook

Annual Services Inflation Rages at New Four-Decade High, Monthly Overall CPI Hottest Since June

Inflation is still very much with us….as if you didn’t know that.

A Big Reckoning Starting for Private Equity and Its Public Pension Fund Enthusiasts

Private equity returns are finally going pear-shaped, but for the most part, investors are re-upping their bets.

Debt Ceiling Arm Wrestling Targets Ukraine Spending

The upcoming debt ceiling fight has an unusual feature: Republican opposition to military pork, or at least the Ukraine variety.

BlackRock Says We’re All Doomed. It’s Being Optimistic

The world’s largest asset manager has forecast systemic economic chaos. The reality is even worse.

Tesla Joins My Imploded Stocks, -70% from Peak: Object of Religious Veneration Turns into Automaker

Beyond the consensual Tesla hallucination, the real world for automakers is not fun.

Stocks Open Eyes, See Fed Pivot Hawkish; ECB Hike into Recession, Start QT; BoE Hike into Recession; SNB Hike, Sell Foreign Currency Assets

ECB’s assets drop by €800 billion. Mexico hiked too today, way ahead of the Fed, keeps peso from falling against USD.

Needed Global Financial Reforms Foregone Yet Again

The pathologies that produced the financial crisis are still circulating.

BuzzFeed Faces Existential Crisis After Burning Through Nearly All of $700 Million of Investor Money

What does BuzzFeed do now?

Where’s the Contagion from the Crypto Implosion?

Why, if you aren’t in crypto, you can watch the meltdown in comparative comfort.

Bank of England Bought Only Small Amounts of Bonds Even Today, Warns Pension Funds They Have “Only Three Days Left” to Unwind Derivatives with BOE Support

The Bank of England has been doing less than believed to rescue the gilts market. But stil not a good look.

Gasoline Demand Destruction Accelerates Despite Plunge in Prices: Consumption Drops to August 1997 Level

Gasoline purchases show a softening economy, but the Fed is likely to ignore that memo.

Companies Are Paying Inflation Busting Dividends at Cost to the Rest of the Economy, Including Their Employees

How companies are paying dividends rather than investing in their business or paying employees better……and often borrow to do so.

Wrong Way CalPERS Increased Private Equity Allocation by Over 50% as Investors Are Dumping Holdings

The Financial Times reports that private equity investors are running for the exits as CalPERS plans to pile on.

Now It’s Official: Financial Times Profiles Venture Capital Crash

A venture capital washout is underway. Pass the popcorn.

Prices of New Houses Plunge, Sales Crater to Lockdown Level, Inventories Pile Up to Highest Since 2008

There is no “housing shortage,” with over 9 months’ supply of unsold houses, the most since the Housing Bust. But prices are still too high.